Portugal vs France Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (23/6/21)

Portugal vs France prediction Tip and odds Bookmaker Bet here
Full-Time Result
France to Win @ 5/4 (2.25)
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals @ 33/50 (1.66)
Correct Score
1-0 to France @ 5/1 (6)

Group F is finely poised as any of the four teams could still qualify for the next round, even Hungary. France's draw with Hungary last time out means that they still need a point against Portugal to be sure of finishing in the top two places in Group f, while a draw could be enough for the Portuguese is likely to see them progress.

Read on for our full match preview and prediction for Portugal vs France in the European Championship.

Official Lineups (Update):

  • Portugal: Rui Patricio, Nelson Semedo, Pepe, Dias, Guerreiro, Joao Moutinho, Danilo Pereira, Sanches, Bernardo Silva, Ronaldo, Jota
  • France: Lloris, Kounde, Varane, Kimpembe, Lucas, Pogba, Kante, Tolisso, Griezmann, Mbappe, Benzema

Our Top Free Tips for Portugal vs France

Unbiased tips

All odds are subject to change but the prices shown are correct on the date of publication. Please check with your bookmakers before placing any bets. 

France to Win

We're backing France to do a professional job against Portugal, making their opponents play their game rather than the all-out attacking style that Ronaldo and co have been playing so far. France have a good record against Portugal, winning five of the pair's last seven encounters with the most recent arriving in November 2020. France have also won five of their last six international matches and remain the favourites to go all the way and win Euro 2020.

Under 2.5 Goals

Five of the last six meetings between Portugal and France have produced under 2.5 goals, with Portugal failing to score in four of those low-scoring games. Portugal might have scored 5-goals in their opening two matches but they were against sides with weaker defences than France. The French have only conceded 1-goal in their last six fixtures and we expect them to control their final group game against Portugal.

1-0 to France

Four of the last six meetings between these two countries have produced 1-0 wins, three of which have gone the way of France. France won 1-0 when these two sides met in the Nations League back in November and we're backing another narrow win for the French on Wednesday. Frane have kept four clean sheets in their last six games against Portugal as well as keep clean sheets in five of their last six international matches, so you can see why a 1-0 win looks so appealing.

Everything you need to know for Portugal vs France

A draw could suit both teams in the bid to qualify for the knockout stage

Portugal failed to build upon their 3-0 win over Hungary, as they suffered a 4-2 defeat against Germany last time out. That leaves Portugal on 3pts alongside Germany in Group F, with France a point ahead and Hungary 2pts behind. A draw would most likely be good enough for Portugal to qualify, even if that was as one of the four best third-placed sides. Ronaldo has been on fire this tournament and if he has another good game on Wednesday, Portugal have a chance of securing a positive result.

France were expected to follow up their 1-0 win over Germany with a comfortable victory over Hungary. However, the favourites were left frustrated as they only managed a 1-1 draw with Group F's supposed ‘whipping boys'. France have probably already done enough to qualify for the next round but they will want to finish top of the group and the only way they can ensure that is by beating Portugal on Wednesday.

Predicted Lineups

Portugal may return to the 4-2-3-1 that secured a 3-0 win over Hungary after they lost 4-2 against Germany using a 4-5-1 formation. The back four has been the same for both games and we don't see that changing. Ronaldo will start up-front but Fernandes could move back to a more advanced position to maximise on his ability to score and create goals. Nuno Mendes and Joao Felix are unavailable.

France need to make more of their chances and could go more attacking against a Portugal side that have looked weak at the back. We see the French sticking with their 4-3-3 formation, used against both Germany and Hungary, but the big switch could be starting Giroud instead of the misfiring Benzema. Ousmane Dembele is unlikely to feature due to a knee injury.

Portugal vs France – FAQ

portugal vs france prediction

  • Where can I watch this game in the UK? – BBC Two / BBC iPlayer
  • What was the score when these sides last met? – Portugal 0-1 France, 14/11/20
  • Who are the favourites to win? – France are the favourites for this Group F clash

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things