France vs Germany prediction, odds & betting tips – 23/03/2024

France
23/03/24 - 20:00

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France - Germany

International Match

France vs Germany prediction
Antoine Griezmann in action during France's game against Germany – Photo by Iconsport

France take on Germany in a friendly match this weekend and we're bringing you our predictions for the game.

The hosts will be out for revenge after they lost 2-1 in Germany back in September and you wouldn't bet against Kylian Mbappé getting on the scoresheet for France on Saturday. You can find all our goalscoring tips for this game, and more, in our betting insights area.

France vs Germany predictions: France to edge close encounter

France vs Germany Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

France to Win

⚽ Correct Score prediction

France 2-0 Germany

⚽ Anytime Goalscorer predictions

Kylian Mbappe

Key Stats

  • France have won 15 of their previous 33 meetings with Germany, winning four of the pair's last seven head-to-heads. France have also won four of their last six international matches, while Germany have lost three of their last six outings.
  • France have scored at least two goals in five of their last six matches and have kept clean sheets in two of their last three home games, while Germany lost their last game 2-0 at Austria.
  • Kylian Mbappe top-scored for France in the Euro 2024 qualifiers with nine goals and has scored 10 goals in his last 10 international appearances.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The odds favour a home win

  • HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
  • DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
  • AWAY: 31/10 (4.10) – 24.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

France are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 54.1%, and we agree with this selection.

France have only lost one of their last six matches but it was against Germany in September. Germany lost their last game away at Austria 2-0 while Drance played out a 2-2 draw with Greece in their last fixture.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. If, like us, you want to back BTTS – No on Saturday the odds stand at 6/5 (2.20) with a probability of 45.5%, while a bet on BTTS has odds of 7/10 (1.70) which has a probability of 58.8%.

Last five H2Hs: France have the edge

International Match 12/09/23

Germany

Germany

2
France

France

1

Euro 2021 15/06/21

France

France

1
Germany

Germany

0

UEFA Nations League 16/10/18

France

France

2
Germany

Germany

1

UEFA Nations League 06/09/18

Germany

Germany

0
France

France

0

International Match 14/11/17

Germany

Germany

2
France

France

2

Germany might have beaten France 2-1 when the pair last locked horns in September but the French have won 15, drawn seven and lost 11 of their last 33 meetings with the Germans.

Team news and form guide

France: Won 14-0 in last home game

Axel Disasi, Ferland Mendy, Boubacar Kamara, Antoine Griezmann, Kingsley Coman and Christopher Nkunku are not in the latest France squad but Didier Deschamps has selected a really strong squad to face Germany and will be desperate to avenge September's 2-1 defeat.

Predicted lineup: Samba (GK), L. Hernández, T. Hernández, Koundé, Saliba, Rabiot, Tchouaméni, Giroud, Mbappé, Dembélé & Kolo Muani 

Euro 2024 17/06/24

W

Austria

Austria

0

France

France

1

International Match 09/06/24

D

Canada

Canada

0

France

France

0

International Match 05/06/24

W

Luxembourg

Luxembourg

0

France

France

3

International Match 26/03/24

W

Chile

Chile

2

France

France

3

International Match 23/03/24

L

Germany

Germany

2

France

France

0

Germany: Lost three of their last six

The visitors will be without the likes of Manuel Neuer, Mats Hummels, Niklas Süle, Matthias Ginter, Leroy Sané, Leon Goretzka, Julian Brandt, Serge Gnabry and Timo Werner this week; while there are a number of uncapped players that have earned call ups including Oliver Baumann, Waldemar Anton, Jan-Niklas Beste, Maximilian Mittelstädt, Maximilian Beier and Deniz Undav.

Predicted lineup: ter Stegen (GK), Kimmich, Rüdiger, Tah, Gündoğan, Kroos, Brandt, Havertz, Füllkrug, Musiala & Müller

Euro 2024 14/06/24

W

Scotland

Scotland

1

Germany

Germany

5

International Match 07/06/24

W

Greece

Greece

1

Germany

Germany

2

International Match 03/06/24

D

Ukraine

Ukraine

0

Germany

Germany

0

International Match 26/03/24

W

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

Germany

Germany

2

International Match 23/03/24

W

France

France

0

Germany

Germany

2

Player to watch – Kylian Mbappe

Mbappe captains France for their game against Germany in what will be his 76th appearance for Les Bleus.

Kylian Mbappe player to watch
Kylian Mbappe of France celebrates – Photo by Icon sport

The 25-year-old PSG forward has scored 46 goals for his country and we're backing him to impress against Germany this weekend. Mbappe is in great form for his country with ten goals in his last ten appearances across all competitions.

Can Mbappe fire France to victory this weekend?

It's not just internationally that Mbappe is in form, the Frenchman has netted nine goals in his last ten outings for PSG in league and cup, including a hat trick last time out against Montpellier in Ligue 1.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things