France vs Germany prediction, odds & betting tips – 23/03/2024

23/03/24 - 20:00

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France - Germany

International Match

France take on Germany in a friendly match this weekend and we're bringing you our predictions for the game.

The hosts will be out for revenge after they lost 2-1 in Germany back in September and you wouldn't bet against Kylian Mbappé getting on the scoresheet for France on Saturday. You can find all our goalscoring tips for this game, and more, in our betting insights area.

France vs Germany predictions: France to edge close encounter

Key Stats

• France have won 15 of their previous 33 meetings with Germany, winning four of the pair's last seven head-to-heads. France have also won four of their last six international matches, while Germany have lost three of their last six outings.
• France have scored at least two goals in five of their last six matches and have kept clean sheets in two of their last three home games, while Germany lost their last game 2-0 at Austria.
• Kylian Mbappe top-scored for France in the Euro 2024 qualifiers with nine goals and has scored 10 goals in his last 10 international appearances.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The odds favour a home win

• HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
• DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
• AWAY: 31/10 (4.10) – 24.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

France are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 54.1%, and we agree with this selection.

France have only lost one of their last six matches but it was against Germany in September. Germany lost their last game away at Austria 2-0 while Drance played out a 2-2 draw with Greece in their last fixture.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. If, like us, you want to back BTTS – No on Saturday the odds stand at 6/5 (2.20) with a probability of 45.5%, while a bet on BTTS has odds of 7/10 (1.70) which has a probability of 58.8%.

Last five H2Hs: France have the edge

International Match 12/09/23

Germany

2

France

1

Euro 2021 15/06/21

France

1

Germany

0

UEFA Nations League 16/10/18

France

2

Germany

1

UEFA Nations League 06/09/18

Germany

0

France

0

International Match 14/11/17

Germany

2

France

2

Germany might have beaten France 2-1 when the pair last locked horns in September but the French have won 15, drawn seven and lost 11 of their last 33 meetings with the Germans.

Team news and form guide

France: Won 14-0 in last home game

Axel Disasi, Ferland Mendy, Boubacar Kamara, Antoine Griezmann, Kingsley Coman and Christopher Nkunku are not in the latest France squad but Didier Deschamps has selected a really strong squad to face Germany and will be desperate to avenge September's 2-1 defeat.

Predicted lineup: Samba (GK), L. Hernández, T. Hernández, Koundé, Saliba, Rabiot, Tchouaméni, Giroud, Mbappé, Dembélé & Kolo Muani 

UEFA Nations League A 17/11/24

W

Italy

1

France

3

UEFA Nations League A 14/11/24

D

Israel

0

France

0

UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24

W

Belgium

1

France

2

UEFA Nations League A 10/10/24

W

Israel

1

France

4

UEFA Nations League A 09/09/24

W

Belgium

0

France

2

Germany: Lost three of their last six

The visitors will be without the likes of Manuel Neuer, Mats Hummels, Niklas Süle, Matthias Ginter, Leroy Sané, Leon Goretzka, Julian Brandt, Serge Gnabry and Timo Werner this week; while there are a number of uncapped players that have earned call ups including Oliver Baumann, Waldemar Anton, Jan-Niklas Beste, Maximilian Mittelstädt, Maximilian Beier and Deniz Undav.

Predicted lineup: ter Stegen (GK), Kimmich, Rüdiger, Tah, Gündoğan, Kroos, Brandt, Havertz, Füllkrug, Musiala & Müller

UEFA Nations League A 19/11/24

D

Hungary

1

Germany

1

UEFA Nations League A 16/11/24

W

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0

Germany

7

UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24

W

Netherlands

0

Germany

1

UEFA Nations League A 11/10/24

W

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

Germany

2

UEFA Nations League A 10/09/24

D

Netherlands

2

Germany

2

Player to watch – Kylian Mbappe

Mbappe captains France for their game against Germany in what will be his 76th appearance for Les Bleus.

The 25-year-old PSG forward has scored 46 goals for his country and we're backing him to impress against Germany this weekend. Mbappe is in great form for his country with ten goals in his last ten appearances across all competitions.

Can Mbappe fire France to victory this weekend?

It's not just internationally that Mbappe is in form, the Frenchman has netted nine goals in his last ten outings for PSG in league and cup, including a hat trick last time out against Montpellier in Ligue 1.