Germany vs France prediction, odds & betting tips – 08/06/2025

Germany and France go head-to-head at the MHP Arena in what promises to be a thrilling Nations League Third Place Playoff on Sunday, 8 June. Read our Nations League betting tips for the tussle below.

Germany vs France prediction: Goal markets should be an attractive proposition in Stuttgart

Key Stats

• Six of Germany’s last eight fixtures have featured over 2.5 goals.
• Both teams managed to score in six of Germany’s last eight assignments.
• France mustered 24 shots to Spain’s 16 in their semi-final loss to La Roja on Thursday evening.
• France picked up three yellow cards in their loss to Spain in the Nations League semi-finals.

Correct score prediction: Germany 1-3 France

Germany looked short of inspiration in their 2-1 semi-final loss to Portugal and a French side armed with superior firepower could outgun Die Mannschaft in Stuttgart.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Germany are slight favourites

• HOME: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
• DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
• AWAY: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Germany were outclassed by Portugal in the semi-finals, through Die Mannschaft – who now have a modest 54.55%-win rate under Julian Nagelsmann – will still kick off Sunday’s tussle as 6/4 favourites.

France have been given just a 37% chance of beating Germany in Stuttgart, however, Les Blues showed enough spirit and menace in attack to suggest they can upset the odds. Read our daily football tips page for more Nations League football predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Results have been mixed

The last four meetings between Germany and France (between 2018 and 2024) produced two wins apiece for each side. France won the last competitive skirmish between the teams at Euro 2020 (1-0).

International Match 23/03/24

France

0

Germany

2

International Match 12/09/23

Germany

2

France

1

Euro 2021 15/06/21

France

1

Germany

0

UEFA Nations League 16/10/18

France

2

Germany

1

UEFA Nations League 06/09/18

Germany

0

France

0

Germany preview: Tactical rethink needed?

Julian Nagelsmann set Germany up in a 3-4-2-1 formation in their loss against Portugal in the semi-finals, though Die Mannschaft were overrun in midfield in that defeat, and a change of tack might be required here. Serge Gnabry and Robin Gosens will be pushing to start.

Predicted lineup: Ter Stegen (GK), Kimmich, Tah, Koch, Gosens, Nmecha, Goretzka, Pavlovic, Wirtz, Sane, Gnabry

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

D

Italy

3

Germany

3

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

W

Italy

1

Germany

2

UEFA Nations League A 19/11/24

D

Hungary

1

Germany

1

UEFA Nations League A 16/11/24

W

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0

Germany

7

UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24

W

Netherlands

0

Germany

1

France preview: Has Cherki earned a start?

Man City-bound Rayan Cherki made a massive impact when introduced as a second-half substitute in France's 5-4 loss to Spain in the semi-finals and the schemer could be handed a start here. Male Gusto could also replace Pierre Kalulu, who struggled at right back against La Roja.

Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Gusto, Konate, Lenglet, T. Hernandez, Kone, Rabiot, Dembele, Olise, Cherki, Mbappe

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

W

Croatia

0

France

2

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

L

Croatia

2

France

0

UEFA Nations League A 17/11/24

W

Italy

1

France

3

UEFA Nations League A 14/11/24

D

Israel

0

France

0

UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24

W

Belgium

1

France

2

Player to watch – Rayan Cherki

Enigmatic attacking midfielder Rayan Cherki showcased his talents off the bench in the semi-finals, netting once and creating another goal as a substitute in France’s 5-4 loss to Spain.

Creative Cherki could start

Cherki’s impactful cameo against Spain has given French coach Didier Deschamps food for thought and the crafty technician could be handed an opportunity to shine from the start against Germany in Stuttgart.