Munich is the setting for another big game on Wednesday night, as two teams target a place in the UEFA Nations League final. Our Germany vs Portugal prediction considers who will emerge victorious at the Allianz Arena.
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Germany vs Portugal prediction: Kimmich to shine in win for Die Mannschaft
Key stats
- Our Germany vs Portugal betting tips take into account that the hosts average 2.83 goals per game in this Nations League campaign.
- Six of Portugal’s eight matches in this edition of the Nations League have seen both teams score.
- They’re winless in three away games since defeating Poland back in October.
Correct score prediction: Germany 3-1 Portugal
Germany have been the more impressive side this season, and they’ve had a pretty good run in international football overall, even including Euro 2024 when they were knocked out late in extra time by Spain.
Winning this competition wouldn’t make up for that disappointment, but it would keep the momentum building towards the World Cup. They are scoring freely and they may have too much firepower for Portugal in Munich.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour the Germans
- HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Germany vs Portugal odds, with an implied probability of 54.1% that they win this match.
They head into this game after a 5-4 aggregate victory in their quarter-final against Italy, although they actually led that tie 5-1 heading into the second half of the second leg in Dortmund.
As for Portugal, they booked their last-four ticket with a 5-2 extra-time victory over Denmark as Francisco Trincao came off the bench to score twice.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Portugal winless since 2000
Our Germany vs Portugal prediction suggests this match will follow the recent trend which has seen Die Mannschaft win all of the last five meetings.
They’ve scored at least three goals in four of those games, including a 4-2 win at Euro 2020.
Euro 2021 19/06/21
Portugal
Germany
Germany preview: Bisseck pulls out
There’ll be no Yann Bisseck for Germany, after the Inter defender pulled out due to an injury sustained in the Champions League final. Jonathan Burkardt, Angelo Stiller and Nadiem Amiri have also withdrawn from the squad.
Predicted Lineup: Ter Stegen (GK), Kimmich, Anton, Tah, Mittelstadt, Gross, Goretzka, Gnabry, Wirtz, Sane & Undav
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
D Italy 3 Germany 3 UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
W Italy 1 Germany 2 UEFA Nations League A 19/11/24
D Hungary 1 Germany 1 UEFA Nations League A 16/11/24
W Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 Germany 7 UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24
W Netherlands 0 Germany 1
Portugal preview: No major issues for Martinez
There have been no withdrawals from the Portuguese squad. PSG’s Nuno Mendes, Joao Neves and Vitinha all started the Champions League final on Saturday in this stadium, and it’s unclear whether Roberto Martinez will decide to start those players again here.
Predicted Lineup: Costa (GK), Dalot, Dias, A. Silva, Mendes, Palhinha, Neves, B. Silva, Fernandes, Jota & Ronaldo
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
W Denmark 2 Portugal 5 UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
L Denmark 1 Portugal 0 UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24
D Croatia 1 Portugal 1 UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24
W Poland 1 Portugal 5 UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24
D Scotland 0 Portugal 0
Player to watch – Joshua Kimmich
Joshua Kimmich could have a big role to play for Germany. He was inspired during the quarter-final tie with Italy, registering a goal and four assists across the two legs.
Kimmich’s creative threat
The 30-year-old registered six assists this season in the Bundesliga. He averaged 2.5 key passes per game, a record bettered by only two players in the division.