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Arandina - Real Madrid
Spain Copa del Rey - Estadio El Montecillo
5th Round
Real Madrid travel to play minnows Arandina in the Copa del Rey Round of 32 on Saturday. Our Arandina vs Real Madrid prediction considers whether El Montecillo can be the stage of a famous upset.
Arandina vs Real Madrid prediction – Betting tips & odds
Real Madrid and Both Teams to Score
- Real Madrid are short on defensive options with David Alaba and Eder Militao both sidelined so it could be an inexperienced backline if Carlo Ancelotti opts to rotate.
- Arandina stunned top flight Cadiz with a 2-1 win in the last round which suggests they have a goal in them.
Our Arandina vs Real Madrid betting tips suggest Los Blancos should be too strong for the lowly opponents overall, having won their last 4 in all competitions.
Latest odds
13/08/24 Europe Friendlies Europe Rayo Cantabria Arandina 0 0 D 05/05/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 Spain Zamora CF Arandina 4 1 L 28/04/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 Spain Marino de Luanco Arandina 1 2 W 21/04/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 Spain Rayo Cantabria Arandina 2 4 W 13/04/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 Spain Real Aviles CF Arandina 1 2 W 11/02/25 UEFA Champions League UCL Man City Real Madrid 2 3 W 08/02/25 Spain La Liga Liga Atletico Madrid Real Madrid 1 1 D 05/02/25 Spain Copa del Rey Spain Leganes Real Madrid 2 3 W 01/02/25 Spain La Liga Liga Espanyol Real Madrid 1 0 L 29/01/25 UEFA Champions League UCL Brest Real Madrid 0 3 W Last Five - Arandina
Last Five - Real Madrid
Win probability
- HOME: 28/1 (29.00) – 3.4%
- DRAW: 19/2 (10.50) – 9.5%
- AWAY: 1/9 (1.11) – 90.0%
The Arandina vs Real Madrid odds are stacked heavily in favour of the visitors as you’d expect.
You can back fourth tier Arandina to qualify at 14/1 (15.00), an implied probability of 6.7% for this game which will be decided on Saturday with no replays or 2nd Legs in the Copa del Rey.
You can also get odds of 10/11 (1.91) for Real Madrid and Over 3.5 Goals, a probability of 52.4%.
Arandina vs Real Madrid prediction – Other tips
Arandina 1-3 Real Madrid
- Our Arandina vs Real Madrid prediction suggests the visitors will make it 10 wins from 11 in all competitions.
- Real Madrid have only lost 1 of their 25 competitive games this season.
Arandina +3 Handicap
- There were atrocious conditions at El Montecillo in the last round as Cadiz exited the competition and it might not be easy for Real Madrid’s star-studded players to adjust.
- Los Blancos are the favourites to win the Copa del Rey, although it’s actually a trophy they’d only won twice in 29 years before last season’s triumph and they’ve often struggled against lesser teams.
Arandina vs Real Madrid team news
Arandina
The Arandina vs Real Madrid lineups are sure to see the home team go as strong as possible for what will be the biggest day in many of their players’ careers.
Predicted Lineup: Jara (GK), Deiby, Jaime, Bajo, Haji, Otu, Santa, Zazu, Cabral, Atomo, Frodo
Real Madrid
The visitors may rotate in some positions ahead of a trip to Saudi Arabia for the Supercopa next week. David Alaba, Eder Militao and Thiabout Courtois are still out while Vinicius Junior is not in the squad.
Predicted Lineup: Lunin, Carvajal, Nacho, Tchouameni, Fran Garcia, Kroos, Ceballos, Fede Valverde, Paz, Joselu, Brahim Diaz
Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.
Player to watch – Brahim Diaz
This is an opportunity for Brahim Diaz who has scored 3 times in his last 9 appearances for Real Madrid but missed a great chance after coming off the bench in midweek.
He's likely to start with the only recently fit again Vincius Junior not travelling for this tie with Joselu likely to be the other striker.
Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.
