A place in the final of the Copa del Rey will be at stake when Atletico Madrid host Barcelona at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Thursday, 12 February 2026.
View our free Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona predictions below.
Contents
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona predictions: Goals at both ends
Key stats
- Both teams were on the scoresheet in four of Atletico Madrid's last five meetings with Barcelona.
- Four of the last five clashes between these sides produced at least 11 corners.
- Barcelona led at half-time in eight of the last 10 H2Hs.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-3 Barcelona
Atletico Madrid's recent run of results does not inspire much confidence, as they have won only one of their last four matches across all competitions (D1, L2).
In contrast, Barcelona have been almost unstoppable, stringing together a six-match winning streak, with 17 wins in their last 18 games. They also have an excellent track record against Atletico Madrid, having won eight of the last 10 encounters between these sides (D1, L1).
Keeping in mind that Barcelona averaged just over three goals per game in their last six matches, we believe they will emerge victorious in a high-scoring affair.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico up against it
- HOME: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.4%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Indian bettors looking to wager on this Copa del Rey clash can check out our guide on betting sites in India to find the best platforms with instant withdrawals.
Atletico Madrid are coming off a disappointing 1-0 home defeat against Real Betis, which is interesting considering they ran out 5-0 victors against the same opponents on the road a few days prior.
Diego Simeone's troops will turn their attention to the Copa del Rey, a competition they have not won since the 2012/13 season.
Interestingly, this will be Atletico Madrid's third consecutive Copa del Rey semifinal appearance. They were eliminated by Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao in their previous two outings.
On the other hand, defending champions Barcelona are the most successful team in the history of this competition, with 32 Copa del Rey titles. Unlike Atletico Madrid, the Blaugrana will face a top-flight side in this competition for the first time this season.
Ahead of the first leg of this tie, Barcelona are the expected winners at 6/5 (2.20). Teams with these odds generally have a 45.5% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona predictions.
Also, keeping in mind that four of the last five skirmishes between these outfits produced at least 11 corners, over 10.5 total corners has an appealing look at 9/10 (1.90). That one has a 52.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Barcelona's dominance to continue?
Barcelona were victorious in their last three encounters with Atletico Madrid. They have lost only once in the last 10 meetings between these teams (W8, D1).
Interestingly, Atletico Madrid have not beaten Barcelona in the Copa del Rey since April 2000. They have drawn four and lost seven of their 11 clashes in this competition since then.
Spain La Liga 02/12/25
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Spain Copa del Rey 02/04/25
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Spain La Liga 16/03/25
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Spain Copa del Rey 25/02/25
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 21/12/24
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid preview: No new injury concerns
Diego Simeone will have to do without the services of the injured Pablo Barrios, while Jonny Cardoso, Nico Gonzalez, and Julian Alvarez are doubtful due to fitness issues.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Llorente, Pubill, Hancko, Ruggeri, Simeone, Mendoza, Koke, Baena, Sorloth & Lookman.
Last five matches
- Atletico Madrid 0-1 Real Betis
- Real Betis 0-5 Atletico Madrid
- Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
- Atletico Madrid 3-0 Mallorca
Barcelona preview: Eyeing their seventh consecutive victory
The visitors have health problems of their own as Pedri, Andreas Christensen, and Gavi are still sidelined due to injury, with Raphinha also a major doubt because of a groin issue.
Predicted lineup: J. Garcia (GK), Martin, E. Garcia, Araujo, Cancelo, Bernal, Olmo, Lopez, Yamal, Rashford & Torres.
Last five matches
- Barcelona 3-0 Mallorca
- Albacete 1-2 Barcelona
- Elche 1-3 Barcelona
- Barcelona 4-1 Copenhagen
- Barcelona 3-0 Real Oviedo
Player to watch: Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal has been nothing short of impressive, having scored in each of his last five appearances for Barcelona. The 18-year-old has at least one goal contribution in each of his last seven appearances and will look to extend that streak on Thursday night.