Lugo - Atletico Madrid
Spain Copa del Rey - Anxo Carro
5th Round
Atletico Madrid travel to Galicia’s Estadio Anxo Carro to face Lugo this Saturday in the Copa del Rey. Our Lugo vs Atletico Madrid prediction considers whether the visitors can avoid a big Copa del Rey upset having suffered shock exits against the likes of Cultural Leonesa and Cornella in recent years.
Lugo vs Atletico Madrid prediction – Betting tips & odds
Hot Tip – Lugo +2 Handicap
- Since the revamped Copa del Rey started in 2019, Atletico Madrid have twice exited the competition away to third tier sides.
- Atleti are in really poor form away in La Liga, losing their last four road games.
Our Lugo vs Atletico Madrid betting tips also factor in the possibility of a bit of fatigue after Atleti’s damaging 4-3 loss at Girona in midweek.
Latest odds
18/08/24 Spain Copa Federacion Spain Coruxo Lugo 0 1 W 17/08/24 Europe Friendlies Europe Pontevedra Lugo 1 0 L 13/08/24 Spain Copa Federacion Spain SD Sarriana Lugo 0 4 W 07/08/24 Europe Friendlies Europe Sporting Gijon Lugo 0 0 D 03/08/24 Europe Friendlies Europe Celta de Vigo B Lugo 1 0 L 31/08/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga Athletic Bilbao Atletico Madrid 0 1 W 28/08/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga Espanyol Atletico Madrid 0 0 D 25/08/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga Girona Atletico Madrid 0 3 W 19/08/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga Villarreal Atletico Madrid 2 2 D 11/08/24 Elite Club Friendlies Elite Juventus Atletico Madrid 0 2 W Last Five - Lugo
Last Five - Atletico Madrid
Win probability
- HOME: 14/1 (15.00) – 6.7%
- DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
- AWAY: 1/4 (1.25) – 80.0%
The Lugo vs Atletico Madrid odds clearly point towards an away win being the most likely outcome.
However, Lugo were in the Segunda Division until last season and you can back Lugo-Draw Double Chance at 7/2 (4.50), a probability of 22.2%.
You can also back Atletico Madrid to win in Extra Time at 9/1 (10.00), a probability of 10% while Atletico Madrid to win on penalties is 22/1 (23.00), a probability of 4.3%.
Lugo vs Atletico Madrid prediction – Other tips
Lugo 1-1 Atletico Madrid
- Our Lugo vs Atletico Madrid prediction here takes into account the third tier side’s impressive cup run so far, upsetting Segunda Division Mirandes 2-0 in the last round.
- Atleti have struggled in recent years in the Copa del Rey, going six years without reaching the Semi Final stage.
Draw
- Atleti are struggling defensively right now with only 2 clean sheets in their last 8 in all competitions.
- They’ve not won an away game in Spain since their last trip to Galicia to play Celta Vigo in October.
Lugo vs Atletico Madrid team news
Lugo
The Lugo vs Atletico Madrid lineups should see only light changes from the team who played in their league on Tuesday night. Lucas Diaz is expected to rotate in between the sticks.
Predicted Lineup: Diaz (GK), Johanenko, Gorka Perez, Castrin, Alberto Lopez, Narro, Aguza, Ledesma, Sabit, Antoñín, Aranda
Atletico Madrid
Atleti are still missing Thomas Lemar while this game may come too soon for Pablo Barrios following his injury. Reinildo is away on AFCON duty with some rotation expected from Diego Simeone.
Predicted Lineup: Grbic (GK), Hermoso, Savic, Azplicueta, Lino, De Paul, Koke, Saul, Molina, Depay, Correa
Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.
Player to watch – Memphis Depay
Rotation could give Memphis Depay more minutes than he has been used in a difficult season for the Dutchman.
He’s recovered from injury now but has found game-time limited behind in-form Alvaro Morata who bagged a hat-trick in the 4-3 defeat against Girona in midweek.
Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.
