Lugo vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 06/01/2024

Lugo
06/01/24 - 15:00
Atletico Madrid

Lugo - Atletico Madrid

Spain Copa del Rey - Anxo Carro

5th Round

Atletico Madrid travel to Galicia’s Estadio Anxo Carro to face Lugo this Saturday in the Copa del Rey. Our Lugo vs Atletico Madrid prediction considers whether the visitors can avoid a big Copa del Rey upset having suffered shock exits against the likes of Cultural Leonesa and Cornella in recent years.

Lugo vs Atletico Madrid prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Lugo +2 Handicap

  • Since the revamped Copa del Rey started in 2019, Atletico Madrid have twice exited the competition away to third tier sides.
  • Atleti are in really poor form away in La Liga, losing their last four road games.

Our Lugo vs Atletico Madrid betting tips also factor in the possibility of a bit of fatigue after Atleti’s damaging 4-3 loss at Girona in midweek.

Latest odds

Highest odds accross 1 bookmakers

Lugo

Draw

Atletico Madrid

Bookmakers comparison
Bookmaker
Lugo Lugo Lugo
Draw
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid Atletico

Last Five - Lugo

06/01/24

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Lugo

Lugo

3

1

L

02/01/24

Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 Spain

es

Celta de Vigo B

Lugo

Lugo

1

0

L

16/12/23

Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 Spain

UE Cornella

UE Cornella

Lugo

Lugo

1

0

L

10/12/23

Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 Spain

Barcelona B

Barcelona B

Lugo

Lugo

1

1

D

06/12/23

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Mirandes

Mirandes

Lugo

Lugo

0

2

W

Last Five - Atletico Madrid

29/02/24

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

0

L

24/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Almeria

Almeria

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

2

D

20/02/24

UEFA Champions League UCL

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

0

L

17/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

5

W

11/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Sevilla

Sevilla

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

0

L

Win probability

  • HOME: 14/1 (15.00) – 6.7%
  • DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
  • AWAY: 1/4 (1.25) – 80.0%

The Lugo vs Atletico Madrid odds clearly point towards an away win being the most likely outcome.

However, Lugo were in the Segunda Division until last season and you can back Lugo-Draw Double Chance at 7/2 (4.50), a probability of 22.2%.

You can also back Atletico Madrid to win in Extra Time at 9/1 (10.00), a probability of 10% while Atletico Madrid to win on penalties is 22/1 (23.00), a probability of 4.3%.

Lugo vs Atletico Madrid prediction – Other tips

Lugo 1-1 Atletico Madrid

  • Our Lugo vs Atletico Madrid prediction here takes into account the third tier side’s impressive cup run so far, upsetting Segunda Division Mirandes 2-0 in the last round.
  • Atleti have struggled in recent years in the Copa del Rey, going six years without reaching the Semi Final stage.

Draw

  • Atleti are struggling defensively right now with only 2 clean sheets in their last 8 in all competitions.
  • They’ve not won an away game in Spain since their last trip to Galicia to play Celta Vigo in October.

Lugo vs Atletico Madrid

Lugo vs Atletico Madrid team news

Lugo

The Lugo vs Atletico Madrid lineups should see only light changes from the team who played in their league on Tuesday night. Lucas Diaz is expected to rotate in between the sticks.

Predicted Lineup: Diaz (GK), Johanenko, Gorka Perez, Castrin, Alberto Lopez, Narro, Aguza, Ledesma, Sabit, Antoñín, Aranda

Atletico Madrid

Atleti are still missing Thomas Lemar while this game may come too soon for Pablo Barrios following his injury. Reinildo is away on AFCON duty with some rotation expected from Diego Simeone.

Predicted Lineup: Grbic (GK), Hermoso, Savic, Azplicueta, Lino, De Paul, Koke, Saul, Molina, Depay, Correa

Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

Player to watch – Memphis Depay

Rotation could give Memphis Depay more minutes than he has been used in a difficult season for the Dutchman.

He’s recovered from injury now but has found game-time limited behind in-form Alvaro Morata who bagged a hat-trick in the 4-3 defeat against Girona in midweek.

Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.


Avatar of Mark Sochon
Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.