Venezuela vs Italy prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/03/2024

Italy
21/03/24 - 21:00

Finished

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Venezuela

Italy - Venezuela

International Match

Venezuela vs Italy prediction
Jorginho (Italien) looks on during the UEFA EURO 2024 European Qualifiers – Group C match – Photo by Icon Sport

Venezuela and Italy make the trip to the Chase Stadium in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, this week to go head-to-head in an international friendly.

These two teams have never locked horns before but we are backing both to find the back of the net on Thursday and you can find even more goalscoring tips in our betting insights area.

Venezuela vs Italy predictions: A close and competitive 90 minutes expected

Venezuela vs Italy Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

BTTS

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Venezuela 1-1 Italy

⬇️ Total Goals predictions

Under 2.5 Goals

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in four of Italy's last six outings in all competitions, while two of Venezuela's last three away trips have produced goals at both ends of the pitch.
  • Italy haven't won any of their last three away games, while Venezuela have drawn three of their last five fixtures.
  • Two of Italy's last three away games have produced under 2.5 goals, while five of Venezuela's last six fixtures have witnessed fewer than three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The odds favour the Europeans

  • HOME: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
  • DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
  • AWAY: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Italy are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 67.7%, and we tend to agree with this selection

Italy haven't been at their best of late, only managing a goalless draw with Ukraine last time out but have won three, drawn two and lost one of their last six matches. Venezuela lost 1-0 against Colombia in December but their form has been solid of late with two wins, three draws and one defeat from their last six outings.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Double Chance market. If you want to back Italy or Draw the odds stand at 1/9 (1.11) with a probability of 90%, while Venezuela or Italy has odds of 2/9 (1.22) with a probability of 81.8%, while Venezuela or Draw is priced at 15/8 (2.88) which has a probability of 34.8%.

Last five H2Hs: First-ever meeting

These two nations have never played one another before so Thursday's match marks an historic day for both countries.

Team news and form guide

Venezuela: Only lost one of last six

Roberto Rosales, Jhon Chancellor, Mikel Villanueva, Ronald Hernández, Júnior Moreno, Yeferson Soteldo, Yangel Herrera, Eduard Bello and Josef Martínez will not be available for Venezuela this week due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Graterol (GK), González, Vivas, Rivas, Ángel, Rincón, Machís, Otero, Murillo, Rondón & Savarino

International Match 24/03/24

D

Guatemala

Guatemala

0

Venezuela

Venezuela

0

International Match 21/03/24

L

Italy

Italy

2

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

International Match 10/12/23

L

Colombia

Colombia

1

Venezuela

Venezuela

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 22/11/23

D

Peru

Peru

1

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/23

D

Ecuador

Ecuador

0

Venezuela

Venezuela

0

Italy: Not at their best away from home

Cristiano Biraghi, Gianluca Mancini, Rafael Tolói, Leonardo Spinazzola, Leonardo Bonucci, Alessandro Florenzi, Emerson Palmieri, Bryan Cristante, Matteo Pessina, Marco Verratti, Stephan El Shaarawy, Domenico Berardi and Ciro Immobile are all missing from the Italy squad for one reason or another.

Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Acerbi, Di Lorenzo, Dimarco, Buongiorno, Jorginho, Barella, Frattesi, Zaniolo, Chiesa & Raspadori

International Match 24/03/24

W

Ecuador

Ecuador

0

Italy

Italy

2

International Match 21/03/24

W

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Italy

Italy

2

Euro 2024 Qualifying 20/11/23

D

Ukraine

Ukraine

0

Italy

Italy

0

Euro 2024 Qualifying 17/11/23

W

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

2

Italy

Italy

5

Euro 2024 Qualifying 17/10/23

L

England

England

3

Italy

Italy

1

Player to watch – Davide Frattesi

Inter Milan midfielder Davide Frattesi was arguably Italy's best player during the Euro 2024 qualifiers, top scoring with three goals.

Davide Frattesi player to watch
Davide Frattesi (Inter) during Serie A Tim match between Bologna and Inter – Photo by Icon Sport

The 24-year-old is on loan at Inter Milan from Sassuolo but is expected to make the move permanent in the future after featuring in 23 league games and scoring four goals for the Italian giants this season.

One of Italy's top performers during the Euro 2024 qualifiers

Thursday's clash with Venezuela in Florida might only be a friendly but Italy must improve their overall performance and should be looking to play a strong side and secure a win against the South Americans, so we expect Frattesi to play most of the game and provide one of Italy's biggest goal threats.


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.