Venezuela vs Italy prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/03/2024

21/03/24 - 21:00

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Italy - Venezuela

International Match

Venezuela and Italy make the trip to the Chase Stadium in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, this week to go head-to-head in an international friendly.

These two teams have never locked horns before but we are backing both to find the back of the net on Thursday and you can find even more goalscoring tips in our betting insights area.

Venezuela vs Italy predictions: A close and competitive 90 minutes expected

Key Stats

• Both teams have scored in four of Italy's last six outings in all competitions, while two of Venezuela's last three away trips have produced goals at both ends of the pitch.
• Italy haven't won any of their last three away games, while Venezuela have drawn three of their last five fixtures.
• Two of Italy's last three away games have produced under 2.5 goals, while five of Venezuela's last six fixtures have witnessed fewer than three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The odds favour the Europeans

• HOME: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
• DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
• AWAY: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Italy are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 67.7%, and we tend to agree with this selection

Italy haven't been at their best of late, only managing a goalless draw with Ukraine last time out but have won three, drawn two and lost one of their last six matches. Venezuela lost 1-0 against Colombia in December but their form has been solid of late with two wins, three draws and one defeat from their last six outings.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Double Chance market. If you want to back Italy or Draw the odds stand at 1/9 (1.11) with a probability of 90%, while Venezuela or Italy has odds of 2/9 (1.22) with a probability of 81.8%, while Venezuela or Draw is priced at 15/8 (2.88) which has a probability of 34.8%.

Last five H2Hs: First-ever meeting

These two nations have never played one another before so Thursday's match marks an historic day for both countries.

Team news and form guide

Venezuela: Only lost one of last six

Roberto Rosales, Jhon Chancellor, Mikel Villanueva, Ronald Hernández, Júnior Moreno, Yeferson Soteldo, Yangel Herrera, Eduard Bello and Josef Martínez will not be available for Venezuela this week due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Graterol (GK), González, Vivas, Rivas, Ángel, Rincón, Machís, Otero, Murillo, Rondón & Savarino

South America - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/24

L

Bolivia

4

Venezuela

0

Copa America 06/07/24

L

Canada

1 (4)

Venezuela

1 (3)

Copa America 01/07/24

W

Jamaica

0

Venezuela

3

Copa America 27/06/24

W

Mexico

0

Venezuela

1

Copa America 22/06/24

W

Ecuador

1

Venezuela

2

Italy: Not at their best away from home

Cristiano Biraghi, Gianluca Mancini, Rafael Tolói, Leonardo Spinazzola, Leonardo Bonucci, Alessandro Florenzi, Emerson Palmieri, Bryan Cristante, Matteo Pessina, Marco Verratti, Stephan El Shaarawy, Domenico Berardi and Ciro Immobile are all missing from the Italy squad for one reason or another.

Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Acerbi, Di Lorenzo, Dimarco, Buongiorno, Jorginho, Barella, Frattesi, Zaniolo, Chiesa & Raspadori

Euro 2024 29/06/24

L

Switzerland

2

Italy

0

Euro 2024 24/06/24

D

Croatia

1

Italy

1

Euro 2024 20/06/24

L

Spain

1

Italy

0

Euro 2024 15/06/24

W

Albania

1

Italy

2

International Match 09/06/24

W

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0

Italy

1

Player to watch – Davide Frattesi

Inter Milan midfielder Davide Frattesi was arguably Italy's best player during the Euro 2024 qualifiers, top scoring with three goals.

The 24-year-old is on loan at Inter Milan from Sassuolo but is expected to make the move permanent in the future after featuring in 23 league games and scoring four goals for the Italian giants this season.

One of Italy's top performers during the Euro 2024 qualifiers

Thursday's clash with Venezuela in Florida might only be a friendly but Italy must improve their overall performance and should be looking to play a strong side and secure a win against the South Americans, so we expect Frattesi to play most of the game and provide one of Italy's biggest goal threats.