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Sunderland - Newcastle
England FA Cup - Stadium of Light
Prediction 1
Sunderland or Draw
1/1 (2.00)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
1-0 Sunderland
14/1 (15.00)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change
We're bringing you our FA Cup betting tips ahead of the Tyne-Wear derby between Championship side Sunderland and their Premier League guests Newcastle. It is safe to say that there is no love lost between these two teams and while the Magpies head into the game as the clear favourite with the bookmakers, history suggests that Sunderland could cause an upset.
Contents
Sunderland vs Newcastle prediction – Betting tips & odds
Hot Tip – Sunderland Double Chance
- Sunderland are unbeaten in their last nine games against Newcastle.
- Sunderland have picked up three wins and a draw from their last six matches.
Another reason that we have backed Sunderland to win or draw as our main prediction is that Newcastle have only won one of their last six matches in all competitions.
Latest odds
Head to Head
20/03/16
England Premier League EPL
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
1
25/10/15
England Premier League EPL
Sunderland
Newcastle
3
0
05/04/15
England Premier League EPL
Sunderland
Newcastle
1
0
21/12/14
England Premier League EPL
Newcastle
Sunderland
0
1
Last Five - Sunderland
01/10/24
England Championship CHA
Derby
Sunderland
0
2
W
28/09/24
England Championship CHA
Watford
Sunderland
2
1
L
21/09/24
England Championship CHA
Middlesbrough
Sunderland
0
1
W
14/09/24
England Championship CHA
Plymouth
Sunderland
3
2
L
31/08/24
England Championship CHA
Portsmouth
Sunderland
1
3
W
Last Five - Newcastle
01/10/24
England EFL Cup EFL Cup
AFC Wimbledon
Newcastle
0
1
W
28/09/24
England Premier League EPL
Man City
Newcastle
1
1
D
21/09/24
England Premier League EPL
Fulham
Newcastle
3
1
L
15/09/24
England Premier League EPL
Wolverhampton
Newcastle
1
2
W
01/09/24
England Premier League EPL
Tottenham
Newcastle
1
2
W
Win probability
- HOME: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
- DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
- AWAY: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
Newcastle are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 55.6%, but this is the FA Cup, a competition that so often produces upsets. If you want more football betting tips on this game, check out the Both Teams to Score market.
If, like us, you want to back BTTS – No for this FA Cup tie the odds stand at 13/10 (2.30) with a probability of 43.5%, but if you want to go with BTTS you can get odds of 7/10 (1.70) which has a probability of 58.8%.
Sunderland vs Newcastle prediction – Other tips
Correct Score: 1-0
- Sunderland have won five of their last six encounters with Newcastle.
- Five of Sunderland's last six wins against Newcastle have been accompanied by a clean sheet.
Under 2.5 Goals
- Three of the last four meetings between Sunderland and Newcastle have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Five of Sunderland's last six matches have ended with fewer than three goals scored.
Sunderland vs Newcastle team news
Sunderland
The Black Cats played host to Preston North End on New Year's Day where an early goal from Alex Pritchard set the home side on their way to victory. Shortly before the halftime interval, Nazariy Rusyn put Sunderland 2-0 up and with no further goals in the second forty-five, the hosts kicked off 2024 with three points.
Bradley Dack, Niall Huggins, Dennis Cirkin, Jay Matete and Corry Evans could all miss the big derby match due to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Patterson (GK), Ballard, Alese, Hume, Pritchard, O'Nien, Neil, Ekwah, Bellingham, Rusyn & Clarke
Newcastle
Newcastle made the trip to Liverpool knowing that their away form was poor and any chance of coming away with even a point looked slim, especially given their list of injured players right now. Liverpool dominated the game and ended up winning 4-2, despite missing a penalty. Alexander Isak and Sven Botman scored Newcastle's consolation goals in the second half.
Nick Pope, Jacob Murphy, Harvey Barnes, Callum Wilson, Elliot Anderson and Javier Manquillo are all injured and won't feature this weekend, while there are also doubts over Kieran Trippier and Joe Willock.
Predicted Lineup: Dúbravka (GK), Schär, Burn, Botman, Livramento, Guimarães, Longstaff, Almirón, Joelinton, Isak & Gordon
Sunderland
Newcastle
*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: Jack Clarke
Sunderland's 23-year-old forward has been in great form this season, netting twelve times in the Championship.
The former Leeds and Tottenham striker announced himself in English football last season when he scored nine times for Sunderland on their return to the Championship. Having already surpassed his nine-goal tally from the previous campaign, Clarke is enjoying his best-ever goals return of his professional career and we're backing him to impress on Saturday in the Tyne-Wear derby.
