Sunderland vs Newcastle prediction, odds & betting tips 06/01/2024

Sunderland
06/01/24 - 12:45

Finished

0

-

3

Newcastle

Sunderland - Newcastle

England FA Cup - Stadium of Light

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

We're bringing you our FA Cup betting tips ahead of the Tyne-Wear derby between Championship side Sunderland and their Premier League guests Newcastle. It is safe to say that there is no love lost between these two teams and while the Magpies head into the game as the clear favourite with the bookmakers, history suggests that Sunderland could cause an upset.

Sunderland vs Newcastle prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Sunderland Double Chance

  • Sunderland are unbeaten in their last nine games against Newcastle.
  • Sunderland have picked up three wins and a draw from their last six matches.

Another reason that we have backed Sunderland to win or draw as our main prediction is that Newcastle have only won one of their last six matches in all competitions.

Latest odds

Head to Head

06/01/24

England FA Cup FA Cup

Sunderland

Sunderland

Newcastle

Newcastle

0

0

20/03/16

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

1

25/10/15

England Premier League EPL

Sunderland

Sunderland

Newcastle

Newcastle

3

0

05/04/15

England Premier League EPL

Sunderland

Sunderland

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

0

21/12/14

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Sunderland

Sunderland

0

1

Last Five - Sunderland

24/02/24

England Championship CHA

Swansea

Swansea

Sunderland

Sunderland

2

1

L

17/02/24

England Championship CHA

Birmingham

Birmingham

Sunderland

Sunderland

2

1

L

14/02/24

England Championship CHA

Huddersfield

Huddersfield

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

0

L

10/02/24

England Championship CHA

gb

Plymouth

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

3

W

04/02/24

England Championship CHA

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

1

D

Last Five - Newcastle

27/02/24

England FA Cup FA Cup

Blackburn

Blackburn

Newcastle

Newcastle

1 (3)

1 (4)

W

24/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Arsenal

Arsenal

Newcastle

Newcastle

4

1

L

17/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

2

D

10/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

3

W

03/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Luton

Luton

Newcastle

Newcastle

4

4

D

Win probability

  • HOME: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
  • DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
  • AWAY: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%

Newcastle are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 55.6%, but this is the FA Cup, a competition that so often produces upsets. If you want more football betting tips on this game, check out the Both Teams to Score market.

If, like us, you want to back BTTS – No for this FA Cup tie the odds stand at 13/10 (2.30) with a probability of 43.5%, but if you want to go with BTTS you can get odds of 7/10 (1.70) which has a probability of 58.8%.

Sunderland vs Newcastle prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 1-0

  • Sunderland have won five of their last six encounters with Newcastle.
  • Five of Sunderland's last six wins against Newcastle have been accompanied by a clean sheet.

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Three of the last four meetings between Sunderland and Newcastle have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Five of Sunderland's last six matches have ended with fewer than three goals scored.

sunderland vs newcastle

Sunderland vs Newcastle team news

Sunderland

The Black Cats played host to Preston North End on New Year's Day where an early goal from Alex Pritchard set the home side on their way to victory. Shortly before the halftime interval, Nazariy Rusyn put Sunderland 2-0 up and with no further goals in the second forty-five, the hosts kicked off 2024 with three points.

Bradley Dack, Niall Huggins, Dennis Cirkin, Jay Matete and Corry Evans could all miss the big derby match due to injury.

Predicted Lineup: Patterson (GK), Ballard, Alese, Hume, Pritchard, O'Nien, Neil, Ekwah, Bellingham, Rusyn & Clarke

Newcastle

Newcastle made the trip to Liverpool knowing that their away form was poor and any chance of coming away with even a point looked slim, especially given their list of injured players right now. Liverpool dominated the game and ended up winning 4-2, despite missing a penalty. Alexander Isak and Sven Botman scored Newcastle's consolation goals in the second half.

Nick Pope, Jacob Murphy, Harvey Barnes, Callum Wilson, Elliot Anderson and Javier Manquillo are all injured and won't feature this weekend, while there are also doubts over Kieran Trippier and Joe Willock.

Predicted Lineup: Dúbravka (GK), Schär, Burn, Botman, Livramento, Guimarães, Longstaff, Almirón, Joelinton, Isak & Gordon

Sunderland

Sunderland
20
Jack Clarke
gb
1
Anthony Patterson
gb
13
Luke O'Nien
gb
32
Trai Hume
gb
24
Dan Neill
gb
21
Alex Pritchard
gb
5
Daniel Ballard
gb
7
Jobe Bellingham
gb
39
Pierre Ekwah
fr
42
Aji Alese
gb
15
Nazary Rusyn
ua
Substitutes
22
Adil Aouchiche
fr
6
Timothee Pembele
fr
30
Nathan Bishop
gb
17
Abdoullah Ba
fr
23
Jenson Seelt
nl
9
Luis Semedo
pt
11
Mason Burstow
gb
25
Nectarios Triantis
au
31
Chris Rigg
gb

Newcastle

Newcastle
1
Martin Dubravka
sk
10
Anthony Gordon
gb
33
Dan Burn
gb
2
Kieran Trippier
gb
24
Miguel Almiron
py
7
Joelinton
br
14
Alexander Isak
se
4
Sven Botman
nl
36
Sean Longstaff
gb
39
Bruno Guimaraes
br
5
Fabian Schar
ch
Substitutes
63
Ben Parkinson
gb
11
Matt Ritchie
gb
17
Emil Krafth
se
20
Lewis Hall
gb
6
Jamaal Lascelles
gb
18
Loris Karius
de
3
Paul Dummett
gb
21
Valentino Livramento
gb
47
Jamie Miley
gb

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Jack Clarke

Sunderland's 23-year-old forward has been in great form this season, netting twelve times in the Championship.

The former Leeds and Tottenham striker announced himself in English football last season when he scored nine times for Sunderland on their return to the Championship. Having already surpassed his nine-goal tally from the previous campaign, Clarke is enjoying his best-ever goals return of his professional career and we're backing him to impress on Saturday in the Tyne-Wear derby.


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.