Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction, odds & betting tips – 06/03/2024

06/03/24 - 20:00

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Real Madrid - RB Leipzig

UEFA Champions League - Santiago Bernabeu

4th Round

We're bringing you our Champions League predictions for the second leg between Real Madrid and RB Leipzig at the Santiago Bernabéu.

Real Madrid take a slender 1-0 aggregate lead into the second leg of their Champions League tie against RB Leipzig but the Spanish giants have the home advantage on Wednesday night so are the clear favourite to progress into the next round.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig predictions: Real to edge out Leipzig

Key Stats

• Real Madrid have won two of their three previous meetings with RB Leipzig and are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.
• We're expecting goals in this game at both ends of the pitch but have backed Real to win 2-1 as RB Leipzig have conceded at least two goals in three of their last five fixtures but have only failed to score in one of their last six outings.
• Jude Bellingham top scores in the Champions League for Real Madrid this season with four goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds favour Real Madrid

• HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
• DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
• AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Real Madrid are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 63.6%, and it's hard to disagree with the bookmakers on this one.

Real Madrid are in the midst of an unbeaten run right now that spreads back over their last nine fixtures in all competitions, while RB Leipzig have lost two of their last four matches, including their last away game against Bayern Munich,

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. You can back BTTS in this game at 8/13 (1.62) which has a probability of 61.9%, or you could go the other way and back BTTS – No at 13/10 (2.30) with a probability of 43.5%.

Last five H2Hs: No draws between these two sides.

UEFA Champions League 13/02/24

RB Leipzig

0

Real Madrid

1

UEFA Champions League 25/10/22

RB Leipzig

3

Real Madrid

2

UEFA Champions League 14/09/22

Real Madrid

2

RB Leipzig

0

Of the three previous meetings between Real Madrid and RB Leipzig, the Spaniards have claimed two wins and suffered one defeat. A solitary goal from Brahim Díaz proved enough for Madrid to claim a 1-0 win at the Red Bull Arena last month.

Team news and form guide

Real Madrid: Enjoying an unbeaten run

Real could be without two key players for Wednesday's match as defender Éder Militão and goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois are both suffering from ACL injuries, though the latter is back in training now but the RB Leipzig game could come too soon for the former Chelsea man.

Predicted lineup: Lunin (GK), Carvajal, Rüdiger, Mendy, Kroos, Valverde, Tchouaméni, Camavinga, Bellingham, Júnior & Rodrygo

UEFA Champions League 11/02/25

W

Man City

2

Real Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 08/02/25

D

Atletico Madrid

1

Real Madrid

1

Spain Copa del Rey 05/02/25

W

Leganes

2

Real Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 01/02/25

L

Espanyol

1

Real Madrid

0

UEFA Champions League 29/01/25

W

Brest

0

Real Madrid

3

RB Leipzig: Recent form has been hit-and-miss

Mohamed Simakan is unavailable for the second leg after he picked up another yellow card in the last meeting between these two clubs, while defender Lukas Klostermann has a hip injury that is expected to keep him sidelined for another week or two.

Predicted lineup: Gulácsi (GK), Orbán, Henrichs, Raum, Lukeba, Olmo, Haidara, Baumgartner, Seiwald, Simons & Šeško

Germany Bundesliga I 09/02/25

W

St Pauli

0

RB Leipzig

2

Germany Bundesliga I 01/02/25

D

Union Berlin

0

RB Leipzig

0

UEFA Champions League 29/01/25

L

SK Sturm Graz

1

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga I 25/01/25

D

Bayer Leverkusen

2

RB Leipzig

2

UEFA Champions League 22/01/25

W

Sporting

1

RB Leipzig

2

Player to watch – Jude Bellingham

Jude Bellingham might have gotten sent-off at the weekend as Real Madrid frew 2-2 with Valencia but the England midfielder will be available for Wednesday's big Champions League tie for Carlo Ancelotti's side.

Bellingham has gone up several levels since making the move to the Spanish giants and is the star player in their side which shows in his goals return. The former Borussia Dortmund midfielder top scores for Real Madrid this season with 16 La Liga goals and four in the Champions League.

Bellingham to lead Real Madrid into the next round

We're backing Bellingham to take this game by the scruff of the neck and guide Real Madrid into the next round. It won't be an easy game for the hosts but where there's a way, there's a Bellingham.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Real Madrid

? 122 years a legend.#RealMadrid

— Real Madrid C.F. ???? (@realmadriden) March 6, 2024

RB Lepzig

A special night ahead in his native Spain for @daniolmo7 ??

We caught up with El Mago ? before tonight's big game! #RMARBL #UCL pic.twitter.com/3XYvvUpHJc

— RB Leipzig English (@RBLeipzig_EN) March 6, 2024