Borussia Dortmund vs PSV Eindhoven prediction, odds & betting tips – 13/03/2024

13/03/24 - 20:00

Finished

2

-

0

Borussia Dortmund - PSV

UEFA Champions League - Signal Iduna Park

4th Round

Borussia Dortmund and PSV Eindhoven are deadlocked at 1-1 ahead of the teams’ Champions League Last 16 second-leg encounter at Signal Iduna Park on Wednesday, March 13^th.  View our Champions League betting tips for the clash below.

Borussia Dortmund vs PSV Eindhoven prediction: Can Dortmund make home advantage count?

Key Stats

• Borussia Dortmund avoided defeat in each of their last six Champions League fixtures.
• PSV have won only two of their last nine Champions League away games.
• BTTS landed in five of PSV’s last six matches in this season’s Champions League.
• Dortmund notched twice in two of their last four UCL tussles and in each of their last three Bundesliga fixtures.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Dortmund close to evens

• HOME: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
• DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
• AWAY: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Borussia Dortmund edged past Werder Bremen (2-1) in their last test thanks to Jadon Sancho’s first goal since his Bundesliga comeback. PSV cemented their position at the summit of the Eredivisie meanwhile, thanks to a 1-0 triumph at Go Ahead Eagles. The in-form Dutch giants have lost only once on the road in the Champions League this term, which makes their 30.8% chance of success look a little short.

Other betting tips that caught our eye include taking Dortmund in the unique 2Up and Win market. The Germans have been scoring goals in doubles of late, while PSV shipped at least two goals in three of their four UCL away assignments this season despite losing only once (0-4 vs Arsenal).

Last five H2Hs: Dortmund have never lost to PSV

UEFA Champions League 20/02/24

PSV

1

Borussia Dortmund

1

Elite Club Friendlies 07/01/17

PSV

1

Borussia Dortmund

4

Borussia Dortmund were worth the draw they secured in PSV last month and that was the first competitive encounter between the sides since 2002. Dortmund also won a friendly meeting with PSV 4-1 in January 2017.

Borussia Dortmund preview: Sabitzer is clear to play

Samuel Bamba and Sebastien Haller are both out of action for Dortmund. Marcel Sabitzer is suspended domestically, though the Austrian midfielder is free to feature on Tuesday evening. Nico Schlotterbeck is suspended and will be missing at the back, however.

Predicted lineup: Meyer – Ryerson, Sule, Hummels, Maatsen – Can, Sabitzer, Malen, Brandt, Adeyemi – Fullkrug

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25

W

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Borussia Dortmund

4

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

W

Wolfsburg

0

Borussia Dortmund

4

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Borussia Dortmund

3

Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

2

Borussia Dortmund

3

UEFA Champions League 15/04/25

W

Barcelona

1

Borussia Dortmund

3

PSV Eindhoven preview: De Jong to lead the line for Dutch side

Noa Lang is a long-term absentee for PSV while Ismael Saibari and Joey Veerman are both rated as doubtful. PSV haven't made it to the quarter finals of the Champions League since 2007.

Predicted lineup: Benitez – Teze, Schouten, Boscagli, Dest – Tilman, Veerman, Saibari – Bakayoko, Lozano, de Jong

Netherlands Eredivisie 11/05/25

W

Feyenoord

2

PSV

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 03/05/25

W

Fortuna Sittard

1

PSV

4

Netherlands Eredivisie 24/04/25

W

FC Twente

1

PSV

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 12/04/25

W

Almere City FC

0

PSV

5

Netherlands Eredivisie 05/04/25

W

FC Groningen

1

PSV

3

Player to watch – Donyell Malen

Former PSV winger Donyell Malen scored Dortmund’s goal on his return to his old stomping ground last month and the 25-year-old will be keen to make a similar impact against his old employers in the second leg.

Malen a prospect in two markets

Versatile attacker Malen is in the midst of a purple patch for Dortmund and the Oranje international has scored seven times in his last seven appearances. Malen has also collected four yellow cards in his last six runouts however, and he could be a good candidate in both the anytime scorer and card markets this week.