Portugal vs Sweden prediction, odds & betting tips 21/03/2024

21/03/24 - 19:45

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Portugal - Sweden

International Match

Portugal entertain Swedish on Thursday night in a friendly match but we're expecting both teams to field strong starting elevens with the intention of winning the game.

Cristiano Ronaldo has scored more goals than any other player at international level and we're backing the veteran Portuguese star to impress once again this week.

Portugal vs Sweden predictions: Entertaining 90 minutes on the cards

Key Stats

• Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of the last four encounters between these two nations, while three of Portugal's and four of Sweden's last six outings in all competitions have also produced at least three goals.
• Portugal have won four of their last five head-to-heads against Sweden, scoring exactly three goals in two of their last three victories. Sweden have conceded three goals in each of their last two defeats but have only failed to score in one of their last six matches.
• Cristiano Ronaldo top scores for Portugal during the Euro 2024 qualifiers with 10 goals and has netted a record 128 goals in 205 appearances for his country.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Portugal the clear favourite

• HOME: 21/50 (1.42) – 70.4%
• DRAW: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%
• AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Portugal are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 70.4%, and we also have the home side down as the favourite.

Portugal ran out 2-0 winners at home to Iceland in their last game and have won each of their last six matches in all competitions, while Sweden beat Estonia 2-1 at home in their last game and have won three, drawn one and lost two of their last six fixtures.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. If, like us, you want to back BTTS in this game the odds stand at 6/5 (2.20) with a probability of 45.5%, while a bet on BTTS – No is priced at 4/5 (1.80) which has a probability of 55.6%.

Last five H2Hs: Level pegging

UEFA Nations League 14/10/20

Portugal

3

Sweden

0

UEFA Nations League 08/09/20

Sweden

0

Portugal

2

International Match 28/03/17

Portugal

2

Sweden

3

The head-to-head record between these two sides is level with each team winning seven, drawing six and losing six of their previous 20 encounters.

Team news and form guide

Portugal: Enjoying their winning run

Renato Sanches, João Mário, Diogo Jota, Ricardo Horta and Pedro Neto will miss this week's action for Portugal due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Cancelo, Dias, Dalot, Pepe, Otávio, Fernandes, Palhinha, Silva, Ronaldo & Félix

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

W

Denmark

2

Portugal

5

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

L

Denmark

1

Portugal

0

UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24

D

Croatia

1

Portugal

1

UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24

W

Poland

1

Portugal

5

UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24

D

Scotland

0

Portugal

0

Sweden: Unconvincing of late

Filip Helander, Ken Sema, Martin Olsson, Jesper Karlström, Kristoffer Olsson, Marcus Rohdén, Isaac Kiese Thelin, Viktor Claesson, Robin Quaison and Jesper Karlsson are amongst the more recognisable names not to have been selected for the latest Sweden squad due to form or injury.

Predicted lineup: Olsen (GK), Lindelöf, Augustinsson, Krafth, Helander, Ekdal, Forsberg, Svanberg, Kulusevski, Isak & Gyökeres

International Match 25/03/25

W

Northern Ireland

1

Sweden

5

International Match 22/03/25

L

Luxembourg

1

Sweden

0

UEFA Nations League C 19/11/24

W

Azerbaijan

0

Sweden

6

UEFA Nations League C 16/11/24

W

Slovakia

1

Sweden

2

UEFA Nations League C 14/10/24

W

Estonia

0

Sweden

3

Player to watch – Cristiano Ronaldo

Al Nassr star, Cristiano Ronaldo continues to churn out his best performances in the green and red of Portugal.

The veteran 39-year-old forward top-scored for his country in the Euro 2024 qualifiers with 10 goals and has scored 128 times in 205 caps for Portugal.

Continues to lead by example despite edging towards the end of his career

We're backing Ronaldo to put in yet another impressive display in this friendly match against Sweden as he prepares for what is likely to be his final European Championship.