Portugal League Prediction: Primeira Liga Betting Tips

The Portuguese Primeira Liga is one of Europe's elite leagues with some of the most interesting football played every week. Clubs like Benfica, Porto, and Sporting have transformed Portuguese football and made it one of the most exciting to watch. In this preview, we will introduce you to the league with all the information you will ever need alongside the latest picks and predictions with the outright market fluctuations.

Primeira Liga Picks and Predictions for the Current Week

The Portuguese season is on the finish line, these are some of the best picks of the week:

Braga vs Santa Clara: Braga to Win-to-Nil

  • Santa Clara hasn't scored a goal against Braga in four of the last five matches they played
  • Braga has a four-point advantage over Sporting Lisbon for the final Champions League spot
  • Santa Clara is on the verge of being relegated and has the worst attack in the league

Probability of a positive outcome: 55.9%

Sporting Lisbon vs Maritimo: Over 2.5 Goals

  • Sporting is the best over 2.5 goals team in Primeira Liga this season
  • Maritimo holds the relegation playoffs position
  • The Lisbon outfit is trailing Braga by four points in a battle to earn a Champions League berth

Probability of a positive outcome: 66.7%

Estoril vs Arouca: Estoril to Win

  • Estoril would be almost guaranteed of staying in the league with a win
  • Arouca is close to returning to Europe's competition for the second time ever
  • Estoril is on a two-match losing streak to Arouca

Probability of a positive outcome: 40.8%

Portugal League Prediction: Primeira Liga Betting Tips


Predictions for the possible outcome in the Championship battle

These are the current predictions for Primeira Liga:

Benfica beat Braga in a crucial match last week to put themselves four points ahead of Porto who are on a seven-match winning streak. The other big battle is for the final Champions League spot and it is being led between Braga and Sporting. The relegation order is still up in the air as well. Santa Clara and Pacos Ferreira look like the teams with the biggest odds of dropping down the leagues, while Maritimo will look for a chance to stay in Primeira Liga through the relegation playoffs. Considering that there are only three rounds of matches before the end of the season, the odds are set pretty simply. Braga doesn't have a legitimate chance of winning the title being nine points away from leaders Benfica, so the bookmakers have declared only two possible options. This is what the league table looks like:

Liga Portugal
# Team P W D L +/- Points


34 28 3 3 62 87

FC Porto

34 27 4 3 51 85


34 25 3 6 45 78


34 23 5 6 39 74


34 15 9 10 -1 54


34 16 5 13 -5 53


34 12 10 12 -5 46


34 13 5 16 -8 44


34 12 8 14 -11 44

Casa Pia

34 11 8 15 -9 41


34 11 7 16 -4 40

Rio Ave

34 10 10 14 -7 40

Gil Vicente

34 10 7 17 -9 37


34 10 5 19 -16 35


34 10 4 20 -23 34


34 7 5 22 -31 26

Pacos Ferreira

34 6 5 23 -36 23

Santa Clara

34 5 7 22 -32 22
Portugal League Prediction: Primeira Liga Betting Tips
Lisbon, 02/12/2023 – Sporting Clube de Portugal hosted Futebol Clube do Porto tonight at the Alvalade stadium in Lisbon, in a game counting for the twentieth round of the Primeira Liga 2022/23. Matheus celebrates the 0-1 ( Pedro Rocha / Global Imagens ) – Photo by Icon sport

What do you need to understand regarding Portugal's Primeira Liga?

The Primeira Liga is the highest division of football competition in Portugal that was founded in 1934 and had plenty of changes over the decades. From the 2014-2015 season, the league consists of 18 clubs.

The competition system revolves around a 34-match season with home and away ties with the top two teams earning a direct place in the Champions League. At the same time, the third-placed club has a spot in the Champions League qualification stage.

Other positions led to some of Europe's competitions like the Europa League and the Conference League. To earn those spots, clubs need to be qualified from fourth to sixth in the standings. There is also a place for a Cup-winning team, unless that club has already booked its place by other means, or rather by qualifying through the league system.

When it comes to relegation, the two bottom teams are losing their status while the 16th-placed squad plays in the relegation playoffs against a selected team from the Second Division.

Benfica has the most titles with 37 followed by Porto with 30, and Sporting Lisbon whose tally reached 19 championships. The last time that a team not being one of the three biggest clubs won the title, was in 2001 when Boavista was crowned the champion.

Where can you bet on the Primeira Liga?

There is a host of bookmakers with valuable input about the Primeira Liga that includes round-by-round matchups, odds, and different options involving goals scored, halftime/full-time betting, goalscorers possibilities, and so much more. This includes outright betting as well. Portugal's top division is one of the premier leagues in Europe, and thus it is reasonable to conclude that virtually every bookmaker will give bettors plenty of choices to engage. Betting companies across the UK have all the necessary tools to bring you the very best of Primeira Liga betting.

Bet365 is one of the bookies that will give you plenty of options regarding title-contending teams, and have put Benfica at the forefront of favorites.

You can also take a chance on a broad range of betting companies that will offer you plenty to choose from like Ladbrokes,  Stake, Bet365, William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfred, 888Sport, Betfair, betUK, Betway, Midnite, Coral, Victor, SkyBet, and Unibet.

These are the top bettors for Primeira Liga:

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Questions and Answers about Primeira Liga

  • Who won the most titles? – Benfica is the leading championship record holder with 37 titles and the last being won in 2019
  • What team is the current champion? – Porto won the latest title last season
  • How many teams compete in the Primeira Liga? – Since the 2014-2015 season 18 teams are playing in the league
  • Which player has the most goals scored in the history of the league? – A Sporting Lisbon legend Fernando Peyroteo scored 332 goals
  • What is the name of the official ball for the competition? – For the past three years, the league is using Select Brilliant Super TB ball from Denmark as the origin country
  • Where can you watch Primeira Liga in the UK? – British audience can follow the Portuguese league on BT Sport which is the designated broadcaster
  • What was the biggest transfer fee paid for a player from Portugal's top division? – Atletico Madrid paid £110m to Benfica for Joao Felix in 2019