Portugal League Prediction: Primeira Liga Betting Tips


⚽ Estrela vs Chaves

Estrela To Win

⚽ Rio Ave vs Sporting

Sporting Win-To-Nil

⚽ Gil Vicente vs Porto

Over 2.5 Goals

Photo by Icon Sport

The Portuguese Primeira Liga is one of Europe's elite leagues with some of the most interesting football played every week. Clubs like Benfica, Porto, and Sporting have transformed Portuguese football and made it one of the most exciting to watch. In this preview, we will introduce you to the league with all the information you will ever need alongside the latest picks and predictions with the outright market fluctuations.

Primeira Liga Picks and Predictions for the Current Week

The Portuguese season is on the finish line, these are some of the best picks of the week:

Estrela vs Chaves: Chaves to win @ 21/20 (2.05)

  • Estrela have won two of their last five home games including winning 3-0 last time out
  • Chaves are winless across their last eight away games losing five
  • Chaves have won only one of the last five head to head matches against Estrela

Probability of a positive outcome: 49%

Rio Ave vs Sporting: Sporting Win-To-Nil @ 6/5 (2.20)

  • Rio Ave have scored only three goals in their last five matches
  • Sporting have won their last five matches conceding only one goal
  • Sporting have won the last five head to head games without conceding

Probability of a positive outcome: 46%

Gil Vicente vs Porto: Over 2.5 goals @ 13/20 (1.65)

  • Gil Vicente have gone over 2.5 goals in three of their last four games
  • Porto have gone north of the 2.5 mark in three of their last five matches
  • The last two head to head games have gone over the  2.5 marker

Probability of a positive outcome: 61%


Predictions for the possible outcome in the Championship battle

These are the current predictions for Primeira Liga:

Benfica beat Braga in a crucial match last week to put themselves four points ahead of Porto who are on a seven-match winning streak. The other big battle is for the final Champions League spot and it is being led between Braga and Sporting. The relegation order is still up in the air as well. Santa Clara and Pacos Ferreira look like the teams with the biggest odds of dropping down the leagues, while Maritimo will look for a chance to stay in Primeira Liga through the relegation playoffs. Considering that there are only three rounds of matches before the end of the season, the odds are set pretty simply. Braga doesn't have a legitimate chance of winning the title being nine points away from leaders Benfica, so the bookmakers have declared only two possible options. This is what the league table looks like:

Liga Portugal
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Benfica


22 17 4 1 37 55
2 Sporting


21 18 1 2 41 55
3 FC Porto

FC Porto

22 15 3 4 21 48
4 Braga


22 13 4 5 13 43
5 Guimaraes


22 12 5 5 12 41
6 Moreirense


22 10 5 7 0 35
7 Arouca


22 8 4 10 5 28
8 Famalicao


21 6 8 7 -4 26
9 SC Farense

SC Farense

22 7 5 10 -1 26
10 Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

22 7 4 11 -3 25
11 Boavista


22 6 6 10 -10 24
12 Casa Pia

Casa Pia

22 6 5 11 -15 23
13 Portimonense


22 6 4 12 -21 22
14 Estoril


22 6 3 13 -4 21
15 Estrela


22 5 6 11 -12 21
16 Rio Ave

Rio Ave

22 4 9 9 -9 21
17 Chaves


22 4 5 13 -26 17
18 Vizela


22 3 7 12 -24 16
Lisbon, 02/12/2023 – Sporting Clube de Portugal hosted Futebol Clube do Porto tonight at the Alvalade stadium in Lisbon, in a game counting for the twentieth round of the Primeira Liga 2022/23. Matheus celebrates the 0-1 ( Pedro Rocha / Global Imagens ) – Photo by Icon sport

What do you need to understand regarding Portugal's Primeira Liga?

The Primeira Liga is the highest division of football competition in Portugal that was founded in 1934 and had plenty of changes over the decades. From the 2014-2015 season, the league consists of 18 clubs.

The competition system revolves around a 34-match season with home and away ties with the top two teams earning a direct place in the Champions League. At the same time, the third-placed club has a spot in the Champions League qualification stage.

Other positions led to some of Europe's competitions like the Europa League and the Conference League. To earn those spots, clubs need to be qualified from fourth to sixth in the standings. There is also a place for a Cup-winning team, unless that club has already booked its place by other means, or rather by qualifying through the league system.

When it comes to relegation, the two bottom teams are losing their status while the 16th-placed squad plays in the relegation playoffs against a selected team from the Second Division.

Benfica has the most titles with 37 followed by Porto with 30, and Sporting Lisbon whose tally reached 19 championships. The last time that a team not being one of the three biggest clubs won the title, was in 2001 when Boavista was crowned the champion.

Where can you bet on the Primeira Liga?

There is a host of bookmakers with valuable input about the Primeira Liga that includes round-by-round matchups, odds, and different options involving goals scored, halftime/full-time betting, goalscorers possibilities, and so much more. This includes outright betting as well. Portugal's top division is one of the premier leagues in Europe, and thus it is reasonable to conclude that virtually every bookmaker will give bettors plenty of choices to engage. Betting companies across the UK have all the necessary tools to bring you the very best of Primeira Liga betting.

Bet365 is one of the bookies that will give you plenty of options regarding title-contending teams, and have put Benfica at the forefront of favorites.

You can also take a chance on a broad range of betting companies that will offer you plenty to choose from like Ladbrokes,  Stake, Bet365, William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfred, 888Sport, Betfair, betUK, Betway, Midnite, Coral, Victor, SkyBet, and Unibet.

These are the top bettors for Primeira Liga:

logo STAKE 2022bet365 bónuszkód

If you use Bet365, make sure to take advantage of the bet365 bonus code. On the other hand, if you decide to go with William Hill, don't miss out on the William Hill sign up promo code!

Questions and Answers about Primeira Liga

  • Who won the most titles? – Benfica is the leading championship record holder with 37 titles and the last being won in 2019
  • What team is the current champion? – Porto won the latest title last season
  • How many teams compete in the Primeira Liga? – Since the 2014-2015 season 18 teams are playing in the league
  • Which player has the most goals scored in the history of the league? – A Sporting Lisbon legend Fernando Peyroteo scored 332 goals
  • What is the name of the official ball for the competition? – For the past three years, the league is using Select Brilliant Super TB ball from Denmark as the origin country
  • Where can you watch Primeira Liga in the UK? – British audience can follow the Portuguese league on BT Sport which is the designated broadcaster
  • What was the biggest transfer fee paid for a player from Portugal's top division? – Atletico Madrid paid £110m to Benfica for Joao Felix in 2019

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A dedicated journalist with over 20 years of experience following sports from football, basketball, and tennis. After graduating from Journalism College, Sasa started his career with a desire to travel the world doing what he loves the most, covering meaningful sporting events. Some of those wishes came true, and some are still in the mindset.