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Newport County - Man Utd
England FA Cup - Rodney Parade
Newport County face one of the biggest games in the club's history on Saturday 27 January when they take on Manchester United in the fourth round of the FA Cup. Can Newport produce the mother of all shocks or will Manchester United do what is expected of them? Our Newport County vs Man Utd prediction is for the game to be tighter than many are expecting but for the Reds to progress through to the fifth round.
Newport County vs Man Utd prediction – Betting tips & odds
Hot tip – Newport County +4
- Manchester United haven't beaten anyone by more than three goals all season.
- Newport County can play without pressure while the heat is well and truly on Erik Ten Hag and his underperforming players.
Our Newport County vs Man Utd betting tips are built around the fact that Man Utd are struggling for form and confidence and have been all season. They didn't look particularly great against Wigan Athletic in the previous round and the Latics are only one league above Newport County. Sure, they are likely to win the tie but we can't see a battering.
Latest odds
Last Five - Newport County
03/05/25
England League 2 England
Tranmere
Newport County
4
1
L
26/04/25
England League 2 England
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
2
0
L
21/04/25
England League 2 England
Walsall
Newport County
0
0
D
18/04/25
England League 2 England
Milton Keynes Dons
Newport County
0
0
D
12/04/25
England League 2 England
Colchester
Newport County
2
0
L
Last Five - Man Utd
11/05/25
England Premier League EPL
West Ham
Man Utd
2
0
L
08/05/25
UEFA Europa League UEL
Athletic Bilbao
Man Utd
1
4
W
04/05/25
England Premier League EPL
Brentford
Man Utd
4
3
L
01/05/25
UEFA Europa League UEL
Athletic Bilbao
Man Utd
0
3
W
27/04/25
England Premier League EPL
Bournemouth
Man Utd
1
1
D
Win probability
- HOME: 20/1 (21.0) – 4.8%
- DRAW: 21/2 (11.50) – 8.7%
- AWAY: 1/18 (1.06) – 94.7%
The Newport County vs Man Utd odds suggest that Manchester United have effectively already won the tie and that Newport County will do well to keep the score down to single digits.
The handicap market could be your friend here and if you think Man Utd won't win by more than one goal then you can get Newport County +2 at a price of 27/10 (3.70) – an implied probability of 27%. Marcus Rashford is the favourite to score first at 7/2 (4.50) – an implied probability of 22.2%.
Newport County vs Man Utd prediction – Other tips
Newport County 0-2 Man Utd
- Man Utd have already beaten lower league opposition in the FA Cup this season when they beat Wigan 2-0 in the third round.
- Newport County are unbeaten in seven matches so will have an element of confidence coming into this one.
BTTS – No
- Manchester United will play their strongest eleven as it is their last chance to win a trophy this season. Their best team shouldn't concede chances, nevermind goals, against Newport County.
- Manchester United kept a clean sheet against Wigan Athletic in the last round.
Newport County vs Man Utd team news
Newport County
The Newport County vs Man Utd lineups should see both teams go with their best available lineups. Newport are seeking history while Man Utd need the FA Cup to keep their season alive. The home side will likely go with the same team that overcame Eastleigh in their third-round replay with centre-back Josh Seberry the only injury absentee for the hosts.
Predicted Lineup: Townsend (GK), Mcloughlin, Clarke, Bennett, Delaney, Lewis, Morris, Charsley, Wildig, Evan, Palmer-Houlden
Man Utd
Man Utd could welcome back some injured stars for the trip to Wales on Sunday including Casemiro, Lisandro Martinez and Luke Shaw who have all been in first-team training this week. However, the match has come too soon for Harry Maguire, Mason Mount, Victor Lindelof, Anthony Martial and Tyrell Malacia. Andre Onana will miss the game as he is travelling back from AFCON 2023.
Predicted Lineup: Bayindir (GK), Dalot, Martinez, Varane, Shaw, Casemiro, Mainoo, Fernandes, Garnacho, Hojlund, Rashford
Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.
Newport County
Man Utd
Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.
Player to watch – Kobbie Mainoo
In a season of misery for Manchester United and their supporters, Kobbie Mainoo has been a shining light to give them hope for the future. Mainoo has stood out in midfield in virtually every match he has played for Man Utd and it will be interesting to see how he gets on against the physical Newport County midfield.
