England vs Brazil prediction, odds & betting tips – 23/03/2024

23/03/24 - 19:00

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England - Brazil

International Match

Two of the best footballing nations go head-to-head as England play host to Brazil on Saturday for an international friendly that is bound to attract a lot of attention.

Harry Kane looks set to lead the line for England while his replacement at Tottenham, Richarlison, could start for Brazil and you can find all our goalscoring tips for this game, and more, in our betting insights area.

England vs Brazil predictions: England's experience to make the difference

Key Stats

• England are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Brazil, picking up a 2-1 win when the side locked horns in 2013. The hosts have won four of their last six matches in all competitions while Brazil have lost each of their last three fixtures.
• Brazil haven't conceded more than two goals in any of their last six outings and England have only kept two clean sheets in their last six attempts, so a 2-1 scoreline seems likely this weekend.
• Harry Kane top-scored for England in the Euro 2024 qualifiers with eight goals and heads into this friendly match on the back of nine goals in his last ten appearances for his country.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers backing Southgate's side

• HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
• DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
• AWAY: 31/10 (4.10) – 24.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

England are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 51.3%, and when you look at the squads both managers have selected, it's hard to disagree with the bookmakers.

England are unbeaten in their last ten international matches, drawing their last game away at North Macedonia 1-1, while Brazil have lost three, drawn one and won two of their last six, going down 1-0 at home to Argentina last time out.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. You can back BTTS in this game at 8/9 (1.89) which has a probability of 52.9%, while a bet on BTTS – No is priced at 21/20 (2.05) with a probability of 48.8%.

Last five H2Hs: Brazil lead

International Match 14/11/17

England

0

Brazil

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England have only managed two wins from their 15 previous encounters with Brazil but haven't lost any of the pair's last three meetings, drawing twice and winning once.

Team news and form guide

England: Full of confidence

Marc Guéhi, Kieran Trippier, Luke Shaw, Reece James, Kalvin Phillips, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Mason Mount, Jack Grealish and Callum Wilson have not been selected for the latest England squad but there are four players hoping to make their senior international debuts this weekend as Ezri Konsa, Jarrad Branthwaite, Kobbie Mainoo and Anthony Gordon have been called up.

Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Walker, Maguire, Chilwell, Stones, Bellingham, Henderson, Rice, Foden, Kane & Bowen

UEFA Nations League B 17/11/24

W

Rep of Ireland

0

England

5

UEFA Nations League B 14/11/24

W

Greece

0

England

3

UEFA Nations League B 13/10/24

W

Finland

1

England

3

UEFA Nations League B 10/10/24

L

Greece

2

England

1

UEFA Nations League B 10/09/24

W

Finland

0

England

2

Brazil: Lost last three

The visitors have gone with a fairly inexperienced squad for these friendlies with the likes of Ederson, Alisson, Marquinhos, Emerson Royal, Éder Militão, Casemiro, Gabriel Martinelli, Gabriel Jesus, Neymar and Antony not being selected for one reason or another. Bento, Léo Jardim and Rafael are the three goalkeepers that have been called up and at least one of the trio will make their international debut against England this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Jardim (GK), Bremer, Danilo, Lucas, Couto, Guimarães, André, Luiz, Júnior, Rodrygo & Richarlison

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24

D

Uruguay

1

Brazil

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24

D

Venezuela

1

Brazil

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24

W

Peru

0

Brazil

4

South America - World Cup Qualifying 11/10/24

W

Chile

1

Brazil

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 11/09/24

L

Paraguay

1

Brazil

0

Player to watch – Jarrad Branthwaite

Jarrad Branthwaite has made the step up to senior international football this week after impressing in Everton's defence this season.

The 21-year-old has been in fantastic form for the Toffees despite all the ongoing issues at the club and he is attracting interest from some of Europe's biggest teams, such as Real Madrid.

Will the young Everton star make his international debut against Brazil?

Branthwaite has been likened to former Everton star John Stones who is also in Southgate's latest squad but we believe that Branthwaite is actually a better defender and if he gets his chance on Saturday, he will show the world just how good he is right now and the potential he has to become an England regular.