West Brom vs Chesterfield prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 17/01/2023

West Brom
17/01/23 - 20:00

Finished

4

-

0

Chesterfield

West Brom - Chesterfield

England FA Cup - The Hawthorns

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

West Brom entertain non-league Chesterfield on Tuesday 17th January in a FA Cup third round replay.

West Brom vs Chesterfield: Our top betting predictions

Chesterfield were sensational when these two last met and were agonisingly close to progressing to the next round. Can they get the job done this time round or have they missed their chance? Find out with our West Brom vs Chesterfield match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Baggies to win -1 handicap

We kick off our predictions for this game by backing West Brom to win with a handicap of -1 applied. Sure, last time out the action ended 3-3 but that was a bonkers game. You can look at the game in a slightly different manner too. Firstly, Chesterfield were at home, which makes a big difference in these “David & Goliath” type games and, secondly, Chesterfield showed they're defensively vulnerable. If you're putting money on Chesterfield scoring three again or conceding three again then the smart bet is definitely on the latter. That's exactly why we think the Baggies will breeze to a win this time out.

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Going over 2.5 goals

Our next prediction for this game comes from the total goals market and we are backing this to be another high scoring game as we bet on over 2.5 goals. The last match between these two obviously ended in a six goal draw. We don't see that happening again but seeing three goals is very likely. West Brom followed up their FA Cup clash with a five goal thriller at Luton in the Championship whilst Chesterfield haven't been involved in a game going south of 2.5 goals since December 3rd.

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Here are the key stats & form guide for West Brom vs Chesterfield

Head to Head

07/01/23

England FA Cup FA Cup

Chesterfield

Chesterfield

West Brom

West Brom

3

3

Last Five - West Brom

10/04/24

England Championship CHA

Rotherham

Rotherham

West Brom

West Brom

0

2

W

06/04/24

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

West Brom

West Brom

2

2

D

01/04/24

England Championship CHA

Watford

Watford

West Brom

West Brom

2

2

D

29/03/24

England Championship CHA

Millwall

Millwall

West Brom

West Brom

1

1

D

16/03/24

England Championship CHA

Bristol City

Bristol City

West Brom

West Brom

0

2

W

Last Five - Chesterfield

01/04/24

England National League England

Kidderminster

Kidderminster

Chesterfield

Chesterfield

3

1

L

29/03/24

England National League England

York

York

Chesterfield

Chesterfield

2

1

L

23/03/24

England National League England

Boreham Wood

Boreham Wood

Chesterfield

Chesterfield

0

3

W

20/03/24

England National League England

Halifax

Halifax

Chesterfield

Chesterfield

4

2

L

16/03/24

England National League England

Oldham

Oldham

Chesterfield

Chesterfield

2

2

D

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.

West Brom odds: 3/8 (1.38) – 73%

Draw odds: 15/4 (4.75) – 21%

Chesterfield odds: 6/1 (7.00) – 14%

We've backed West Brom at 1/1 (2.00) but you have to remember that's a handicap wager. In a straight match result bet, the Baggies are the massive favourites at 3/8 (1.38) with the prospect of a Chesterfield win a significant long shot at 7/1 (8.00). The other outcome possibility is obviously the draw, which occurred last time. The bookies have that available at 15/4 (4.75), which perhaps suggests they've missed their chance of progressing. As for other markets of interest, the bookies clearly fancy Chesterfield to at least score again. The non-league outfit going over 0.5 goals scored is odds on.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of West Brom vs Chesterfield

West Brom

West Brom will have been disappointed to need a replay in this clash but this will be a very different game. Even with the struggles in the first meeting, West Brom's team has more quality and they could go with the same XI again and a “give a true account of yourselves” type team talk. The sheer pressure of being expected to win in front of their home fans will ensure there is no complacency too.

Predicted lineup – Button, Ashworth, Ajayi, Kelly, Gardner-Hickman, Diangana, Livermore, Rogic, Reach, Grant, Thomas-Asante

Chesterfield

Chesterfield haven't played since facing West Brom last week so have had a full 10 days to recover from that barnstorming game. With how well Paul Cook's men played in that game it is highly likely that he doesn't ring the changes for this game. Expect the same XI to take to the field.

Predicted lineup – Fitzsimons, King, Williams, Grimes, Clements, Jones, Mandeville, Akinola, Oldaker, Dobra, Quigley

Starting Lineups

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

West Brom should have the lion's share of this game but it's actually a Chesterfield player we're picking out to watch, Armando Dobra. The former Ipswich youngster scored a brace in the previous meeting allowing Chesterfield fans to dream of victory and his broader form is good too. He has four goals in his last four matches.

A quickfire FAQ on West Brom vs Chesterfield

West Brom vs Chesterfield prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – The Hawthorns
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – West Brom
  • What time does the match kick off?  20:00 GMT
  • What respective leagues do these two teams play in? West Brom are the higher ranked side of the two playing their football in England's second tier, the Championship. Chesterfield meanwhile are currently battling to win promotion from the National League, which is the fifth tier of the pyramid.
  • Has either team ever won the FA Cup? Chesterfield have never won the a major honour. West Brom, however, have won the FA Cup numerous times. The Baggies first lifted the famous trophy in 1888 beating Preston North End. A second triumph came four years later in a win over rivals Aston Villa before another rival, Birmingham, was seen off in the 1931 final. Another two cup wins came in 1954 and 1968 respectively.
  • Who is Chesterfield's manager? Non-League Chesterfield are currently managed by Paul Cook, who previously managed the club between 2012 and 2015 prior to spells with Portsmouth, Wigan and Ipswich.

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Ash Munson

Ash an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!