Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 28/02/2024

Chelsea
28/02/24 - 19:30

Finished

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Leeds

Chelsea - Leeds

England FA Cup - Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Leeds prediction
Leeds will be hoping to cause a major FA Cup upset at Stamford Bridge- Photo by Icon Sport

Chelsea welcome Leeds United to Stamford Bridge in the FA Cup fifth round just days after their Wembley heartbreak in the Carabao Cup final. The Blues will be hoping to go back to the national stadium and lift the FA Cup, but they'll be up against an in-form Leeds side.

Chelsea vs Leeds prediction: Premier League giants hope to avenge Wembley heartbreak

TEAM A vs TEAM B predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

BTTS - Yes

⚽ Correct score prediction

Chelsea 1-1 Leeds

⚽️ Anytime goalscorer

Nicolas Jackson

Key stats

  • Leeds have beaten Chelsea just once in their last 10 meetings
  • Chelsea haven't won at Stamford Bridge in February
  • Leeds haven't conceded more than one goal in a game since Boxing Day

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea expected to reach the quarter-finals

Home: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%

Draw: 13/4 (4.25) – 23.5%

Away: 5/1 (6.0) – 16.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite Chelsea having yet another below-par season compared to their very high standards, they've reached a cup final and are two wins away from returning to Wembley in the FA Cup. However, outside of the Premier League, Leeds are probably the last team Mauricio Pochettino wanted to see the Blues draw.

Daniel Farke's Leeds side have nothing to lose heading to Stamford Bridge and after a huge win against Leicester City last week, the Championship high-flyers will be brimming with confidence. With Leeds in such fine form, you may not wish to back an outright winner, so be sure to check out all the other free betting tips we have to offer midweek.

Last five H2Hs: Leeds often struggle against the Blues

England Premier League 04/03/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Leeds

Leeds

0

England Premier League 21/08/22

Leeds

Leeds

3
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

England Premier League 11/05/22

Leeds

Leeds

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

3

England Premier League 11/12/21

Chelsea

Chelsea

3
Leeds

Leeds

2

England Premier League 13/03/21

Leeds

Leeds

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

Chelsea have scored three goals in three of their past five meetings between the two teams, although last time out they edged out a 1-0 win, which could be more of what to expect on Wednesday.

Chelsea preview: Pochettino desperate to keep silverware dream alive

After back-to-back wins at the beginning of February, Chelsea have now not tasted victory in their past two games against Manchester City and Liverpool, but they will be confident of brushing aside Championship outfit Leeds United.

Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK) – Colwill, Chalobah, Disasi, Gusto – Caicedo, Gallagher – Mudryk, Nkunku, Madueke – Jackson

England FA Cup 08/02/25

L

Brighton

Brighton

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 03/02/25

W

West Ham

West Ham

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 25/01/25

L

Man City

Man City

3

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 20/01/25

W

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

England Premier League 14/01/25

D

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Leeds preview: A huge upset could be on the cards, but promotion is the priority

Leeds will fancy themselves to cause a cup upset on Wednesday given the fantastic form they've been in during 2024. However, Farke could well rotate some of his side because promotion out of the Championship is more important.

Predicted lineup: Klaesson (GK) – Firpo, Cresswell, Cooper, Roberts – Kamara, Gruev – James, Piroe, Gnonto – Bamford

England Championship 11/02/25

W

Watford

Watford

0

Leeds

Leeds

4

England FA Cup 08/02/25

L

Millwall

Millwall

2

Leeds

Leeds

0

England Championship 05/02/25

W

Coventry

Coventry

0

Leeds

Leeds

2

England Championship 01/02/25

W

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

Leeds

Leeds

7

England Championship 27/01/25

D

Burnley

Burnley

0

Leeds

Leeds

0

Chelsea's Noni Madueke
Noni Madueke has struggled to excel at Chelsea with just five goal involvements this season – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Noni Madueke

It's just the five goal involvements this season for Noni Madueke, but against a Championship side who will likely rotate, it's a great time for the winger to get his confidence levels up; especially after a poor Carabao Cup display.

Madueke to be the Chelsea spark

Despite it appearing to be a poor season for Madueke on paper, his underlying stats tell a different story. The English winger is second when it comes to shot-creating actions per 90 minutes out of players to have started a league game. So, if he can get a striker capable of finishing off his chances, Madueke will be thriving at Stamford Bridge.