West Ham vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips – 10/03/2024

10/03/24 - 14:00

Finished

2

-

2

West Ham - Burnley

England Premier League - London Stadium

It's time for our Premier League predictions ahead of Brunley's trip to the capital to face West Ham on Sunday.

West Ham's form has improved of late while Burnley continue to suffer defeat after defeat which makes this game feel more like it's about just how many goals the Hammers are going to win by and opens up the option for some handicap betting.

West Ham vs Burnley predictions: Home win on the cards

Key Stats

• West Ham have won three of their last five encounters with Burnley and head into Sunday's match on the back of wins against Brentford and Everton, while Burnley have lost five of their last six matches and have failed to score in their last three outings.
• West Ham have scored three or more goals in their last two league games, while Burnley have conceded three or more goals in four of their last six matches and haven't scored in any of their last three in the league.
• Jarrod Bowen top scores for West Ham this season with 14 league goals, three of which arrived in West Ham's last home game against Brentford.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The Odds favour the home side

• HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%
• DRAW: 33/10 (4.30) – 23.3%
• AWAY: 23/5 (5.60) – 17.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

West Ham are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 60%, and we can't see this game ending in anything but a home win on Sunday.

West Ham have returned to form following a disappointing run of results and now go in search of a third straight league win on Sunday. Burnley have made losing a habit and it's hard to see just how Vicent Kompany can guide his club to safety this season.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. If you want to back under 2.5 goals to be scored in Sunday's match the odds stand at 6/5 (2.20) with a probability of 45.5%, while a bet on over 2.5 goals is priced at 8/11 (1.73) which has a probability of 57.9%.

Last five H2Hs: Hammers unbeaten in last five against Burnley

England Premier League 25/11/23

Burnley

1

West Ham

2

England Premier League 17/04/22

West Ham

1

Burnley

1

England Premier League 12/12/21

Burnley

0

West Ham

0

England Premier League 03/05/21

Burnley

1

West Ham

2

England Premier League 16/01/21

West Ham

1

Burnley

0

West Ham have picked up three wins in their last five games against Burnley, including a 2-1 win at Turf Moor in November. The Hammers haven't lost against the North West club since 2020.

Team news and form guide

West Ham: Won back-to-back games

The two main injury concerns for West Ham this weekend are Maxwel Cornet and Nayef Aguerd, neither of whom featured in the 3-1 win at Goodison Park last weekend.

Predicted lineup: Areola (GK), Coufal, Zouma, Emerson, Mavropanos, Ward-Prowse, Souček, Paquetá, Álvarez, Kudus & Bowen

England Premier League 11/05/25

W

Man Utd

0

West Ham

2

England Premier League 04/05/25

D

Tottenham

1

West Ham

1

England Premier League 26/04/25

L

Brighton

3

West Ham

2

England Premier League 19/04/25

D

Southampton

1

West Ham

1

England Premier League 13/04/25

L

Liverpool

2

West Ham

1

Burnley: Lost five of last six

Aaron Ramsey, Nathan Redmond, Lyle Foster, Luca Koleosho and Jordan Beyer look set to miss the trip to the London Stadium on Sunday due to injury but Josh Brownhill is available for selection following a suspension.

Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Taylor, O'Shea, Vitinho, Esteve, Assignon, Berge, Brownhill, Bruun Larsen, Fofana & Odobert

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Millwall

1

Burnley

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

QPR

0

Burnley

5

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Watford

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 11/04/25

W

Norwich

1

Burnley

2

Player to watch – Lucas Paqueta

West Ham's Brazilian attacking midfielder is back from injury and will cause the Burnley defence plenty of headaches this weekend.

Paqueta is one of the most creative players in this West Ham side and has five assists in the Premier League this season, along with a couple of goals. The Brazilian oozes clash on the ball and always picks up good positions in and around the penalty area making him hard to mark.

Adds class and quality to the West Ham side

We're backing Paqueta to run the show this weekend and help guide the Hammers to a third straight league win.