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Blackburn - Newcastle
England FA Cup - Ewood Park
Blackburn will host Newcastle in the fifth round of the FA Cup on Tuesday, 27 February.
Will Blackburn manage to surprise their opponents from the top flight or will Newcastle do what's expected of them? Read our Blackburn vs Newcastle prediction to learn more about this match, but remember to check out some of our other FA Cup betting tips.
Contents
Blackburn vs Newcastle prediction: Newcastle hoping to go all the way
| ⚽ Winner prediction |
Newcastle |
| ⚽ Total goals prediction |
Over 2.5 total goals |
| ⚽ Correct score prediction |
1-3 |
Neither of these two teams is in good form at the moment – Blackburn have been on a four-game winless streak in Championship, while Newcastle have been inconsistent this entire season, which is why they're only in the ninth place in the Premier League.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favouring Newcastle
- HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.40%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.00%
- AWAY: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.50%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
While Newcastle are hardly in great form with two wins in the last six Premier League matches, they are the expected winners here given the simple fact that they play in a league above Blackburn.
Last five H2Hs: An evenly-matched H2H record
England EFL Cup 15/09/20
Newcastle
Blackburn
England FA Cup 15/01/19
Blackburn
Newcastle
England FA Cup 05/01/19
Newcastle
Blackburn
England Championship 02/01/17
Blackburn
Newcastle
England Championship 26/11/16
Newcastle
Blackburn
These two teams have met in 2020 for the last time and in the last five duels Blackburn have done a bit better, with two wins compared to Newcastle's lone triumph. Overall, the situation is similar, with the H2H record standing at 59-33-54 for Newcastle.
Team news and form guide
Blackburn: Can Blackburn continue their FA Cup run?
Reaching the fifth round of the FA Cup as a Championship team is already comendable, but Blackburn will be hoping for another suprise and a place in the quarter finals. However, the team is on a run of four games without a win in Championship and they are currently just four points ahead of the first team in the relegation zone in the league. Joe Rankin-Costello, Hayden Carter, John Fleck, and Ryan Hedgeson are out of this game with injuries, while Harry Leonard is doubtful.
Predicted Lineup – Pears – Hyam, McFadzean, Wharton – Brittain, Tronstad, Garrett, Sigurdsson – Moran, Gallagher, Szmodics
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Sheff Utd
1
Blackburn
1
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Watford
1
Blackburn
2
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Sunderland
0
Blackburn
1
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Millwall
1
Blackburn
4
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Luton
0
Blackburn
1
Newcastle: FA Cup silverware the only way to Europe for Newcastle?
Unlike last season when they secured Champions League, Newcastle doesn't seem likely to get to Europe through Premier League given that they are currently only in the ninth place in the standings. So, winning the FA Cup might be their best chance to secure European football. Meanwhile, the team is currently without injured Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Callum Wilson, Elliot Anderson, Nick Pope, and Matt Targett, while Martin Dubravka is ill and doubtful.
Predicted Lineup – Karius – Trippier, Schar, Botman, Burn – Bruno, Willock, S. Longstaff – Barnes, J. Murphy, Isak
England Premier League 11/05/25
W
Chelsea
0
Newcastle
2
England Premier League 04/05/25
D
Brighton
1
Newcastle
1
England Premier League 26/04/25
W
Ipswich
0
Newcastle
3
England Premier League 19/04/25
L
Aston Villa
4
Newcastle
1
England Premier League 16/04/25
W
Crystal Palace
0
Newcastle
5
Our free expert picks: Newcastle to win with three or more goals in the game
Before we go into detail with our free betting tips for this game, let's check a few more interesting Blackburn vs Newcastle betting tips and markets.
For example, both teams to score comes at 8/15 (1.53) odds, which is the same as a 65.20% probability. Another market to check out is for Newcastle to score two or more goals at 4/9 (1.44) odds and 69.20% probability.
Hot tip – Newcastle to win
- Newcastle already won a couple of away games in the FA Cup, without even conceding a goal.
- Blackburn have lost eight of their 17 games at home in Championship this season.
Other tips
Over 2.5 total goals
- Newcastle have gone over 2.5 total goals in nine of their last 10 games in all competitions.
- Blackburn have averaged 3.18 total goals per game in Championship so far.
Correct score: 1-3
- Newcastle have scored at least three goals in three of their last four matches.
- In 12 of their last 15 games across the board, Newcastle have conceded a goal or more.
Player to watch: Alexander Isak
The Swedish striker is having a good season, even if his team isn't doing as well as they'd like. In any case, with 10 goals in Premier League and 14 in all competitions overall., Isak is certainly proving his quality.
Can Isak score first?
So far, Isak scored the first goal of the match in four games in all competitions, which means that 28% of his goals were first. That's not too high, but it still means it might be worth taking a punt on Isak to score first against Blackburn.
