Portimonense vs Porto prediction, odds & betting tips – 08/03/2024

08/03/24 - 18:45

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Portimonense - FC Porto

Portugal Primeira Liga - Estadio Municipal de Portimao

We're bringing you our Portuguese league predictions for Porto's trip to Portimonense on Friday night.

Spirits are bound to be high in the Porto camp following their massive 5-0 victory over Benfica at the weekend, a result that brought the club right back into the title race. Another three points will be demanded on Friday when Porto take on relegation-battling Portimonense.

Portimonense vs Porto predictions: Can Portimonense upset the odds?

Key Stats

• Porto have won each of their last 13 competitive and non-competitive matches against Portimonense and have kept clean sheets in each of the last seven head-to-heads.
• Portimonense have conceded at least two goals in three of their last five league games and have failed to score in three of their last four outings.
• Evanilson top scores for Porto this season with 10 league goals and the Brazilian has scored seven goals in his last ten appearances in all competitions.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Porto are big favourites

• HOME: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
• DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
• AWAY: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Porto are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 76.9%, and we agree with this selection.

Portimonense have lost three of their last five league games and haven't won since beating Boavista 4-1 in late January, while Porto are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four times and drawing once.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. You can back under 2.5 goals to be scored in this game at 5/4 (2.25) which has a probability of 44.4%, while a bet on over 2.5 goals is priced at 8/13 (1.62) with a probability of 61.9%.

Last five H2Hs: Porto have only lost once against Portimonense

Portugal Primeira Liga 08/10/23

FC Porto

1

Portimonense

0

Europe Friendlies 19/07/23

Portimonense

0

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 02/04/23

FC Porto

1

Portimonense

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 08/10/22

Portimonense

0

FC Porto

2

Europe Friendlies 14/07/22

Portimonense

0

FC Porto

1

Porto have picked up wins in each of the last 13 competitive and non-competitive meetings between these two clubs, and have won 19 of the duo's previous 20 meetings in all competitions, including friendlies.

Team news and form guide

Portimonense: Winless in last five

Pedrão got sent off in Portimonense's goalless draw with Vizela last time out so won't feature against Porto on Friday, while Hildeberto Pereira is a doubt after being taken off before the hour mark in the same game.

Predicted lineup: Nakamura (GK), Costa, Formiga, Relvas, Alemão, Dener, Carlinhos, Ventura, Cassamá, Jasper & Varela

Portugal Segunda Liga 11/05/25

L

FC Porto B

3

Portimonense

0

Portugal Segunda Liga 03/05/25

L

Academico Viseu

2

Portimonense

1

Portugal Segunda Liga 27/04/25

D

Tondela

2

Portimonense

2

Portugal Segunda Liga 18/04/25

W

Pacos Ferreira

0

Portimonense

2

Portugal Segunda Liga 12/04/25

L

Chaves

2

Portimonense

0

Porto: Besat Benfica 5-0 last time out

The visitors could be without the services of Zaidu Sanusi, Mehdi Taremi, Ivan Marcano and Gabriel Veron due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Pepe, Wendell, Mário, Otávio, González, Varela, Galeno, Aquino, Evanilson & Conceição

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25

W

Boavista

1

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 02/05/25

W

Moreirense

1

FC Porto

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25

L

Estrela

2

FC Porto

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25

W

Famalicao

1

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25

W

Casa Pia

0

FC Porto

1

Player to watch – Galeno

Long-serving Porto forward Galeno is in great form right now and will be looking to put Portimonense to the sword on Friday.

Galeno has netted six goals in his last nine appearances in all competitions and is the second-highest scorer in the league for Porto this season with five goals as well as creating five goals and topping the club's assists chart.

Chipping in with goals and assists this season

Galeno signed for Porto back in 2016 but didn't see regular first-team football until last season, playing 31 times and scoring eight goals. We're backing Porto's Brazilian star to impress once again in the famous blue and white stripes on Friday night against a poor Portimonense side.