Portimonense vs Rio Ave prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/05/2024

Portimonense
11/05/24 - 15:30

Finished

2

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2

Rio Ave

Portimonense - Rio Ave

Portugal Primeira Liga - Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense vs Rio Ave prediction
The Rio Ave players celebrating a goal – Photo by Icon Sport

We're bringing you our Portuguese league predictions for Rio Ave's trip to Portimonense on Saturday.

Hosts Portimonense aren't safe from relegation just yet but a point on Saturday should be enough to keep them in the Primeira Liga for another season. Rio Ave are aiming for a top-half finish and will be confident about their chances of getting something from this game given their excellent results against Portimonense over the last few seasons.

Portimonense vs Rio Ave predictions: Will the visitors upset the odds

Portimonense vs Rio Ave Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Rio Ave or Draw

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Portimonense 1-1 Rio Ave

💥 Both Teams to Score prediction

Yes

Key Stats

  • Rio Ave are unbeaten in their last 11 games against Portimonense in all competitions and haven't lost any of their last six outings in the Primeira Liga, while the hosts have lost three and drawn two of their last six league games.
  • Two of the hosts' and three of the visitors' last four league games have ended in stalemates, while the last four times Portimonense have played host to Rio Ave the games have ended in draws.
  • Both teams have scored in four of Portimonense's last six league games while each of Rio AVE's last four outings have also produced goals at both ends of the pitch, so you can see why we're backing BTTS on Saturday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Portimonense the clear favourite

  • HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Portimonense are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 43.5%, but we can see Rio Ave getting something out of this game.

The hosts suffered a 3-0 defeat at Sporting last time out, while Rio Ave won 2-1 at home against Vitoria Guimaraes.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. You can back Portimonense's Carlinhos to score in this game at 12/5 (3.40) which has a probability of 29.4%, while a bet on Rio Ave's top scorer Emmanuel Boateng to find the back of the net is priced at 11/5 (3.20) with a probability of 31.3%.

Last five H2Hs: Rio Ave in front

Portugal Primeira Liga 07/01/24

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

2
Portimonense

Portimonense

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 08/04/23

Portimonense

Portimonense

2
Rio Ave

Rio Ave

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 24/10/22

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

1
Portimonense

Portimonense

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 01/05/21

Portimonense

Portimonense

0
Rio Ave

Rio Ave

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 08/01/21

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

3
Portimonense

Portimonense

0

Of the last 24 meetings between these two clubs, Rio Ave have won 12, drawn seven and lost five times against Portimonense.

Team news and form guide

Portimonense: Won one of last six

The hosts have no fresh injury concerns ahead of a big game against Rio Ave where as little as a point could be enough to keep them in the division.

Predicted lineup: Nakamura (GK), Seck, Pedrão, Formiga, Alemão, Carlinhos, Ventura, Fukui, Pereira, Varela & Luan 

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/05/24

W

SC Farense

SC Farense

1

Portimonense

Portimonense

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/24

D

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

2

Portimonense

Portimonense

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/24

L

Sporting

Sporting

3

Portimonense

Portimonense

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 28/04/24

L

Moreirense

Moreirense

2

Portimonense

Portimonense

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 21/04/24

D

Famalicao

Famalicao

2

Portimonense

Portimonense

2

Rio Ave: Unbeaten in last six

The visitors have a clean bill of health and no suspended players ahead of their trip to Portimonense this weekend, where Rio Ave will be looking to extend their excellent record against the home side.

Predicted lineup: Jhonatan (GK), Santos, Pantalon, William, Costinha, Graça, Joca, Embaló, Tanlongo, Boateng & Yakubu 

Portugal Primeira Liga 17/05/24

D

Benfica

Benfica

1

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/24

D

Portimonense

Portimonense

2

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/24

W

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

1

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/24

D

Vizela

Vizela

1

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/24

D

Arouca

Arouca

1

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

1

Player to watch – Emmanuel Boateng

Rio Ave's Emmanuel Boateng is our player to watch in this game for a couple of big reasons.

Emmanuel Boateng player to watch
Emmanuel Boateng has been sent off twice this season – Photo by Icon Sport

The Ghana striker top scores for the visitors this season with seven goals and was on target in the club's last game, a 2-1 win over Vitoria Guimaraes.

Rio Ave's top scorer also tops their disciplinary table

However, the 27-year-old who is enjoying his second spell with Rio Ave has also been sent-off in two of his last ten league games and has the worst disciplinary at the club this season. With a good chance that he scores or gets sent off, Boateng has to be our player to watch for the visitors this weekend.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things