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Netherlands - Italy
UEFA Nations League - Grolsch Veste Stadium
3rd Place Playoff
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
De Grolsch Veste is the for the Nations League third place play-off between Italy and the Netherlands on June 18.
Netherlands vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips
Netherlands were dumped out of the semi-final after a 4-2 extra time defeat at the hands of Croatia. Italy suffered a late defeat at the hands of Spain to suffer a loss in the semi-final.
For the very best daily betting tips check out our best football tips for today
Contents
Netherlands win
- Netherlands have suffered three defeats in the last four matches in all competitions.
- Netherlands have home advantage even if it did not help them in the game against Croatia
- Italy could go for a younger starting line-up in the efforts of finding a team for the future
Total goals under 2.5
- Netherlands were on top against Croatia for a significant chunk
- Defensively, Netherlands can be quite open with too many gaps at the back
- Italy, though, have a solid backline
Best Netherlands vs Italy Odds, H2H Stats, and Recent Form
Here are the top stats for the game along with a tool to help you pick the best odds.
Head to Head
14/10/20
UEFA Nations League NAL

Italy

Netherlands
1
1
07/09/20
UEFA Nations League NAL

Netherlands

Italy
0
1
04/06/18
International Match International

Italy

Netherlands
1
1
28/03/17
International Match International

Netherlands

Italy
1
2
04/09/14
International Match International

Italy

Netherlands
2
0
Last Five - Netherlands
23/03/25
UEFA Nations League NAL

Spain

Netherlands
3 (5)
3 (4)
L
20/03/25
UEFA Nations League NAL

Spain

Netherlands
2
2
D
19/11/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Netherlands
1
1
D
16/11/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Hungary

Netherlands
0
4
W
14/10/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Germany

Netherlands
1
0
L
Last Five - Italy
23/03/25
UEFA Nations League NAL

Germany

Italy
3
3
D
20/03/25
UEFA Nations League NAL

Germany

Italy
2
1
L
17/11/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA

France

Italy
3
1
L
14/11/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Belgium

Italy
0
1
W
14/10/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Israel

Italy
1
4
W
These may be some of the best stats regarding the upcoming match between Netherlands and Italy. Now, let us take a look at the odds and probabilities for the game.
Netherlands odds: 31/25 (2.24) – 44.6%
Draw odds: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
Italy odds: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
The Netherlands vs Italy betting tips would consider going for a win for Netherlands. This is available at a price of 31/25 (2.24) – 44.6%. Similarly, an attractive market for this game would be under 2.5 goals, which is priced at Evens (2.00) – 50%.
Netherlands vs Italy Prediction, Team News, & Form Analysis
Netherlands:
Netherlands will not stand to gain a lot other than pride in the third-place play-off. Ronald Koeman has suffered a string of defeats since taking over from Louis van Gaal and a victory in his upcoming match would do the team a world of good even if it does not provide titles. Matthijs de Ligt will not be available for the finals after picking up a calf injury.
Predicted Line-Up:
Bijlow, Ake, Botman, Dijk, Dumfries, Jong, Wijnaldum, Roon, Bergwijn, Gakpo, Simons
Italy:
Italy suffered a narrow loss against Spain and the team are looking to bounce back immediately. There were decent chances for the Italians but there could be changes in the starting line-up, as Roberto Mancini could go for a new set of players. Italy were not great in possession against Spain and things are unlikely to improve against Italy as well.
Predicted Line-Up:
Donnarumma, Dimarco, Bastoni, Acerbi, Lorenzo, Verratti, Jorginho, Barella, Pellegrini, Retegui, Chiesa
Player to Watch: Xavi Simons
Xavi Simons had a strong season with PSV and he was able to come up with 19 goals in 34 games. Crucially, he was able to end the season on a strong note for PSV while also coming with a decent performance in the recent game against Croatia.
Starting Netherlands vs Italy Lineups:
Starting lineups are usually released 60 minutes before kick-off.
Netherlands

Italy
