Netherlands vs Italy Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 18/06/2023

Netherlands
18/06/23 - 14:00

Finished

2

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3

Italy

Netherlands - Italy

UEFA Nations League - Grolsch Veste Stadium

3rd Place Playoff

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

De Grolsch Veste is the for the Nations League third place play-off between Italy and the Netherlands on June 18.

Netherlands vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips

Netherlands were dumped out of the semi-final after a 4-2 extra time defeat at the hands of Croatia. Italy suffered a late defeat at the hands of Spain to suffer a loss in the semi-final.

For the very best daily betting tips check out our best football tips for today

Netherlands win

  • Netherlands have suffered three defeats in the last four matches in all competitions.
  • Netherlands have home advantage even if it did not help them in the game against Croatia
  • Italy could go for a younger starting line-up in the efforts of finding a team for the future

Total goals under 2.5

  • Netherlands were on top against Croatia for a significant chunk
  • Defensively, Netherlands can be quite open with too many gaps at the back
  • Italy, though, have a solid backline

Best Netherlands vs Italy Odds, H2H Stats, and Recent Form

Here are the top stats for the game along with a tool to help you pick the best odds.

Head to Head

14/10/20

UEFA Nations League NAL

Italy

Italy

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

1

07/09/20

UEFA Nations League NAL

Netherlands

Netherlands

Italy

Italy

0

1

04/06/18

International Match International

Italy

Italy

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

1

28/03/17

International Match International

Netherlands

Netherlands

Italy

Italy

1

2

04/09/14

International Match International

Italy

Italy

Netherlands

Netherlands

2

0

Last Five - Netherlands

23/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Spain

Spain

Netherlands

Netherlands

3 (5)

3 (4)

L

20/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Spain

Spain

Netherlands

Netherlands

2

2

D

19/11/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

1

D

16/11/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Hungary

Hungary

Netherlands

Netherlands

0

4

W

14/10/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Germany

Germany

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

0

L

Last Five - Italy

23/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Germany

Germany

Italy

Italy

3

3

D

20/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Germany

Germany

Italy

Italy

2

1

L

17/11/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

France

France

Italy

Italy

3

1

L

14/11/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Belgium

Belgium

Italy

Italy

0

1

W

14/10/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Israel

Israel

Italy

Italy

1

4

W

These may be some of the best stats regarding the upcoming match between Netherlands and Italy. Now, let us take a look at the odds and probabilities for the game.

Netherlands odds: 31/25 (2.24) – 44.6%

Draw odds: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%

Italy odds: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

The Netherlands vs Italy betting tips would consider going for a win for Netherlands. This is available at a price of 31/25 (2.24) – 44.6%. Similarly, an attractive market for this game would be under 2.5 goals, which is priced at Evens (2.00) – 50%.

Netherlands vs Italy Prediction, Team News, & Form Analysis

Netherlands:

Netherlands will not stand to gain a lot other than pride in the third-place play-off. Ronald Koeman has suffered a string of defeats since taking over from Louis van Gaal and a victory in his upcoming match would do the team a world of good even if it does not provide titles. Matthijs de Ligt will not be available for the finals after picking up a calf injury.

Predicted Line-Up:

Bijlow, Ake, Botman, Dijk, Dumfries, Jong, Wijnaldum, Roon, Bergwijn, Gakpo, Simons

Italy:

Italy suffered a narrow loss against Spain and the team are looking to bounce back immediately. There were decent chances for the Italians but there could be changes in the starting line-up, as Roberto Mancini could go for a new set of players. Italy were not great in possession against Spain and things are unlikely to improve against Italy as well.

Predicted Line-Up:

Donnarumma, Dimarco, Bastoni, Acerbi, Lorenzo, Verratti, Jorginho, Barella, Pellegrini, Retegui, Chiesa

Player to Watch: Xavi Simons

Xavi Simons had a strong season with PSV and he was able to come up with 19 goals in 34 games. Crucially, he was able to end the season on a strong note for PSV while also coming with a decent performance in the recent game against Croatia.

Starting Netherlands vs Italy Lineups:

Starting lineups are usually released 60 minutes before kick-off.

Netherlands

Netherlands
4-3-3
13
Justin Bijlow
nl
22
Denzel Dumfries
nl
2
Lutsharel Geertruida
nl
4
Virgil Van Dijk
nl
5
Nathan Ake
nl
19
Mats Wieffer
nl
21
Frenkie De Jong
nl
7
Xavi Simons
nl
18
Donyell Malen
nl
11
Cody Gakpo
nl
10
Noa Lang
nl
Substitutes
14
Sven Botman
nl
16
Joey Veerman
nl
9
Wout Weghorst
nl
25
Steven Bergwijn
nl
23
Mark Flekken
nl
3
Jurrien Timber
nl
8
Georginio Wijnaldum
nl
17
Daley Blind
nl
20
Teun Koopmeiners
nl
15
Marten De Roon
nl
23
Andries Noppert
nl
16
Tyrell Malacia
nl

Italy

Italy
4-3-3
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
it
13
Rafael Toloi
it
15
Francesco Acerbi
it
4
Alessandro Buongiorno
it
3
Federico Dimarco
it
16
Davide Frattesi
it
16
Bryan Cristante
it
6
Marco Verratti
it
11
Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
it
9
Mateo Retegui
it
10
Giacomo Raspadori
it
Substitutes
10
Lorenzo Pellegrini
it
13
Matteo Darmian
it
17
Ciro Immobile
it
19
Leonardo Bonucci
it
8
Jorginho
it
4
Leonardo Spinazzola
it
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
it
23
Alex Meret
it
18
Nicolo Barella
it
13
Guglielmo Vicario
it
14
Federico Chiesa
it
18
Nicolo Zaniolo
it

Netherlands vs Italy prediction