Netherlands vs Italy Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 18/06/2023

Netherlands
18/06/23 - 14:00

Finished

2

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3

Italy

Netherlands - Italy

UEFA Nations League - Grolsch Veste Stadium

3rd Place Playoff

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

De Grolsch Veste is the for the Nations League third place play-off between Italy and the Netherlands on June 18.

Netherlands vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips

Netherlands were dumped out of the semi-final after a 4-2 extra time defeat at the hands of Croatia. Italy suffered a late defeat at the hands of Spain to suffer a loss in the semi-final.

For the very best daily betting tips check out our best football tips for today

Netherlands win

  • Netherlands have suffered three defeats in the last four matches in all competitions.
  • Netherlands have home advantage even if it did not help them in the game against Croatia
  • Italy could go for a younger starting line-up in the efforts of finding a team for the future

Total goals under 2.5

  • Netherlands were on top against Croatia for a significant chunk
  • Defensively, Netherlands can be quite open with too many gaps at the back
  • Italy, though, have a solid backline

Best Netherlands vs Italy Odds, H2H Stats, and Recent Form

Here are the top stats for the game along with a tool to help you pick the best odds.

Head to Head

14/10/20

UEFA Nations League NAL

Italy

Italy

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

1

07/09/20

UEFA Nations League NAL

Netherlands

Netherlands

Italy

Italy

0

1

04/06/18

International Match International

Italy

Italy

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

1

28/03/17

International Match International

Netherlands

Netherlands

Italy

Italy

1

2

04/09/14

International Match International

Italy

Italy

Netherlands

Netherlands

2

0

Last Five - Netherlands

16/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Poland

Poland

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

2

W

10/06/24

International Match International

Iceland

Iceland

Netherlands

Netherlands

0

4

W

06/06/24

International Match International

Canada

Canada

Netherlands

Netherlands

0

4

W

26/03/24

International Match International

Germany

Germany

Netherlands

Netherlands

2

1

L

22/03/24

International Match International

Scotland

Scotland

Netherlands

Netherlands

0

4

W

Last Five - Italy

15/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Albania

Albania

Italy

Italy

1

2

W

09/06/24

International Match International

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Italy

Italy

0

1

W

04/06/24

International Match International

Turkey

Turkey

Italy

Italy

0

0

D

24/03/24

International Match International

Ecuador

Ecuador

Italy

Italy

0

2

W

21/03/24

International Match International

Venezuela

Venezuela

Italy

Italy

1

2

W

These may be some of the best stats regarding the upcoming match between Netherlands and Italy. Now, let us take a look at the odds and probabilities for the game.

Netherlands odds: 31/25 (2.24) – 44.6%

Draw odds: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%

Italy odds: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

The Netherlands vs Italy betting tips would consider going for a win for Netherlands. This is available at a price of 31/25 (2.24) – 44.6%. Similarly, an attractive market for this game would be under 2.5 goals, which is priced at Evens (2.00) – 50%.

Netherlands vs Italy Prediction, Team News, & Form Analysis

Netherlands:

Netherlands will not stand to gain a lot other than pride in the third-place play-off. Ronald Koeman has suffered a string of defeats since taking over from Louis van Gaal and a victory in his upcoming match would do the team a world of good even if it does not provide titles. Matthijs de Ligt will not be available for the finals after picking up a calf injury.

Predicted Line-Up:

Bijlow, Ake, Botman, Dijk, Dumfries, Jong, Wijnaldum, Roon, Bergwijn, Gakpo, Simons

Italy:

Italy suffered a narrow loss against Spain and the team are looking to bounce back immediately. There were decent chances for the Italians but there could be changes in the starting line-up, as Roberto Mancini could go for a new set of players. Italy were not great in possession against Spain and things are unlikely to improve against Italy as well.

Predicted Line-Up:

Donnarumma, Dimarco, Bastoni, Acerbi, Lorenzo, Verratti, Jorginho, Barella, Pellegrini, Retegui, Chiesa

Player to Watch: Xavi Simons

Xavi Simons had a strong season with PSV and he was able to come up with 19 goals in 34 games. Crucially, he was able to end the season on a strong note for PSV while also coming with a decent performance in the recent game against Croatia.

Starting Netherlands vs Italy Lineups:

Starting lineups are usually released 60 minutes before kick-off.

Netherlands

Netherlands
4-3-3
1
Justin Bijlow
nl
2
Lutsharel Geertruida
nl
4
Virgil Van Dijk
nl
5
Nathan Ake
nl
19
Mats Wieffer
nl
21
Frenkie De Jong
nl
7
Xavi Simons
nl
18
Donyell Malen
nl
8
Cody Gakpo
nl
10
Noa Lang
nl
Substitutes
14
Sven Botman
nl
7
Steven Bergwijn
nl
2
Jurrien Timber
nl
8
Georginio Wijnaldum
nl
20
Teun Koopmeiners
nl
15
Marten De Roon
nl
16
Tyrell Malacia
nl

Italy

Italy
4-3-3
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
it
13
Rafael Toloi
it
15
Francesco Acerbi
it
23
Alessandro Buongiorno
it
16
Bryan Cristante
it
6
Marco Verratti
it
11
Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
it
Substitutes
10
Lorenzo Pellegrini
it
17
Ciro Immobile
it
19
Leonardo Bonucci
it
8
Jorginho
it
4
Leonardo Spinazzola
it
14
Federico Chiesa
it

Netherlands vs Italy prediction


Bharath is an avid Chelsea fan who loves to watch any football match. A writer with more than a decade of experience, Bharath specializes in writing about football, online casinos, and general betting content.