Netherlands vs Croatia Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 14/06/2023

Netherlands
14/06/23 - 19:45

Finished

2

-

4

Croatia

Netherlands - Croatia

UEFA Nations League - De Kuip

2nd Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

FW Predictions for Netherlands vs Croatia

We're bringing you our Nations League betting tips for the Semi-Final between the Netherlands and Croatia on Wednesday. These two nations have only met once competitively over the years and that was back in the 1998 World Cup. Since then the Netherlands have won the only friendly match played between the two sides in 2008 and now these two countries go head-to-head for a spot in the Nations League Final where they will face either Spain or Italy.

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Each of the Netherlands' last four matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • The two previous meetings between the Netherlands and Croatia have both produced three goals.
  • Two of Croatia's last four fixtures have witnessed over 2.5 goals being scored.

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored in three of the Netherlands' last six outings.
  • Four of Croatia's last six international matches have produced goals at both ends of the pitch.
  • In their last 12 matches combined, the Netherlands and Croatia have only kept a total of three clean sheets.

Netherlands vs Croatia Odds and Probabilities

Last Five - Netherlands

10/06/24

International Match International

Iceland

Iceland

Netherlands

Netherlands

0

4

W

06/06/24

International Match International

Canada

Canada

Netherlands

Netherlands

0

4

W

26/03/24

International Match International

Germany

Germany

Netherlands

Netherlands

2

1

L

22/03/24

International Match International

Scotland

Scotland

Netherlands

Netherlands

0

4

W

21/11/23

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

Netherlands

Netherlands

0

6

W

Last Five - Croatia

15/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Spain

Spain

Croatia

Croatia

3

0

L

08/06/24

International Match International

Portugal

Portugal

Croatia

Croatia

1

2

W

03/06/24

International Match International

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

Croatia

Croatia

0

3

W

26/03/24

International Match International

Egypt

Egypt

Croatia

Croatia

2

4

W

23/03/24

International Match International

Tunisia

Tunisia

Croatia

Croatia

0 (4)

0 (5)

W

Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Netherlands vs Croatia.

Netherlands odds: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%

Draw odds: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%

Croatia odds: 32/11 (3.91) – 25.6%

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

The Netherlands are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 48.8%, but we are expecting a close and competitive 90-minutes between these two countries. For more of our football betting tips on this Nations League semi-final, why not check out the Correct Score market? To match our Netherlands vs Croatia predictions we've selected three possible correct scorelines for you to choose from. If you want to back a 2-1 Netherlands win the odds stand at 8/1 (9.00) which has a probability of 11.1%, while a 2-2 draw after 90-minutes is priced at 16/1 (17.00) with a probability of just 5.9%. You could also back a 2-1 Croatia victory at 12/1 (13.00) but the probability is only 7.7%.

Netherlands vs Croatia Lineups and Last Match

Netherlands

In their last Group 4 game in the Nations League, the Netherlands recorded a 1-0 victory over Belgium thanks to a goal from centre-back van Dijk in the 73rd-minute. Most of the usual faces have been selected for the latest Netherlands squad but the likes of Cillessen, de Vrij, Berghuis, Klaassen and Depay have not made the call for one reason or another. The uncapped trio of Botman, Reijnders and Veerman will all be hoping to make their international debuts on Wednesday night.

Predicted Lineup – Bijlow (GK), Dumfries, De Ligt, Van Dijk, Ake, De Roon, De Jong, Wijnaldum, Bergwijn, Gakpo & Simons

Croatia

Croatia cruised to victory away at Austria in their last Nations League group game. Modric scored after just 6-minutes to send Croatia on their way to another 3pts but Austria did equalise shortly after and the teams went in level at the interval. Goals from Livaja and Lovren in the space of 3-second-half minutes secured Craotia a 3-1 victory over a strong Austria eleven. Croatia are without goalkeeper Kalinic, defenders Gvardiol and Lovren, while forwards Livaja, Brekalo and Orsic are also absent. The uncapped Labrovic is the third-choice goalkeeper in the squad and surely won't make his debut this week, while Augsburg forward Beljo is the only other uncapped player to get a call-up.

Predicted Lineup – Livakovic (GK), Juranovic, Sutalo, Erlic, Sosa, Kovacic, Brozovic, Modric, Pasalic, Kramaric & Perisic

Starting Lineups

Netherlands

Netherlands
4-3-3
1
Justin Bijlow
nl
2
Lutsharel Geertruida
nl
4
Virgil Van Dijk
nl
5
Nathan Ake
nl
19
Mats Wieffer
nl
20
Teun Koopmeiners
nl
21
Frenkie De Jong
nl
18
Donyell Malen
nl
8
Cody Gakpo
nl
7
Xavi Simons
nl
Substitutes
15
Marten De Roon
nl
16
Tyrell Malacia
nl
7
Steven Bergwijn
nl
14
Sven Botman
nl
2
Jurrien Timber
nl
10
Noa Lang
nl
8
Georginio Wijnaldum
nl

Croatia

Croatia
4-3-3
6
Josip Sutalo
hr
21
Domagoj Vida
hr
11
Marcelo Brozovic
hr
8
Mateo Kovacic
hr
15
Mario Pasalic
hr
16
Luka Ivanusec
hr
Substitutes
12
Nediljko Labrovic
hr
2
Josip Stanisic
hr
3
Borna Barisic
hr
19
Borna Sosa
hr

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Luca Modric

Croatia's 37-yar-old midfielder still has plenty to offer his country despite his advancing age.

The Real Madrid man put in some excellent displays at the World Cup in Qatar and many thought that would be the last time they saw Modric play for his country. However, the diminutive playmaker has stuck around for a little longer and that can only be a benefit for this Croatia side who will miss his leadership when he finally does hang up his boots.

Modric top scores in the Nations League for Croatia with 2-goals and his teammates will be looking to him to set the tempo of the play on Wednesday night in what is bound to be a tough fixture against the Dutch.

Modric captains this Croatia side and will pick up his 165th cap if he features against the Netherlands as expected, but can he add to his 23 international goals this week?

netherlands vs croatia


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things