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Barcelona - Napoli
UEFA Champions League - Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
4th Round
Barcelona are set to go head to head with Napoli on Tuesday night with both teams looking to qualify for the Champions League quarter-finals. The tie is on a knife-edge after a 1-1 draw in Naples three weeks ago which makes this one of the mostly anticipated second legs in the round of 16. Will Barcelona have too much for Napoli or can the struggling Italians reignite their season with a famous victory? Check out our Barcelona vs Napoli prediction below.
Contents
Barcelona vs Napoli prediction: A date with destiny
🔥Hot tip
Barcelona to qualify
⚽ Correct score prediction
Barcelona 2-1 Napoli
💥 Both teams to score
Yes
Key stats
- Barcelona are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.
- Napoli have lost three of their last four round of 16 ties in the Champions League.
- Barcelona have won 13 of their last 14 round of 16 ties in the Champions League.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Gunners backed to run riot
- HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Barcelona vs Napoli odds are weighted towards a home win but the bookmakers have been a little cautious on the pricing for a draw and away win. This is perhaps an indication that Barcelona aren't the team they once were and the notion that Napoli head to Catalonia with nothing to lose after a disappointing campaign.
Despite Napoli's poor season, they have perhaps hit form at the right time and are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions with the first leg draw against Barcelona boosting their confidence. There is also the added factor of the match being played away from the imperious Camp Nou which makes the thought of Barcelona away slightly less intimidating.
With that in mind, here are some free betting tips that represent good value. Napoli or draw double chance is priced at 17/20 (1.85) while Victor Osimhen to score anytime is 21/10 (3.10). Osimhen's opposite number, Robert Lewandowski will be looking to add to his catalogue of Champions League goals on Tuesday night.
Last five H2Hs: Advantage Barcelona
Barcelona come into the match on Tuesday knowing that Napoli haven't managed to beat them in any of their previous five meetings. Napoli will perhaps be hoping that the move from the Camp Nou to Barcelona's Olympic Stadium will allow them to do something they have never done before – beat Barcelona away from home.
UEFA Champions League 21/02/24
Napoli
Barcelona
UEFA Europa League 24/02/22
Napoli
Barcelona
UEFA Europa League 17/02/22
Barcelona
Napoli
UEFA Champions League 08/08/20
Barcelona
Napoli
UEFA Champions League 25/02/20
Napoli
Barcelona
Barcelona preview: Xavi looking for a fond farewell
Barcelona manager, Xavi, has already announced he is leaving the club in the summer so what better way to end his tenure as manager than to win the Champions League? For the match on Tuesday, he may have to dust off his boots himself as Barcelona face a midfield injury crisis with Gavi, Pedri and De Jong all injured.
Predicted lineup: Ter Stegen (GK), Kounde, Araujo, Martinez, Cancelo, Christensen, Gundogan, Lopez, Yamal, Lewandowski, Felix
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
W
Real Madrid
3
Barcelona
4
UEFA Champions League 06/05/25
L
Inter Milan
4
Barcelona
3
Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W
Valladolid
1
Barcelona
2
UEFA Champions League 30/04/25
D
Inter Milan
3
Barcelona
3
Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25
W
Real Madrid
2
Barcelona
3
Napoli preview: Looking to rescue their season
Napoli haven't come close to hitting the heights they reached last season when they ended their 30+ year wait for Serie A glory. However, if they were to do the unthinkable and win the Champions League then this season would go down as the club's greatest.
Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Ostigard, Jesus, Olivera, Anguissa, Traore, Lobotka, Politano, Osimhen, Kvaratskhelia
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
D
Genoa
2
Napoli
2
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
W
Lecce
0
Napoli
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Torino
0
Napoli
2
Italy Serie A 19/04/25
W
Monza
0
Napoli
1
Italy Serie A 14/04/25
W
Empoli
0
Napoli
3
Player to watch: Ilkay Gundogan
With three midfield players out injured, the onus is on Ilkay Gundogan to win the battle midfield and help Barcelona through to the Champions League quarter-finals.
Looking to go back-to-back
Gundogan was a key part of Manchester City's Champions League triumph last season and his experience will be vital in these matches for the Spanish giants. Gundogan knows when to put his foot on it and keep the ball and also when to push on and drive forward.
The latest Tweets from each camp
Barcelona
? ????????! ?#BarçaNapoli | @ChampionsLeague pic.twitter.com/inKi6KoXub
— FC Barcelona (@FCBarcelona) March 12, 2024
Napoli
???????? ♟️
? #BarcelonaNapoli
?️ Estadi Olimpic Lluís Companys
? #UCL
? 21:00 CET? #ForzaNapoliSempre pic.twitter.com/L3XZvPemY9
— Official SSC Napoli (@en_sscnapoli) March 12, 2024
