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Montpellier - Metz
France Ligue 1 - Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier and Metz will meet in the upcoming Ligue 1 round on Sunday, 18 February, as both teams hope to get crucial points in the battle against relegation. Who will emerge victorious from this duel? Read our Metz vs Montpellier prediction and preview to find out, but don't forget to take a good look at our other Ligue 1 predictions too.
Contents
Metz vs Montpellier prediction: The battle of the bottom
| ⚽ Total goals prediction | Under 2.5 total goals |
| ⚽ Half time result prediction | Draw |
| ⚽ Winner prediction | Draw |
Both Metz and Montpellier enter this match struggling to stay away from the relegation zone and to get points. In fact, Montpellier have been without a win in Ligue 1 for five games in a row, while Metz are without a win in their last eight league matches, seven of which they've lost.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favouring the home team
- HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.60%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.70%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.00%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Although Montpellier have been in poor form recently, Metz have struggled even more than then as they lost seven of their last eight games in the league. Montpellier also have the home-court advantage, which is why they're seen as the favourites in this game.
Last five H2Hs: An evenly-matched duel
France Ligue 1 17/12/23
Metz
Montpellier
France Ligue 1 01/05/22
Montpellier
Metz
France Ligue 1 01/12/21
Metz
Montpellier
America Friendlies 31/07/21
Metz
Montpellier
France Ligue 1 03/02/21
Metz
Montpellier
In their history, Montpellier and Metz have a tied H2H record: 24-20-24. In the last five the situation is similar, with Montpellier winning twice, along with two draws and one win for Metz.
Team news and form guide
Montpellier: Looking for a first win after five league games
After five games without a win in the league, Montpellier find themselves in a rough spot, tied with the first team in the relegation zone and just two points ahead of Metz, their next opponent and another candidate for relegation. Meanwhile, Axel Gueguin, Khalil Fayad, and Christopher Jullien are out with injuries at the moment.
Predicted Lineup – Lecomte – Sagnan, Kouyate, Omeragic – Tchato, Ferri, Savanier, Chotard, Sylla – Nordin, Adams
France Ligue 1 09/02/25
L
Strasbourg
2
Montpellier
0
France Ligue 1 31/01/25
L
Lens
2
Montpellier
0
France Ligue 1 26/01/25
W
Toulouse
1
Montpellier
2
France Ligue 1 17/01/25
W
Monaco
1
Montpellier
2
France Ligue 1 12/01/25
L
Angers
3
Montpellier
1
Metz: Without a win for eight rounds and counting
While Metz finally did end their seven-game losing streak in the last round, it was only with a draw. That being said, the draw came against Marseille, which might be a good sign for Metz for the future. When it comes to team news, Kevin N'Doram and Ablie Jallow are on the sidelines with injuries.
Predicted Lineup – Oukidja – Van Den Kerkhof, Herelle, Sane, Traore, Udol – Jacques, Nduquidi; Camara – Lamkel Ze, Mikautadze
France Ligue 2 08/02/25
W
Clermont Foot
1
Metz
3
France Ligue 2 31/01/25
D
SC Bastia
1
Metz
1
France Ligue 2 24/01/25
W
Grenoble
0
Metz
3
France Ligue 2 18/01/25
W
Paris FC
1
Metz
3
France Ligue 2 11/01/25
D
Lorient
0
Metz
0
Our free expert picks: A low-scoring draw
On top of our free betting tips for this game, there are more Montpellier vs Metz betting tips and markets to check out.
For example, both teams to score comes to mind at 21/20 (2.05) odds, which is the same as a 48.80% probability. You might also want to take a punt at 1-1 correct score at 6/1 (7.00) odds and 14.30% probability.
Hot tip – Under 2.5 total goals
- Both teams have averaged fewer than 2.50 total goals per game in Ligue 1 this season.
- In their last 10 H2H duels, we saw fewer than three goals seven times.
Other tips
Half time draw
- Metz drew at half time in 12 of their 21 Ligue 1 matches.
- Also, Metz drew at half time in their last four matches in a row in all competitions.
Draw
- As we mentioned before, these two teams have a pretty even H2H record and in their last 10 duels, they drew each other five times.
- Montpellier have drawn three times in their last six games in the league.
Player to watch: Akor Adams
With seven goals in the league this season, Montpellier's Akor Adams is sharing the fifth place on the list of Ligue 1 top scorers. While the Nigerian is far behind Mbappe with 21 goals, he is at least still in the race to finish second on that list.
Not the best choice for first goalscorer
Akor Adams has 53 goals scored in his entire career and 37 of them, or nearly 70%, have come in the second half. With that in mind, if you want to bet on Adams to score, it might be best to stick to anytime goalscorer market than shoot for him scoring the first goal of the game.
