Montpellier vs Metz prediction, odds & betting tips 18/02/2024

Montpellier
18/02/24 - 14:00

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Metz

Montpellier - Metz

France Ligue 1 - Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier vs Metz prediction
An exciting matchup in the battle against relegation – Photo by Loic Baratoux/FEP/Icon Sport

Montpellier and Metz will meet in the upcoming Ligue 1 round on Sunday, 18 February, as both teams hope to get crucial points in the battle against relegation. Who will emerge victorious from this duel? Read our Metz vs Montpellier prediction and preview to find out, but don't forget to take a good look at our other Ligue 1 predictions too.

Metz vs Montpellier prediction: The battle of the bottom

Montpellier vs Metz predictions
Our pick

⚽ Total goals prediction

Under 2.5 total goals

⚽ Half time result prediction

Draw

⚽ Winner prediction

Draw

Both Metz and Montpellier enter this match struggling to stay away from the relegation zone and to get points. In fact, Montpellier have been without a win in Ligue 1 for five games in a row, while Metz are without a win in their last eight league matches, seven of which they've lost.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favouring the home team

  • HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.60%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.70%
  • AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.00%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Although Montpellier have been in poor form recently, Metz have struggled even more than then as they lost seven of their last eight games in the league. Montpellier also have the home-court advantage, which is why they're seen as the favourites in this game.

Last five H2Hs: An evenly-matched duel

France Ligue 1 17/12/23

Metz

Metz

0
Montpellier

Montpellier

1

France Ligue 1 01/05/22

Montpellier

Montpellier

2
Metz

Metz

2

France Ligue 1 01/12/21

Metz

Metz

1
Montpellier

Montpellier

3

America Friendlies 31/07/21

Metz

Metz

1
Montpellier

Montpellier

0

France Ligue 1 03/02/21

Metz

Metz

1
Montpellier

Montpellier

1

In their history, Montpellier and Metz have a tied H2H record: 24-20-24. In the last five the situation is similar, with Montpellier winning twice, along with two draws and one win for Metz.

Team news and form guide

Montpellier: Looking for a first win after five league games

After five games without a win in the league, Montpellier find themselves in a rough spot, tied with the first team in the relegation zone and just two points ahead of Metz, their next opponent and another candidate for relegation. Meanwhile, Axel Gueguin, Khalil Fayad, and Christopher Jullien are out with injuries at the moment.

Predicted LineupLecomte – Sagnan, Kouyate, Omeragic – Tchato, Ferri, Savanier, Chotard, Sylla – Nordin, Adams

France Ligue 1 19/05/24

D

Lens

Lens

2

Montpellier

Montpellier

2

France Ligue 1 12/05/24

L

Monaco

Monaco

2

Montpellier

Montpellier

0

France Ligue 1 03/05/24

W

Toulouse

Toulouse

1

Montpellier

Montpellier

2

France Ligue 1 26/04/24

D

Nantes

Nantes

1

Montpellier

Montpellier

1

France Ligue 1 21/04/24

W

Reims

Reims

1

Montpellier

Montpellier

2

Metz: Without a win for eight rounds and counting

While Metz finally did end their seven-game losing streak in the last round, it was only with a draw. That being said, the draw came against Marseille, which might be a good sign for Metz for the future. When it comes to team news, Kevin N'Doram and Ablie Jallow are on the sidelines with injuries.

Predicted LineupOukidja – Van Den Kerkhof, Herelle, Sane, Traore, Udol – Jacques, Nduquidi; Camara – Lamkel Ze, Mikautadze

France Ligue 1 Play-Offs 02/06/24

D

St Etienne

St Etienne

2

Metz

Metz

2

France Ligue 1 Play-Offs 30/05/24

L

St Etienne

St Etienne

2

Metz

Metz

1

France Ligue 1 19/05/24

L

PSG

PSG

2

Metz

Metz

0

France Ligue 1 12/05/24

L

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

2

Metz

Metz

1

France Ligue 1 04/05/24

L

Rennes

Rennes

3

Metz

Metz

2

Our free expert picks: A low-scoring draw

On top of our free betting tips for this game, there are more Montpellier vs Metz betting tips and markets to check out.

For example, both teams to score comes to mind at 21/20 (2.05) odds, which is the same as a 48.80% probability. You might also want to take a punt at 1-1 correct score at 6/1 (7.00) odds and 14.30% probability.

Hot tip – Under 2.5 total goals

  • Both teams have averaged fewer than 2.50 total goals per game in Ligue 1 this season.
  • In their last 10 H2H duels, we saw fewer than three goals seven times.

Other tips

Half time draw

  • Metz drew at half time in 12 of their 21 Ligue 1 matches.
  • Also, Metz drew at half time in their last four matches in a row in all competitions.

Draw

  • As we mentioned before, these two teams have a pretty even H2H record and in their last 10 duels, they drew each other five times.
  • Montpellier have drawn three times in their last six games in the league.

Player to watch: Akor Adams

With seven goals in the league this season, Montpellier's Akor Adams is sharing the fifth place on the list of Ligue 1 top scorers. While the Nigerian is far behind Mbappe with 21 goals, he is at least still in the race to finish second on that list.

Akor Adams
Adams hoping for his eighth goal in Ligue 1 this season – Photo by Alexandre Dimou/Icon Sport

Not the best choice for first goalscorer

Akor Adams has 53 goals scored in his entire career and 37 of them, or nearly 70%, have come in the second half. With that in mind, if you want to bet on Adams to score, it might be best to stick to anytime goalscorer market than shoot for him scoring the first goal of the game.


Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.