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Round six of the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season concludes with Troyes hosting Marseille at Stade de l'Aube on Sunday.
Both sides begin the weekend in the relegation zone and will be desperate for maximum points as they look to climb out of the bottom three.
In addition to our Troyes vs Marseille prediction below, check out the rest of today's betting tips for more of our expert predictions.
Troyes vs. Marseille key stats
- Troyes are winless in their last four matches.
- Troyes have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last five games.
- Marseille are on a five-game losing streak heading into this weekend.
- Marseille have conceded the opening goal in each of their last five matches.
Troyes vs. Marseille preview: Relief at last for Les Phoceens
Troyes vs Marseille — Tale of the Tape
| Troyes | vs | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 17th |
| 4 | Points | 3 |
| 4 | Goals For | 7 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 17th | Home / Away Rank | 16th |
Off the back of a turbulent summer window marked by the departure of several key players and internal friction within the squad, Marseille appeared to have turned a corner with a resounding 4-0 triumph over Strasbourg on opening day. However, results since then have made that victory feel like a distant memory.
Bruno Genesio’s men have since lost four consecutive matches in all competitions, most recently falling 2-1 to reigning champions Paris Saint-Germain, a result that left them second from bottom heading into the season’s first international break.
After guiding Lille to a third-place finish last season, Genesio has endured a difficult start to life at the Orange Velodrome. The veteran coach is well aware that results must improve or serious questions over his position will arise.
Under normal circumstances, a clash with newly promoted opposition would be seen as a routine assignment for Les Phoceens, but nothing about their season has been straightforward on or off the pitch.
Both Amine Gouiri and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg picked up injuries on international duty, though the former is expected to be fit to play a part this weekend.
Sunday’s visitors completed a league double over their hosts en route to a third-place finish in 2022-23 and could badly use a morale-boosting win this weekend to ease the mounting pressure, especially before returning to continental duty against Olympiacos in the Europa League on Thursday.
Back in the top flight after a three-season absence, Troyes collected four points from their opening two outings, but a 6-2 thrashing by Strasbourg on matchday three derailed their momentum, with further defeats to Lille and Angers following.
Stephane Dupont’s men were involved in a friendly during the international break and needed two goals in the final 21 minutes to come back from two goals down against Dijon, meaning they have now won just one of their last eight outings.
Currently ranking second in Ligue 1 for both fewest goals scored—behind Nice—and most goals conceded—behind Auxerre—L'ESTAC must improve at both ends of the pitch to stand a realistic chance of avoiding an immediate return to Ligue 2.
As with most newly promoted teams, home form will be crucial to Troyes’ ambitions this season, even though Sunday’s hosts head into the game as one of five teams in Ligue 1 yet to pick up a home win this term.
With Lens visiting next Saturday, Troyes face consecutive matches against two of last season’s top five; hardly an ideal scenario for a newly promoted side, but the reality of life in Ligue 1.
Troyes vs. Marseille form guide & betting tips
| Troyes | vs | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
DWLLL |
Form | WLLLL |
| 4 | Points | 3 |
| 16th | Form Table | 17th |
| 4 | Goals For | 7 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 8 |
WLLLD |
Form (All Comps) | LLLLL |
Whispers predicts: Troyes 1-2 Marseille
Despite their sluggish start to the season, Marseille remain firm favourites to win at 9/10 (1.90), and we expect them to come out on top.
With clean sheets at a premium for both teams lately, BTTS – Yes at 27/50 (1.54) looks to be a no-brainer.
Troyes have trailed at half-time in four of their last five matches, and with Marseille priced at 34/25 (2.36) to win the first half, that market holds appeal.
> Marseille to win at 9/10 (1.90) | Likelihood: Probable
> BTTS – Yes at 27/50 (1.54) | Likelihood: Probable
> Marseiile first-half win at 34/25 (2.36) | Likelihood: Probable