Ligue 1 relegation odds and tips: Will Lyon be relegated?

Ligue 1 is at the halfway stage with one of its biggest clubs surprisingly hovering just one place above the relegation zone. The potential relegation of Lyon would be one of the most astonishing stories in European football in recent times. However there are a host of other clubs also in danger and these Ligue 1 relegation odds and tips will highlight who’s most likely to drop out of the French top flight.

Ligue 1 relegation odds and tips

Clermont Foot (3/4)

Clermont Foot are the bookies’ current favourites for relegation. That seems like a reasonable stance given they are already 5 points shy of safety having won just twice all season in the league. 

 They only have to look back to last season’s 8th place finish for a bit of inspiration as to what they can achieve and the club have decided to stick with Pascal Gastien who has done a wonderful job overall at Clermont, leading them to the top flight for the first time in 2021.

However it's still hard to see them finishing above three of the other relegation candidates from this position.

Lorient (10/11)

Darlin Yongwa of Lorient
Darlin Yongwa during the Ligue 1 match between Stade Brestois 29 and Lorient – Photo by Dave Winter/Icon Sport

Lorient are second bottom and priced at 10/11 to go down. They’ve also decided to stay faithful to their manager and for similar reasons with Regis Le Bris having delivered a safe mid-table finish last term.

They do look to have a slightly better shot at safety than Clermont Foot, largely because of their goal threat. Lorient have actually scored more times than 2nd placed Nice this season in Ligue with Bournemouth loanee Romain Faivre a real danger man in midfield. 

Things aren’t great at the other end, but one or two smart defensive additions in January could make all the difference in terms of propelling Lorient to safety.

Metz (6/5)

Metz are currently outside the relegation zone but they are third favourites to go down. The bookies may well be basing that on their current form which is really poor with four straight losses in Ligue 1.

They are clearly on the slide with a nine point advantage on Lyon disappearing in the space of just a few weeks and it’s hard to see them still being above Les Gones when the season ends.

Toulouse (19/10)

Aron DONNUM
Aron Donnum of Toulouse during the French Cup match vs Chambery on January 7, 2024 – Photo by Romain Biard/Icon Sport

Toulouse are the third team currently in the relegation zone but they have a slightly better shot at survival according to the bookies.

European distractions may not have helped, but based on current form, they’ll do really well to win their Europa League play-off tie against Benfica in February. Once their Europa League involvement is over, it may be easier for the 2022/23 Coupe de France winners to focus on their domestic commitments and ultimately pull themselves to safety.

Le Havre (5/1)

If you’re looking for a team that may drop down from mid-table into the thick of the relegation scrap in the second half of the season, that may be Le Havre.

They’ve done well on their return to the top flight after winning Ligue 2, but it does feel like they may be starting to experience a dip in form now with the momentum taken from their second tier title win starting to fade. It’s just one win in five and they’ve a key showdown with 15th place Lyon this weekend.

Lyon (11/2)

ligue 1 relegation odds and tips
Alexandre Lacazette during the Ligue 1 match between Lyon and Nantes on December 20, 2023 – Photo by Loic Baratoux/Icon Sport

Lyon are priced at 11/2 to go down, although those odds are lengthening with three straight wins, considerably easing what were genuine relegation worries for the French giants.

They still have some classy attacking players but defensively it was a disaster in the opening months of the season and they made what in hindsight was a really poor managerial choice by replacing Laurent Blanc with Fabio Grosso who could only muster up one victory before he too was sacked in late November.

They’ve managed to improve their situation though under the interim leadership of Pierre Sage. He's a virtual novice in terms of senior management experience, but he’s doing a good job with four straight wins in all competitions, all of which were to nil with defensive improvements tangible already.

That’s good news for the board who may have thought significant January investment was going to be needed to tighten up the backline. There have been other recent boosts with neither Sinaly Diomande nor Paul Akouokou featuring in Ivory Coast’s AFCON squad, although young forward Ernest Nuamah has been called up by Ghana.

Will Lyon be relegated?
Rayan Cherki during the Ligue 1 match between Olympique Lyonnais and Nantes on December 20th 2024 – Photo by Loic Baratoux/Icon Sport

Were Lyon to be relegated, it would not be the first time. Prior to their domination of French football in the 2000’s, they were not serial trophy winners by any means and they were last relegated in 1983, going on to spend six years outside the top flight before winning Ligue 2 in 1988/89.

The seven league titles that they’ve won since then though, mean Lyon are now widely accepted to be one of the biggest French clubs. Should they go down, they’d surely be the biggest club to go down this century, although Monaco were also surprisingly relegated in 2010/11.


Avatar of Mark Sochon
Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.