Estrela vs Rio Ave prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/04/2024

14/04/24 - 15:30

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Estrela - Rio Ave

Portugal Primeira Liga - Estadio Jose Gomes

Here are our Portuguese league predictions for Estrela vs Rio Ave on Sunday, 14 April. Both of these teams are battling for their Primeira Liga survival this season, so there is a lot resting on the result of this game.

Just two points and three league places separate 15th-placed Estrela from Rio Ave in 12th position and the pair played out a 1-1 draw in December's reverse league fixture.

Estrela vs Rio Ave predictions: Possible stalemate on the cards

Key Stats

• Two of the last three encounters between Estrela and Rio Ave have ended with both teams scoring, while four of the host's last six league games have produced goals at both ends of the pitch.
• Five of Rio Ave's last six outings have ended in draws and four of those stalemates have produced under 2.5 goals, while three of Estrela's last six matches have also ended all square.
• Each of the last two meetings between these two clubs have produced under 2.5 goals, while four of Rio Ave's last five matches have also witnessed fewer than three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers backing the hosts

• HOME: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
• DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
• AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Estrela are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 38.5%, but this game feels like it will be very closely fought.

Estrela drew their last game with Moreirense 2-2 and have won one, drawn three and lost two of their last six fixtures, while Rio Ave won 3-0 at home to Gil Vicente in their last game to make it one win and five draws from their last six outings.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. You can back Estrela's Kikas to score in this game at 11/4 (3.75) which has a probability of 25.7%, while a bet on Emmanuel Boateng of Rio Ave to score has odds of 7/2 (4.50) with a probability of 22.2%.

Last five H2Hs: Rio Ave unbeaten

Portugal Primeira Liga 02/12/23

Rio Ave

1

Estrela

1

Portugal Segunda Liga 14/02/22

Rio Ave

1

Estrela

0

Portugal Segunda Liga 10/09/21

Estrela

2

Rio Ave

5

Rio Ave have won two and drawn one of their last three games against Estrela with the pair's December league meeting ending 1-1.

Team news and form guide

Estrela: Only won one of last six

Left wing-back Mansur is suspended for Sunday's match after getting sent off during the 2-2 draw with Moreirense last time out.

Predicted lineup: Brígido (GK), Lopes, Shinga, Gaspar, Santos, Fonseca, Souza, Bucca, Tavares, Jabá & Luiz

Portugal Primeira Liga 09/02/25

L

Casa Pia

1

Estrela

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 02/02/25

L

Benfica

3

Estrela

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 25/01/25

D

Famalicao

0

Estrela

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/01/25

L

Braga

1

Estrela

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/01/25

L

Estoril

4

Estrela

2

Rio Ave: Drawn five of last six

Midfielder Miguel Nóbrega is a doubt for Sunday's match due to a thigh injury, so we are expecting Rio Ave to use the same starting lineup that faced Gil Vincente last time out.

Predicted lineup: Jhonatan (GK), Santos, Pantalon, William, Costinha, Teixeira, Joca, Tanlongo, Vrousai, Yakubu & Ronaldo

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/02/25

D

Arouca

1

Rio Ave

1

Portugal Cup 06/02/25

W

Sao Joao Ver

1

Rio Ave

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 03/02/25

D

FC Porto

2

Rio Ave

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 25/01/25

W

SC Farense

1

Rio Ave

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/01/25

L

Sporting

3

Rio Ave

0

Player to watch – Kikas

Kikas is enjoying his second season with Estrela after making the move from Belenenses in 2022.

The Portuguese forward scored three times in Portugal's second-tier last season and has doubled that total in the Primeira Liga this season, scoring six times in 11 starts and 14 substitute appearances.

Hoping to score the goals to keep Estrela in the Primeira Liga

If anyone is going to score for Estrela on Sunday, then Kikas would be the obvious choice, as the striker has netted three goals in his last four appearances for his club.