EFL Cup odds - latest outrights

The EFL cup gets back underway this midweek, with four quarter finals spread across Tuesday and Wednesday. There will be at least one representative of the Football League present, as League One Port Vale host Middlesbrough of the Championship. 

With holders Man United out, let’s take a look at the odds each side have of lifting the EFL Cup, with a particular focus on the outsiders.

Liverpool – 15/8

The most recent winners of the League Cup left in the competition are Liverpool. The Reds won the trophy in 2022 and  have also lifted it a record nine times. Clearly the strongest side in the competition, Liverpool have every chance of extending their lead to ten.

Chelsea – 10/3

Mauricio Pochettino’s side seem to keep having false dawns in their attempts to prove to the rest of the Premier League that they are ‘back’, but have been woefully inconsistent.

The one place Chelsea have been consistent is the League Cup. The Blues have conceded only one goal in their three outings so far, all of which have rather fortuitously been at Stamford Bridge. With Chelsea sat in a dismal 12th place in the Premier League, a trophy might be necessary for Pochettino to keep his job. Stranger things have happened.

Newcastle v Man Utd EFL Cup
Newcastle United’s Miguel Almiron (left) celebrates scoring their side’s first goal of the game during the Carabao Cup fourth round match at Old Trafford, Manchester. Picture date: Wednesday November 1, 2023. – Photo by Icon sport

Newcastle – 7/2

Newcastle came mightily close to lifting the League Cup last season, but were defeated in the final by a Manchester United side inspired by a then-electric Marcus Rashford. Eddie Howe’s men could have become the first Newcastle side to lift a major trophy since the FA Cup in 1955.

The Magpies have already slain that demon by embarrassing Ten Hag’s men 3-0 at Old Trafford, and also beat Manchester City at their fortress, St James’ Park. 

Outside of Liverpool, Newcastle are the strongest side in the competition. But their odds are lengthened by their tie with a desperate Chelsea at Stamford Bridge. Newcastle’s away record is dismal, the Magpies have only won two games away from home all season.

Everton – 8/1

Sean Dyche is a popular man on Merseyside at the moment. Under his watch, Everton sit above the relegation zone, despite a ten point deduction for breaking the Premier League’s financial rules. They have recorded impressive home wins over Newcastle and Chelsea in recent weeks. 

Everton have never won the League Cup, and if the Toffees were to overcome the odds, it would be their first trophy in 28 long, and sometimes painful, years. 

Last time out in this competition, Everton thumped Burnley 3-0 at Goodison, and in the previous run became the only side to win at Villa Park as they defeated Aston Villa 2-1. Everton are in their best form for several seasons, and will fancy their chances in front of a vociferous home crowd against Fulham.

West Ham United – 9/1

The Hammers have had their appetite for silverware whetted by their Europa Conference League win this June, and will be determined to win their first domestic trophy since their FA Cup win in 1980.

Moyes’ men recorded a 3-1 win over a much-rotated Arsenal last time out, with new fan-favourite Mohamed Kudus scoring a superb goal. West Ham have another game against a title challenger as they travel to Anfield this round. Moyes will be hoping that Liverpool have half an eye on their table-topping clash with Arsenal on Saturday evening and rest key men.

Another trophy for Moyes would surely keep the likes of Graham Potter at bay, with speculation still rife as to who could theoretically replace him in the Hammers’ hotseat

Fulham player
27th November 2023; Craven Cottage, Fulham, London, England; Premier League Football, Fulham versus Wolverhampton Wanderers; Calvin Bassey of Fulham is defended by Joao Gomes of Wolverhampton Wanderers – Photo by Icon sport

Fulham – 12/1

Fulham are absolutely flying at the moment. The likes of Bernd Leno, Tom Cairney, Alex Iwobi, Raul Jimenez and Willian are all in superb form, and Marco Silva will hope his men can carry their performances up to Merseyside for this clash.

By means of motivation, this squad could embed themselves in Cottagers folklore by lifting the club’s first ever major trophy.

Middlesbrough – 16/1

Michael Carrick’s side have overcome a tricky summer in which they lost star players Chuba Akpom, but have since stabilised themselves solidly in mid-table in the Championship.

Boro were dreaming of the Premier League with their performances in the second half of last season. They fell short, but they could bring back some memories of better times if they draw upon the spirit of their 2004 League Cup winning side. 

Middlesbrough could also become the first side from outside the top flight to win the League Cup since Sheffield Wednesday in 1991. They will fancy their chances of making at least the semi-finals as they travel to League One Port Vale.

Port Vale – 250/1

The Valiants have done remarkably well to reach this stage of the EFL Cup, winning four matches, more than any side on this list. That said, Port Vale are enormous outsiders to go all the way. Their last trophy was the EFL Trophy back in 2000/01. 

However, Vale Park will be behind their side all the way against the next lowest ranked side in Middlesbrough. If they can defeat the Teessiders, they’d be in the semi-finals. And from there, anything is possible.