Sporting Lisbon vs Chaves prediction, odds & betting tips 18/05/2024

18/05/24 - 18:00

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Sporting - Chaves

Portugal Primeira Liga - Jose Alvalade

An interesting fixture is on the cards as Liga Portugal champions Sporting Lisbon host last-placed Chaves this weekend. View our free Sporting Lisbon vs Chaves predictions below.

Sporting Lisbon vs Chaves predictions: Business as usual for the league leaders

Key stats

• Chaves have already been relegated from the Primeira Liga.
• This is in contrast with Sporting Lisbon, who have already won the title.
• Sporting Lisbon have been by far the highest-scoring side in the Portuguese top-flight this season.
• The hosts kept five clean sheets in their last six games.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sporting Lisbon are overwhelming favourites

• Sporting Lisbon: 1/12 (1.08) – 92.3%
• Draw: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
• Chaves: 25/1 (26.00) – 3.8%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

These teams are on opposite sides when it comes to form. While Sporting Lisbon won eight of their last 10 matches, Chaves suffered six losses in their last eight games.

With that being said, it's no surprise that the hosts are the expected winners at 1/12 (1.08). Teams with these odds generally have a 92.3% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Sporting Lisbon vs Chaves predictions.

Interestingly, over four goals were scored per match in Sporting Lisbon's home games this season. On that note, over 3.5 total goals has an appealing look at 8/13 (1.62). That one has a 61.9% chance of landing.

Last five H2Hs: Can Chaves avoid a third straight loss?

As expected, meetings between these teams have been very one-sided. Sporting Lisbon emerged victorious in seven of their last eight meetings with Chaves, losing just once. However, it's fair to point out that Chaves won their last trip to this stadium.

Portugal Primeira Liga 13/01/24

Chaves

0

Sporting

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 20/02/23

Chaves

2

Sporting

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/08/22

Sporting

0

Chaves

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 30/03/19

Chaves

1

Sporting

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/11/18

Sporting

2

Chaves

1

Team news and form guide

Sporting Lisbon: Looking to extend their unbeaten run to 11 matches

Antonio Adan remains the only absentee for Sporting Lisbon. He's ruled out with a thigh injury, and is expected to return later this month.

Predicted lineup: Pinto (GK), Inácio, Coates, Diomande, Reis, Morita, Bragança, Esgaio, Gonçalves, Trincão & Gyökeres.

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

D

Benfica

1

Sporting

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25

W

Gil Vicente

1

Sporting

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25

W

Boavista

0

Sporting

5

Portugal Cup 22/04/25

W

Rio Ave

1

Sporting

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25

W

Moreirense

1

Sporting

3

Chaves: Eyeing their biggest win of the season

On the positive side, there are no injured or suspended players for Chaves. However, considering they've already been relegated, there's nothing left to play for in this game.

Predicted lineup: Nascimento (GK), Correia, Noguiera, Fernandes, Cruz, Guzzo, Essugo, Guima, Ribeiro, Hernandez & Sanca.

Portugal Segunda Liga 10/05/25

L

UD Leiria

2

Chaves

0

Portugal Segunda Liga 04/05/25

L

Tondela

2

Chaves

1

Portugal Segunda Liga 29/04/25

L

Alverca

2

Chaves

0

Portugal Segunda Liga 19/04/25

W

FC Porto B

1

Chaves

2

Portugal Segunda Liga 12/04/25

W

Portimonense

0

Chaves

2

Player to watch: Viktor Gyökeres

Viktor Gyökeres made the switch to Sporting Lisbon from Coventry last summer, and he has been arguably the best player in the Liga Portugal Betclic this campaign.

With an impressive return of 27 goals and 10 assists, the Swedish player has at least 11 more direct goal involvements than every other player in Portugal's top-flight league.

Gyökeres scored five times in his last four games, so it'll be interesting to see how he matches up against last-placed Chaves.