Benfica vs Chaves prediction, odds & betting tips – 29/03/2024

Benfica
29/03/24 - 18:00

Finished

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Chaves

Benfica - Chaves

Portugal Primeira Liga - Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica vs Chaves prediction
Chaves take on Benfica – Photo by Icon Sport

We're bringing you our Portuguese league predictions for Friday evening's clash between Benfica and Chaves.

Benfica will be hoping to go top and stay top with a win at home against the division's bottom club this week but the current league leaders Sporting are a point ahead of their local rivals and kick-off against Estrela late on Friday night.

Benfica vs Chaves predictions: Will Benfica shut out Chaves?

Benfica vs Chaves Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Benfica Win-to-Nil

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Benfica 2-0 Chaves

⚽ Anytime Goalscorer prediction

Rafa

Key Stats

  • Benfica have won five of their last seven encounters with Chaves, keeping five clean sheets in the process, and the hosts have won their last two matches in all competitions without conceding a single goal.
  • Benfica have scored at least two goals in three of their last five matches, while Chaves have failed to score in two of their last three away games but have only conceded more than two goals in one of their last six outings.
  • Rafa top scores for Benfica this season with 12 league goals and the Portuguese striker is in decent form right now with four goals in his last nine appearances in all competitions.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica backed by the bookmakers

  • HOME: 2/15 (1.13) – 88.2%
  • DRAW: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
  • AWAY: 19/1 (20.00) – 5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Benfica are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 88.2%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

Benfica have picked up four wins from their last six matches, beating Casa Pia 1-0 last time out, while Chaves have lost three of their last six matches, including a 2-1 defeat at home to Vitoria Guimaraes last time out.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. You can back over 2.5 goals to be scored in this game at 4/11 (1.36) which has a probability of 73.3%, while the odds on under 2.5 goals stand at 23/10 (3.30) with a probability of 30.3%.

Last five H2Hs: Benfica dominate

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/11/23

Chaves

Chaves

0
Benfica

Benfica

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 15/04/23

Chaves

Chaves

1
Benfica

Benfica

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/10/22

Benfica

Benfica

5
Chaves

Chaves

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 25/02/19

Benfica

Benfica

4
Chaves

Chaves

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/09/18

Chaves

Chaves

2
Benfica

Benfica

2

Benfica have won 16, drawn one and lost two of their last 19 meetings with Chaves, running out 2-0 winners in the pair's reverse league fixture back in November.

Team news and form guide

Benfica: Won last three matches

António Silva is suspended for this game after picking up another yellow card last time out against Csa Pia, while Juan Bernat looks set to miss the game through injury.

Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Otamendi, Bah, Morato, Di María, Mário, Aursnes, Rafa, Florentino, Neves & Leonardo 

Europe Friendlies 13/07/24

D

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Benfica

Benfica

2

Europe Friendlies 12/07/24

W

SC Farense

SC Farense

0

Benfica

Benfica

5

Portugal Primeira Liga 17/05/24

D

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

1

Benfica

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/05/24

W

Arouca

Arouca

0

Benfica

Benfica

5

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/05/24

L

Famalicao

Famalicao

2

Benfica

Benfica

0

Chaves: Without a win in four

The visitors have a clean bill of health and no suspended players ahead of the tricky trip to Lisbon to face Benfica on Friday night, so we're expecting Chaves to go with the same starting lineup that narrowly lost to Vitoria Guimaraes.

Predicted lineup: Souza (GK), Fernandes, Carraça, Pius, Nogueira, Ribeiro, Guzzo, Guima, Benny, Essugo & Hernández

Europe Friendlies 13/07/24

L

Guimaraes B

Guimaraes B

3

Chaves

Chaves

1

World Club Friendlies 10/07/24

L

FC Porto

FC Porto

4

Chaves

Chaves

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/05/24

L

Sporting

Sporting

3

Chaves

Chaves

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/24

L

Famalicao

Famalicao

1

Chaves

Chaves

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/24

L

FC Porto

FC Porto

3

Chaves

Chaves

0

Player to watch – Angel Di Maria

Angel Di Maria has been one of Benfica's best players this season despite now being 36-years-old.

Di Maria player to watch
Leiria Municipal Stadium hosted the second game of the Semi-finals, between SL Benfica and Estoril Praia. Di Maria – Photo by Icon Sport

The Argentine legend is Benfica's second top goal scorer in the Primeira Liga this season with eight goals and has also chipped in with six assists.

Doing the business despite his advancing age

We're backing Di Maria to put in another impressive performance on Friday night which will likely lead to the veteran Argentian getting a goal or an assist against a struggling Chaves side.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things