Benfica vs Chaves prediction, odds & betting tips – 29/03/2024

29/03/24 - 18:00

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Benfica - Chaves

Portugal Primeira Liga - Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

We're bringing you our Portuguese league predictions for Friday evening's clash between Benfica and Chaves.

Benfica will be hoping to go top and stay top with a win at home against the division's bottom club this week but the current league leaders Sporting are a point ahead of their local rivals and kick-off against Estrela late on Friday night.

Benfica vs Chaves predictions: Will Benfica shut out Chaves?

Key Stats

• Benfica have won five of their last seven encounters with Chaves, keeping five clean sheets in the process, and the hosts have won their last two matches in all competitions without conceding a single goal.
• Benfica have scored at least two goals in three of their last five matches, while Chaves have failed to score in two of their last three away games but have only conceded more than two goals in one of their last six outings.
• Rafa top scores for Benfica this season with 12 league goals and the Portuguese striker is in decent form right now with four goals in his last nine appearances in all competitions.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica backed by the bookmakers

• HOME: 2/15 (1.13) – 88.2%
• DRAW: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
• AWAY: 19/1 (20.00) – 5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Benfica are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 88.2%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

Benfica have picked up four wins from their last six matches, beating Casa Pia 1-0 last time out, while Chaves have lost three of their last six matches, including a 2-1 defeat at home to Vitoria Guimaraes last time out.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. You can back over 2.5 goals to be scored in this game at 4/11 (1.36) which has a probability of 73.3%, while the odds on under 2.5 goals stand at 23/10 (3.30) with a probability of 30.3%.

Last five H2Hs: Benfica dominate

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/11/23

Chaves

0

Benfica

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 15/04/23

Chaves

1

Benfica

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/10/22

Benfica

5

Chaves

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 25/02/19

Benfica

4

Chaves

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/09/18

Chaves

2

Benfica

2

Benfica have won 16, drawn one and lost two of their last 19 meetings with Chaves, running out 2-0 winners in the pair's reverse league fixture back in November.

Team news and form guide

Benfica: Won last three matches

António Silva is suspended for this game after picking up another yellow card last time out against Csa Pia, while Juan Bernat looks set to miss the game through injury.

Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Otamendi, Bah, Morato, Di María, Mário, Aursnes, Rafa, Florentino, Neves & Leonardo 

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

D

Sporting

1

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25

W

Estoril

1

Benfica

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25

W

AVS

0

Benfica

6

Portugal Cup 23/04/25

W

FC Tirsense

0

Benfica

4

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

W

Guimaraes

0

Benfica

3

Chaves: Without a win in four

The visitors have a clean bill of health and no suspended players ahead of the tricky trip to Lisbon to face Benfica on Friday night, so we're expecting Chaves to go with the same starting lineup that narrowly lost to Vitoria Guimaraes.

Predicted lineup: Souza (GK), Fernandes, Carraça, Pius, Nogueira, Ribeiro, Guzzo, Guima, Benny, Essugo & Hernández

Portugal Segunda Liga 10/05/25

L

UD Leiria

2

Chaves

0

Portugal Segunda Liga 04/05/25

L

Tondela

2

Chaves

1

Portugal Segunda Liga 29/04/25

L

Alverca

2

Chaves

0

Portugal Segunda Liga 19/04/25

W

FC Porto B

1

Chaves

2

Portugal Segunda Liga 12/04/25

W

Portimonense

0

Chaves

2

Player to watch – Angel Di Maria

Angel Di Maria has been one of Benfica's best players this season despite now being 36-years-old.

The Argentine legend is Benfica's second top goal scorer in the Primeira Liga this season with eight goals and has also chipped in with six assists.

Doing the business despite his advancing age

We're backing Di Maria to put in another impressive performance on Friday night which will likely lead to the veteran Argentian getting a goal or an assist against a struggling Chaves side.