Burnley vs Bournemouth prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/03/2024

03/03/24 - 13:00

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Burnley - Bournemouth

England Premier League - Turf Moor

Here are our Premier League predictions for Burnley vs Bournemouth on Sunday.

Two teams in poor form go head-to-head in the Premier League this weekend for what is expected to be a tight and tense 90 minutes at Turf Moor. The Cherries could be without their top goalscorer Dominic Solanke due to a knee injury so this relegation six-pointer is going to be tough to call.

Burnley vs Bournemouth predictions: Will this game end in a draw?

Key Stats

• Both teams have scored in four of Burnley's and four of Bournemouth's last six fixtures.
• Three of Bournemouth's last five league games have ended in stalemates, while Burnley have drawn two of their last three home games.
• Under 2.5 goals have been produced in four of Bournemouth's last six outings in league and cup.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies backing Bournemouth

• HOME: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
• DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
• AWAY: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bournemouth are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 51.3%, and it's difficult to argue with the bookmakers on this one given the performance of both clubs so far this season.

The only two points Burnley have secured in their last six league games have come in home draws, while Bournemouth have drawn three and lost three of their last six matches in all competitions.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Enes Unal is the favourite to score in this game at 2/1 (3.00) which has a probability of 33.3%, while Antoine Semenyo is priced at 5/2 (3.50) to score with a probability of 28.6%.

Last five H2Hs: Burnley enjoy playing against the Cherries

England Premier League 28/10/23

Bournemouth

2

Burnley

1

England FA Cup 07/01/23

Bournemouth

2

Burnley

4

England FA Cup 09/02/21

Burnley

0

Bournemouth

2

England Premier League 22/02/20

Burnley

3

Bournemouth

0

England Premier League 21/12/19

Bournemouth

0

Burnley

1

Burnley have won 13, drawn six and lost seven of their last 26 encounters with Bournemouth, but it was the Cherries that secured all three points when the pair locked horns for their reverse league fixture back in October.

Team news and form guide

Burnley: Drawn two of their last three at home

Aaron Ramsey, Nathan Redmond, Lyle Foster, Luca Koleosho and Jordan Beyer could all miss out this weekend due to injury, while Josh Brownhill will have to sit out after getting sent off in Burnley's last game.

Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Taylor, O'Shea, Esteve, Assignon, Guðmunds­son, Cork, Berge, Amdouni, Fofana & Odobert 

England Championship 21/09/24

W

Portsmouth

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 14/09/24

W

Leeds

0

Burnley

1

England Championship 31/08/24

D

Blackburn

1

Burnley

1

England EFL Cup 28/08/24

L

Wolverhampton

2

Burnley

0

England Championship 24/08/24

L

Sunderland

1

Burnley

0

Bournemouth: Three of their last six matches have ended all square

There are doubts over Ryan Fredericks, Tyler Adams, James Hill, Lloyd Kelly, Dominic Solanke, Enes Unal and Maximillian Aarons for the visitors on Sunday.

Predicted lineup: Neto (GK), Smith, Senesi, Zabarnyi, Kerkez, Christie, Cook, Tavernier, Solanke, Kluivert & Semenyo

England Premier League 21/09/24

L

Liverpool

3

Bournemouth

0

England Premier League 14/09/24

L

Chelsea

1

Bournemouth

0

England Premier League 31/08/24

W

Everton

2

Bournemouth

3

England EFL Cup 28/08/24

L

West Ham

1

Bournemouth

0

England Premier League 25/08/24

D

Newcastle

1

Bournemouth

1

Player to watch – Marcus Tavernier

Marcus Tavernier has impressed for the Cherries since making the step up to the Premier League from Championship side Middlesbrough in 2022.

The 2-year-old midfielder scored five goals in 19 starts in his debut season and this time around he has chipped in with two goals and four assists, making Tavernier a key creative player.

Key player in Bournemouth's midfield

Tavernier will have to be at his creative best this weekend if Bournemouth's top scorer Dominic Solanke does miss the game through injury as he has netted 14 goals and three assists for the Cherries so far. Tavernier does have goals in him as we saw last season so don't be surprised if we see the midfielder play further forward at Turf Moor to make up for the loss of Solanke.