Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023
14/03/23 - 19:45

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Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Watford - Birmingham

England Championship - Vicarage Road

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you Championship predictions for Watford vs Birmingham with the game due to take place on March 14th.

Watford vs Birmingham prediction and top betting tips

Chris Wilder didn't exactly make the dream start to his tenure at Watford at the weekend as the Hornets lost to relegation threatened QPR. Will they pack more sting in this match? Find out with our Watford vs Birmingham match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Watford vs Birmingham Prediction 1: Draw

Predicting the outcome of this game is a little bit difficult and we've ultimately settled on a draw outcome. Watford's recent form has been woeful with just one win in their last five games whilst they're winless in three. The big caveat to that form being that Chris Wilder has only been in charge of 20% of those games. As for Birmingham, they too have only won one of their last five games but do arrive here having taken four points from their last two games, which obviously gives them a boosted confidence. Like with Watford, there is a caveat, which is they've taken points off Rotherham and Wigan in those two recent games. Watford will be a different level of test but, all things considered, a share of the spoils isn't unlikely.

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Watford vs Birmingham Prediction 2: Under 2.5 goals

The second of our football betting tips for this game comes from the total goals market. We are backing the action to fall short of the 2.5 goals cut off. Watford have seen four of their last five matches go under the 2.5 marker whilst each of Birmingham's last three games have gone south of the 2.5 cut off. Three of the last five head to head meetings between these two sides have also fallen short of the aforementioned 2.5 threshold.

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Watford vs Birmingham

Head to Head

16/08/22

England Championship CHA

Birmingham

Watford

1

1

20/03/21

England Championship CHA

Watford

Birmingham

3

0

12/12/20

England Championship CHA

Birmingham

Watford

0

1

18/04/15

England Championship CHA

Watford

Birmingham

1

0

04/11/14

England Championship CHA

Birmingham

Watford

2

1

Last Five - WatfordWatford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

08/05/23

England Championship CHA

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Stoke

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Watford

0

2

W

29/04/23

England Championship CHA

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Sunderland

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Watford

2

2

D

22/04/23

England Championship CHA

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Hull

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Watford

1

0

L

19/04/23

England Championship CHA

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Cardiff

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Watford

3

1

L

15/04/23

England Championship CHA

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Bristol City

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Watford

0

2

W

Last Five - BirminghamWatford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

08/05/23

England Championship CHA

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Sheff Utd

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Birmingham

2

1

L

29/04/23

England Championship CHA

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Coventry

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Birmingham

2

0

L

22/04/23

England Championship CHA

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Blackpool

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Birmingham

1

0

L

18/04/23

England Championship CHA

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Millwall

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Birmingham

0

1

W

15/04/23

England Championship CHA

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Sunderland

Watford vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/03/2023

Birmingham

2

1

L

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the Watford vs Birmingham odds translate into probability ahead of this game? Let's find out.

Watford odds: 7/8 (1.88) – 53%

Draw odds: 13/5 (3.60) – 28%

Birmingham odds: 13/4 (4.25) – 24%

Watford arrive in this game as the bookies odds on favourites to win the game. That is very much a price based on the potential of this Watford squad as opposed to what they've actually produced in recent times though and, as such, we don't believe a home win offers great value. Instead, the draw option appeals. As for the total goals market, the bookmakers have this one down as a low scoring affair. That's a view we do share!

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Watford vs Birmingham

Watford

Watford lost last time out but Chris Wilder hasn't long been in the door. He won't go rocking the boat with mass changes to his lineup after just one game as he looks to find a core of a team. Expect a change or two but nothing more. Keinan Davis is one who could drop out of the XI.

Predicted lineup – Bachman, Hoedt, Cathcart, Porteous, Ngakia, Louza, Choudhury, Sema, Pedro, Sarr, Assombalonga

Birmingham

Birmingham are in a good moment right now having taken four points from a possible six; that is a big deal after four straight losses. With that positive return noted, an unchanged lineup is extremely likely for this game, which means we'll see a 3-4-1-2 lineup with Tahith Chong operating just off Lukas Jutkiewicz.

Predicted lineup – Ruddy, Dean, Long, Trusty, Colin, Chang, Bielik, Khadra, Hall, Chong, Jutkiewicz

Watford vs Birmingham Line ups

Watford

7
Keinan Davis
gb
2
Jeremy Ngakia
gb
6
Imran Louza
ma
25
Leandro Bacuna
cw
1
Daniel Bachmann
at
12
Ken Sema
se
11
Ismael Kone
ca
15
Craig Cathcart
gb
44
Wesley Hoedt
nl
22
Ryan Porteous
gb
10
Joao Pedro
br
Substitutes
34
Britt Assombalonga
cd
21
Henrique Araujo
pt
18
Yaser Asprilla
co
27
Christian Kabasele
be
3
Mario Gaspar
es
42
James William Morris
gb
26
Ben Hamer
gb

Birmingham

6
Hannibal Mejbri
tn
17
Reda Khadra
de
21
John Ruddy
gb
18
Tahith Chong
cw
26
Kevin Long
ie
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz
gb
2
Maxime Colin
fr
12
Harlee Dean
gb
11
Jordan Graham
gb
31
Krystian Bielik
pl
5
Auston Trusty
us
Substitutes
35
George Hall
gb
19
Jordan James
gb
42
Alfie Chang
gb
9
Scott Hogan
ie
1
Neil Etheridge
ph
4
Marc Roberts
gb
23
Emmanuel Longelo
gb

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

Watford are likely to have most of the ball and territory in this game and, for us, that puts a bigger focus on the role of Birmingham forward Lukas Jutkiewicz. His ability to hold the ball up will be crucial to his team getting up the pitch whilst his link up play – in addition to his threat from set pieces – will be important to Brum creating chances of their own.

Take a look at the latest standings

Championship 22/23
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1

Burnley

46 29 14 3 52 101
2

Sheff Utd

46 28 7 11 34 91
3

Luton

46 21 17 8 18 80
4

Middlesbrough

46 22 9 15 28 75
5

Coventry

46 18 16 12 12 70
6

Sunderland

46 18 15 13 13 69
7

Blackburn

46 20 9 17 -2 69
8

Millwall

46 19 11 16 7 68
9

West Brom

46 18 12 16 6 66
10

Swansea

46 18 12 16 4 66
11

Watford

46 16 15 15 3 63
12

Preston

46 17 12 17 -14 63
13

Norwich

46 17 11 18 3 62
14

Bristol City

46 15 14 17 -1 59
15

Hull

46 14 16 16 -10 58
16

Stoke

46 14 11 21 1 53
17

Birmingham

46 14 11 21 -11 53
18

Huddersfield

46 14 11 21 -15 53
19

Rotherham

46 11 17 18 -11 50
20

QPR

46 13 11 22 -27 50
21

Cardiff

46 13 10 23 -17 49
22

Reading

46 13 11 22 -22 44
23

Blackpool

46 11 11 24 -24 44
24

Wigan

46 10 15 21 -27 39

A quickfire FAQ on Watford – Birmingham

Watford vs Birmingham prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – Vicarage Road
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Watford
  • What time does the match kick off?  19:45 GMT