Stoke vs Reading Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 21/01/2023

Stoke
21/01/23 - 15:00

Finished

4

-

0

Reading

Stoke - Reading

England Championship - bet365 Stadium

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Relegation threatened Stoke host Reading on Saturday January 21st in a Championship encounter.

Stoke vs Reading: Our top betting predictions

Reading come into this game as rank outsiders in the eyes of the bookmakers. Can they make the bookmakers eat their words by taking the three points? Find out with our Stoke vs Reading match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Reading to bag the win

We kick off our predictions for this game by backing Reading to win and we cannot believe the odds! Sure, they've not been amazing lately but one defeat in their last five games along with two wins and two draws isn't a pathetic run of form. That becomes more clear when compared to the form Stoke have shown. The Potters have won just once in their last five games and even that was a cup win over lower league opposition. On top of not winning many, they've been losing a few too with three defeats in that time. That's not where the bad news stops for Stoke either; they've lost each of their last two head to head games with Reading as well!

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A low scoring game

Our next prediction for this game sees us backing it to be a low scoring affair. Stoke have seen three of their last five home games fall under the 2.5 cut off – including each of their last two games whilst Reading have seen each of their last two – and three of their last five – away games also come up short against the 2.5 goal threshold. In addition to that, the head to head record is pretty comprehensive on the ‘under' betting option; three of the last four head to heads played at Stoke have ended without goals!

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Stoke vs Reading

Head to Head

04/09/22

England Championship CHA

Reading

Reading

Stoke

Stoke

2

1

05/04/22

England Championship CHA

Reading

Reading

Stoke

Stoke

2

1

07/08/21

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Reading

Reading

3

2

06/02/21

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Reading

Reading

0

0

07/11/20

England Championship CHA

Reading

Reading

Stoke

Stoke

0

3

Last Five - Stoke

31/08/24

England Championship CHA

Plymouth

Plymouth

Stoke

Stoke

0

1

W

27/08/24

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Stoke

Stoke

0

5

W

24/08/24

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Stoke

Stoke

2

1

L

22/08/24

TEST Fixtures TEST

Port Vale

Port Vale

Stoke

Stoke

0

1

W

17/08/24

England Championship CHA

Watford

Watford

Stoke

Stoke

3

0

L

Last Five - Reading

31/08/24

England League 1 League 1

Charlton

Charlton

Reading

Reading

0

2

W

24/08/24

England League 1 League 1

Wrexham

Wrexham

Reading

Reading

3

0

L

20/08/24

England EFL Trophy England

West Ham U21

West Ham U21

Reading

Reading

1

3

W

17/08/24

England League 1 League 1

Wigan

Wigan

Reading

Reading

0

2

W

13/08/24

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Colchester

Colchester

Reading

Reading

2 (4)

2 (3)

L

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.

Stoke odds: 10/11 (1.91) – 52%

Draw odds: 12/5 (3.40) – 29%

Reading odds: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

Stoke arrive in this game as big favourites despite their lowly league position, which immediately gives you some suggestion that there is some serious value to be had on an away win. Another area where the bookmakers have strong views is in the total goals market. Here the odds for an under 2.5 goals bet are odds on. Both teams to score, however, sees both the ‘yes' and ‘no' options priced odds on.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Stoke vs Reading

Stoke

Stoke cannot find a winning combination this season and despite having just the one player – Sam Clucas – ruled out through injury for this match it is difficult to see them changing things up too much for the visit of Reading. That means they'll likely line up in a 3-4-1-2 formation with Nick Powell providing their main attacking threat.

Predicted lineup – Bonham, Fox, Jagielka, Souttar, Tymon, Baker, Thompson, Wilmot, Laurent, Brown, Powell

Reading

Reading find themselves arriving in this game on the back of a couple of decent results having beaten Watford and drawn with QPR in recent outings. With that in mind, we can see an unchanged XI being named. Liam Moore, Dejan Tetek and Tyrese Fornah are all unavailable for selection.

Predicted lineup – Lumley, Yiadom, Holmes, Sarr, Loum, Hoilett, Hendrick, Hutchinson, Baba, Ince, Carroll

Starting Lineups

Stoke

Stoke
16
Ben Wilmot
gb
11
Dwight Gayle
gb
9
Jacob Brown
gb
3
Morgan Fox
gb
18
William Smallbone
ie
44
Matthew Baker
gb
13
Jack Bonham
ie
14
Josh Tymon
gb
28
Josh Laurent
gb
10
Tyrese Campbell
gb
6
Phil Jagielka
gb
Substitutes
15
Jordan Thompson
gb
37
Emre Tezgel
gb
4
Aden Flint
gb
32
Connor Taylor
gb
34
Frank Fielding
gb
29
D'Margio Wright-Phillips
gb
20
Dujon Sterling
gb

Reading

Reading
3
Tom Holmes
gb
19
Tyrese Fornah
gb
22
Mamadou Loum N'Diaye
sn
5
Tom McIntyre
gb
23
Junior Hoilett
ca
8
Jeff Hendrick
ie
10
Tom Ince
gb
17
Andy Yiadom
gh
12
Rahman Baba
gh
11
Yakou Meite
fr
1
Joe Lumley
gb
Substitutes
6
Scott Dann
gb
27
Amadou Mbengue
sn
15
Femi Azeez
gb
21
Dean Bouzanis
au
9
Lucas Joao
pt
18
Nesta Guinness-Walker
gb
7
Shane Long
ie

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

Our player to watch for this match is Reading's Tom Ince. Ince has been the creative force in the Royals attack this year registering a total of nine goal contributions (six goals and three assists) in league games alone. In terms of recency, Ince has scored two goals across his last five games and is likely to be a constant threat in this game.

Check out the latest standings

Championship
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Sunderland

Sunderland

4 4 0 0 9 12
2 West Brom

West Brom

4 3 1 0 4 10
3 Watford

Watford

4 3 0 1 4 9
4 Leeds

Leeds

4 2 2 0 4 8
5 Blackburn

Blackburn

4 2 2 0 3 8
6 Burnley

Burnley

4 2 1 1 7 7
7 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

4 2 1 1 2 7
8 Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

4 2 2 0 3 6
9 Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

4 2 0 2 2 6
10 Derby

Derby

4 2 0 2 1 6
11 Stoke

Stoke

4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 QPR

QPR

4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Norwich

Norwich

4 1 2 1 -1 5
14 Bristol City

Bristol City

4 1 2 1 -2 5
15 Millwall

Millwall

4 1 1 2 1 4
16 Swansea

Swansea

4 1 1 2 1 4
17 Coventry

Coventry

4 1 1 2 -1 4
18 Portsmouth

Portsmouth

4 0 3 1 -2 3
19 Hull

Hull

4 0 3 1 -2 3
20 Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

4 1 0 3 -5 3
21 Preston

Preston

4 1 0 3 -6 3
22 Plymouth

Plymouth

4 0 2 2 -5 2
23 Luton

Luton

4 0 1 3 -5 1
24 Cardiff

Cardiff

4 0 1 3 -9 1

A quickfire FAQ on Stoke vs Reading

Stoke vs Reading prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – Bet365 Stadium
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Stoke 
  • What time does the match kick off?  15:00 GMT

Ash is an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!