Southampton vs Coventry prediction, odds & betting tips – 09/04/2024

09/04/24 - 19:45

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Southampton - Coventry

England Championship - St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton will face Coventry in the Championship on Tuesday, 9 April with both teams fighting it out for promotion to the Premier League.

Southampton were in the hunt for automatic promotion until recently but a poor run of form means they will now have to settle for the playoffs.

Coventry, meanwhile, is fighting to sneak into the playoffs after another season of punching above their weight. Ahead of kick-off, check out our Southampton vs. Coventry prediction below.

Southampton vs Coventry prediction: Battle for the top six heats up

Key stats

• Southampton have failed to win each of their last three league matches.
• Coventry have won five of their last six matches in all competitions.
• The reverse fixture finished 1-1 earlier in the season.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Saints backed to prevail

• HOME: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
• DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
• AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Southampton vs Coventry odds tell us that the bookmakers aren't too concerned about Southampton's recent form. They have been given a 57.9% chance of winning the game, which is surprising when you look at how the Saints have fared in recent weeks.

On Saturday, they had a golden opportunity to get back in the conversation for automatic promotion with Leeds and Ipswich both losing but they blew this opportunity by drawing away against a struggling Blackburn Rovers side.

Their place in the playoffs should be guaranteed at this point but Russell Martin would like some momentum going into them.

For Coventry, momentum isn't an issue whatsoever. They are buzzing for the FA Cup semi-finals in a few weeks but haven't let their league form suffer as a result.

Their win at home to Leeds kept them in touching distance of Norwich in sixth and we believe this wave of momentum will carry them to another win on Tuesday night.

In terms of other free betting tips, consider both teams to score at 1/2 (1.50) and Adam Armstrong to score anytime at 23/20 (2.15).

Last five H2Hs: Grim reading for Coventry fans

Coventry and Southampton have only played each other five times in the last 13 years with just two matches in the past two years. The two most recent clashes finished all square after 90 minutes while the previous fixtures all went the way of Southampton. Coventry's last victory over the Saints came in 2008.

England Championship 13/12/23

Coventry

1

Southampton

1

England FA Cup 05/02/22

Southampton

2

Coventry

1

Southampton preview: Can they rediscover their top form before the playoffs?

Russell Martin has already confirmed that he will ring the changes for this one after Saturday's turgid display against Blackburn which should a returns for Che Adams and Will Smallbone. Ross Stewart and Juan Larios are the only injury absentees.

Predicted lineup: Bazunu (GK), Walker-Peters, Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Stephens, Downes, Aribo, Smallbone, Brooks, Adams, Armstrong

England Premier League 10/05/25

D

Man City

0

Southampton

0

England Premier League 03/05/25

L

Leicester

2

Southampton

0

England Premier League 26/04/25

L

Fulham

2

Southampton

1

England Premier League 19/04/25

D

West Ham

1

Southampton

1

England Premier League 12/04/25

L

Aston Villa

3

Southampton

0

Coventry preview: Out for revenge after last season

Mark Robins will be without two key players for the match against Southampton in Jamie Allen and Tatsuhiro Sakamoto. Allen will return imminently while Sakamoto is expected to miss the rest of the season. The goalscoring expectation will fall on the shoulders of Ellis Simms who is red hot right now.

Predicted lineup: Collins (GK), Van Ewijk, Thomas, Kitching, Bidwell, Eccles, Sheaf, Wright, O'Hare, Palmer, Simms

England Championship 13/05/25

W

Sunderland

0

Coventry

1

England Championship 09/05/25

L

Sunderland

2

Coventry

1

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Middlesbrough

0

Coventry

2

England Championship 26/04/25

L

Luton

1

Coventry

0

England Championship 21/04/25

L

Plymouth

3

Coventry

1

Player to watch: Ellis Simms

Ellis Simms took a little while to adjust to life at Coventry after signing for the club from Everton in the summer, but the 23-year-old striker has exploded into life over the past month.

Coventry's ace in the pack

Simms' form over the past month has been extraordinary and it has given Coventry renewed hope of making the playoffs. He has scored 12 goals in his last eight appearances in all competitions, including a brace against Wolves in the FA Cup.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Southampton

SAINTS back in the SO ❤️ pic.twitter.com/IAxvQJVk9X

— Southampton FC (@SouthamptonFC) April 9, 2024

Coventry

On the road in the @SkyBetChamp as we head to the south coast to face @SouthamptonFC. ?️

Safe travels. We'll hear you there. ✨ pic.twitter.com/xbc1gjph8S

— Coventry City (@Coventry_City) April 9, 2024