South Africa vs Congo DR prediction, odds & betting tips 10/02/2024

South Africa
10/02/24 - 20:00

Finished

0 (6)

-

0 (5)

Congo DR

South Africa - Congo DR

Africa Cup of Nations - Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

3rd Place Playoff

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

It's time for our AFCON predictions ahead of the Third-Place Play-Off between South Africa and Congo DR. Both of these teams came close to making it through to the final, especially Bafana Bafana who lost a penalty shoot-out against Nigeria in the Semi-Finals. South Africa finished third back in 2000, while Congo DR claimed third place in both the 1998 and 2015 tournaments so both nations have been here and done it all before.

South Africa vs Congo DR prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Under 2.5 Goals

  • Three of the last four meetings between South Africa and Congo DR have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Five of Congo DR's last six matches have featured fewer than three goals.

Another reason why we're backing under 2.5 goals in this game is that each of South Africa's last four matches have produced under 2.5 goals.

Latest odds

Head to Head

12/09/23

International Match International

South Africa

South Africa

Congo DR

Congo DR

1

0

Last Five - South Africa

10/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Congo DR

Congo DR

South Africa

South Africa

0 (5)

0 (6)

W

07/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Nigeria

Nigeria

South Africa

South Africa

1 (4)

1 (2)

L

03/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Cape Verde Islands

Cape Verde Islands

South Africa

South Africa

0 (1)

0 (2)

W

30/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Morocco

Morocco

South Africa

South Africa

0

2

W

24/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Tunisia

Tunisia

South Africa

South Africa

0

0

D

Last Five - Congo DR

10/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

South Africa

South Africa

Congo DR

Congo DR

0 (6)

0 (5)

L

07/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

Congo DR

Congo DR

1

0

L

02/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Guinea

Guinea

Congo DR

Congo DR

1

3

W

28/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Egypt

Egypt

Congo DR

Congo DR

1 (7)

1 (8)

W

24/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

tz

Tanzania

Congo DR

Congo DR

0

0

D

Win probability

  • HOME: 43/18 (3.39) – 29.5%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%

Congo DR are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 42.1%, but we are expecting a tight and tense match. For more football betting tips on this AFCON 2023 Third-Place Play-Off, check out the Both Teams to Score market.

You can back BTTS in this game at 19/20 (1.95) which has a probability of 51.3%, or you can go with BTTS – No at 9/10 (1.90) which has a probability of 52.6%.

South Africa vs Congo DR prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 1-0

  • South Africa have won three of their last five meetings with Congo DR.
  • South Africa have kept four clean sheets at AFCON 2023.

Teboho Mokoena to Score Anytime

  • Mokoena is the joint-top scorer for South Africa at AFCON 2023 with two goals.
  • Mokoena is a set-piece specialist and likes to take shots from long range in open play.

south africa vs congo dr

South Africa vs Congo DR team news

South Africa

South Africa came so close to reaching the final after taking one of the pre-tournament favourites to a penalty shoot-out. Nigeria looked like they had done enough to win the semi-final as they headed into the final minute with a one-goal advantage. However, a mistimed tackle in the penalty area offered South Africa the chance to take the game into extra-time and Teboho Mokoena coolly slotted home to level the scoreline.

No further goals were scored in extra-time meaning the match had to be settled on penalties, though, South Africa did have a man sent-off in the 115th minute which means Nigeria had to remove one of their players from the shootout. Not that it mattered in the end though as Nigeria converted four of their five spot kicks and South Africa missed two of their opening four, sending the West African giants through to the final.

Defender Gomolemo Kekana was the player sent off in extra-time for South Africa and he will now miss the third-place play-off against Congo DR on Saturday.

Predicted Lineup: Williams (GK), Xulu, Sibisi, Mvala, Mudau, Zwane, Modiba, Sithole, Mokoena, Tau & Makgopa

Congo DR

Congo DR were always going to be up against it in their semi-final against the home nation Ivory Coast. Despite a bright start to the game, Congo DR ended up on the back foot with Ivory Coast coming close to breaking the deadlock on several occasions in the first half but the teams went in goalless at the break.

Ivory Coast did make their control of the match count in the sixty-fifth minute when Sebastien Haller's mishit shot looped over Lionel Mpasi and into the back of the Congo DR net. Chasing the game, Congo DR sent on a number of attacking substitutes and created chances but the Ivory Coast held on to claim their spot in the final against Nigeria.

Gael Kakuta picked up an injury during the early stages of AFCON 2023 but started against Ivory Coast but only lasted until halftime so it will be interesting to see if he is fit enough to start against South Africa at the weekend.

Predicted Lineup: Mpasi (GK), Mbemba, Masuaku, Kalulu, Inonga, Kakuta, Wissa, Moutoussamy, Pickel, Bakambu & Elia

South Africa

South Africa
4-2-3-1
1
Ronwen Williams
za
20
Khuliso Johnson Mudau
za
5
Siyanda Xulu
za
19
Nkosinathi Sibisi
za
6
Aubrey Modiba
za
4
Teboho Mokoena
za
13
Sphephelo Sithole
za
21
Mihlali Mayambela
za
11
Themba Zwane
za
23
Thapelo Morena
za
9
Evidence Makgopa
za
Substitutes
2
Nyiko Mobbie
za
3
Terrence Mashego
za
22
Ricardo Goss
za
17
Zakhele Lepasa
za
7
Oswin Appollis
za
15
Thabang Monare
za
16
Veli Mothwa
za
8
Jayden Adams
za

Congo DR

Congo DR
4-3-3
8
Samuel Moutoussamy
cd
10
Theo Bongonda
cd
5
Dylan Batubinsika
cd
4
Brian Jephte Bayeye
cd
6
Aaron Tshibola
cd
12
Kayembe
cd
11
Silas Katompa Mvumpa
cd
16
Dimitry Bertaud
cd
23
Simon Banza
cd
7
Grady Diangana
cd
22
Chancel Mbemba
cd
Substitutes
21
Baggio Siadi Ngusia
cd
2
Henock Inonga
cd
1
Lionel Nzau Mpasi
cd
17
Cedric Bakambu
cd
15
Rocky Bushiri
cd
26
Arthur Masuaku
cd
27
Omenuke Mfulu
cd
18
Charles Pickel
cd
20
Yoane Wissa
cd
24
Gedeon Kalulu
cd
13
Mechak Elia
cd
19
Fiston Kalala Mayele
cd

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Themba Zwane

South Africa's veteran forward Themba Zwane had impressed at AFCON 2023, scoring two goals on his country's way to the semi-finals.

The 34-year-old has scored seven goals in thirty-seven caps and is expected to lead the line against Congo DR on Saturday. South Africa have exceeded expectations at AFCON 2023 with their largely home-based squad that has such a strong defensive record and one of Africa's top goalkeepers between the sticks.

However, goals will games and we're backing Zwane to put in another good performance up front, holding up the ball, winning free-kicks and bringing his teammates into play.


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.