Senegal vs Egypt – prediction, odds & betting tips 14/01/2026
Mohamed Salah pictured in action for Egypt - Photo by Imago/ Thor Wegner DeFodi Images
🔥 Our Hot tip

Senegal to win

The second-best ranked team in Africa boast a better squad compared to the Egyptians, and Senegal have recently had the better of the Pharaohs.

The business end of the Africa Cup of Nations is finally here, as Senegal and Egypt clash in the semi-final on Wednesday, January 14. 

The Lions of Teranga are searching for their third appearance at an AFCON final in their last four attempts, and they will hope to banish the memory of the previous edition, where they exited at the Round-of-16. 

Meanwhile, Egypt are Africa’s most successful nation when it comes to this competition, winning it seven times already, and if they can make it to the final, it will be their third appearance in the last five editions of this tournament. 

Explore our Senegal vs Egypt betting tips below.

Senegal vs Egypt predictions: Momentum with the Lions

Key stats

  • Senegal won 10 of their last 11 internationals against African opposition. 
  • Pape Thiaw’s men only conceded two goals in five games, keeping three clean sheets in that run. 
  • Egypt only kept two clean sheets in their previous 11 outings. 
  • Twelve of the 15 all-time head-to-heads produced fewer than two goals.

Correct scored prediction: Senegal 1-0 Egypt

Senegal’s defence is one of the toughest to break through, as they’ve only been breached twice in this competition so far. They are less free-scoring against tougher opponents, as they demonstrated against Mali in the quarter-finals. The Egyptians also tend to struggle against quality teams, as they failed to score against Angola in the group stage. Furthermore, Egypt only scored once across the last five meetings with Senegal.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Regressed from favourites

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8% 
  • DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5% 
  • AWAY: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite starting the competition as one of the favourites to win AFCON, Egypt’s performances in the tournament have left a lot to be desired. As a result, they enter this fixture with a measly 28.6% chance of winning. The fact that a draw has a 34.5% of happening tells the whole story. Senegal, according to Ladbrokes, have a 48.85 chance of winning this game, which is why they have the least odds on offer.

We have more free betting tips for today to help you out with the best possible selections.

Most recent H2Hs: Lions can not be tamed

Egypt will feel as if they have a score to settle after Senegal beat them in their most recent meeting, which was a crucial 2022 World Cup qualifier playoff. After the Lions of Teranga won the game to level matters on aggregate, they went on to win on penalties and dumped Egypt out of the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. Senegal won three of the last five clashes, not considering their penalty win in the AFCON 2021 final.

Africa - World Cup Qualifying 29/03/22

Senegal

Senegal

1
Egypt

Egypt

0

Africa - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/22

Egypt

Egypt

1
Senegal

Senegal

0

Africa Cup of Nations 06/02/22

Senegal

Senegal

0 (4)
Egypt

Egypt

0 (2)

Senegal preview: Fully-fit squad for Thiaw

The 2021 AFCON champions do not have any injury concerns or suspensions, increasing the likelihood of a victory for them. With star players in every position, the Lions of Teranga will be looking forward to making it to the final two for another edition of this competition.

Predicted lineup: Mendy; Diatta, Koulibaly, Niakhate, Diouf; Diarra, I.Gueye, P.Gueye; Ndiaye, Jackson, Mane

Last five matches

  • Mali 0-1 Senegal 
  • Senegal 3-1 Sudan
  • Benin 0-3 Senegal 
  • Senegal 1-1 DR Congo 
  • Senegal 3-0 Botswana 

Egypt preview: Mohamed Hamdi out injured

The Pharaohs will be without the defender, who is nursing a knee injury. His replacement, Ahmed Fatouh, did not fare well in the quarter-final, after scoring an own-goal. Nonetheless, Egypt will look to the talisman Mo Salah for inspiration and Omar Marmoush as the two Premier League-based players lead the attack for the seven-time champions.

Predicted lineup: El Shenawy; Hany, Ibrahim, Rabia, Fatouh; Attia, Fathi, Adel; Salah, Marmoush, Trezeguet

Last five matches

  • Egypt 3-2 Cote d’Ivoire 
  • Egypt 3-1 Benin
  • Angola 0-0 Egypt 
  • Egypt 1-0 South Africa 
  • Egypt 2-1 Zimbabwe

Player to watch: Sadio Mane

Sadio Mane of Senegal, clapping the fans after an AFCON game.
Sadio Mane can inspire Senegal to another AFCON. Photo by Imago/ Thor Wegner DeFodi Images

The former Liverpool man has been an integral part of the Senegalese setup, not only in a playing capacity, but also from a leadership perspective. 

Mane has not been scoring as much as he would like at this AFCON, but he has notched up three assists for his teammates, second in the entire tournament only to Nigeria’s Ademola Lookman. 

If Senegal are to overcome this Egyptian side, Mane will certainly have a role to play on Wednesday. 


Byron is a sports journalist based in South Africa. He has a Media degree from the University of Kwa Zulu Natal and has been writing football content since 2019. Byron is also a sports presenter with experience in radio particularly.