Serie A Over 1.5 goals betting: Weekend predictions

Serie A returns this weekend after Italy sneaked their way into Euro 2024 following a 0-0 draw in Ukraine. Domestically, Inter Milan lead the way in Italy but Juventus aren't far behind while at the other end of the table, Salernitana are rock bottom and are still looking for their first league victory of the season.

Although Serie A has historically been known as a defensive league, there are plenty of games this weekend that should see over 1.5 goals scored with some exciting fixtures taking place. Here are four matches that should cover the market quite comfortably.

Serie A Over 1.5 goal betting
AC Milan are set to face Fiorentina this weekend – Photo by Icon sport

Serie A Over 1.5 goals betting – Our selections

Cagliari vs Monza

Cagliari vs Monza may not sound like the most thrilling of matches but the home side's defensive record makes this one a prime candidate for over 1.5 goals. No team in Serie A has conceded more goals than Cagliari this season with Claudio Ranieri sticking to his attacking principles despite his team only being promoted last season.

Over the international break, Cagliari played a friendly against Nuorese where they scored nine goals and prior to that, 22 goals had been scored in their most recent five Serie A matches. While Monza's games typically aren't as exciting, the over 1.5 goals market has been covered in four of their last five league fixtures.

Atalanta vs Napoli

League champions Napoli haven't had the best start to the new Serie A season and after losing to Empoli before the international break, the club sacked Rudi Garcia as manager. Walter Mazzarri has been announced as Garcia's replacement and the new manager bounce usually brings with it plenty of goals. Last season, they were one of the most entertaining teams in Europe and under Mazzarri, they will want to get back to that while the return of Victor Osimhen can only boost their chances.

Atalanta, meanwhile, have been ticking along nicely and currently sit in fifth place in Serie A. Their last five league matches have all seen over 1.5 goals scored with just one home game all season failing to cover the market. They will look to attack Napoli which sets us up for an exciting game of football.

victor osimhen
Can Victor Osimhen's return bring Napoli back to life? Photo by Icon Sport

Frosinone vs Genoa

Frosinone have been this season's surprise package in Serie A, with last season's Serie B champions surpassing all expectations so far. They sit in 12th place after a solid start to the season and have scored more goals (17) than any club outside the top eight in the division. Out of their 12 league games this season, 11 of them have covered the over 1.5 goals market.

Their opponents this weekend are Genoa, one of the teams who came up with them from Serie B last season. Alberto Gilardino's side are also doing better than expected and sit one place below Frosinone in the league table but they haven't been quite as exciting. Despite that, their last three away Serie A fixtures have all seen more than 1.5 goals scored.

AC Milan vs Fiorentina

AC Milan vs Fiorentina looks like an exciting game on paper with both teams likely to play with an offensive style. Only three teams in the division have scored more goals than AC Milan and Fiorentina this season, while both have conceded the joint-most goals in the top half of Serie A so expect plenty of chances at both ends of the pitch.

Four of AC Milan's last five matches in all competitions have seen over 1.5 goals scored while the same can be said for seven of Fioentina's previous ten matches. What's more, the market has been covered in seven of the last eight H2H matches between the two clubs.

See more Serie A tips here


Avatar of Andy Delaney
Andy Delaney

Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.