rayo vallecano vs real valladolid predictions
Real Valladolid let in five goals last weekend - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Rayo Vallecano over 1.5 total goals

Real Valladolid have La Liga’s worst defensive record, letting in 2.14 goals per game on average.

Rayo are bidding to strengthen their surprise European push when they host struggling opponents on Friday. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the rock bottom visitors stand any chance of getting something from this.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid prediction: Hosts to score two or more in victory

Key stats

  • Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid betting tips take into account that the visitors have lost 91% of their away fixtures in the league.
  • 70% of Rayo home games and 82% of Real Valladolid away games have served up over 2.5 goals in La Liga this term.
  • It’s 10 points from four matches so far for Rayo in 2025.

Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Real Valladolid

It’s looking pretty hopeless for Real Valladolid, with a third straight defeat last time out, leaving them eight points from safety, with only 16 to play.

With Rayo Vallecano in good form, a home win looks very likely here, although Inigo Perez’s side struggle to kill teams off, so it may not be by more than a single goal.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Rayo the clear favourites

  • HOME: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
  • AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid odds, with an implied probability of 66.7% that they win this match.

They head into the game following a 1-0 derby win at Leganes, with Pathe Ciss scoring the only goal at Butarque last Friday.

As for Real Valladolid, they were hammered 5-1 at Villarreal last Saturday, with Selim Amallah scoring a late consolation for Diego Cocca’s side.

For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Rayo dominant this decade

Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid prediction suggests the home team can make it four wins from four competitive meetings in the 2020s.

Their three previous victories all came via a single goal margin.

Spain La Liga 05/10/24

Valladolid

Valladolid

1
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

Europe Friendlies 02/08/23

Valladolid

Valladolid

3
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

Spain La Liga 04/05/23

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2
Valladolid

Valladolid

1

Spain La Liga 14/01/23

Valladolid

Valladolid

0
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Elite Club Friendlies 05/08/22

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0
Valladolid

Valladolid

0

Rayo Vallecano preview: Nteka serves ban

The hosts are missing Randy Nteka to suspension. Jonathan Montiel also misses out through injury.

Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, Mumin, Lejeune, Ratiu, U. Lopez, Ciss, I. Palazon, A. Garcia, Camello & De Frutos

Spain La Liga 09/05/25

W

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Spain La Liga 02/05/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

L

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

D

Valencia

Valencia

1

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Spain La Liga 13/04/25

L

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Real Valladolid preview: New signings to feature

It was a busy end to the transfer window in Valladolid, with new signings such as Tamas Nikitscher and Joseph Aidoo are expected to be involved here. Raul Moro and Cenk Ozkacar are out injured.

Predicted Lineup: Hein (GK), Aznou, J. Sanchez, Aidoo, L. Perez, Martin, Nikitscher, Juric, Amallah, Andre & Anuar

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

L

Mallorca

Mallorca

2

Valladolid

Valladolid

1

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Valladolid

Valladolid

1

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

L

Real Betis

Real Betis

5

Valladolid

Valladolid

1

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

L

Osasuna

Osasuna

3

Valladolid

Valladolid

2

Spain La Liga 14/04/25

L

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Valladolid

Valladolid

2

Player to watch – Jorge de Frutos

Rayo’s success this season has come despite the absence of a top forward player. Their top scorer is winger Jorge de Frutos with four goals in 22 appearances in La Liga.

rayo vallecano vs real valladolid prediction
De Frutos in action against Girona – Photo by IMAGO.

Winger firing after the break

All of the 27-year-old’s league goals this term have come in the second half. His latest goal was in the 80th minute, in the reverse fixture against Real Valladolid.

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Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.