Rayo are bidding to strengthen their surprise European push when they host struggling opponents on Friday. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the rock bottom visitors stand any chance of getting something from this.
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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid prediction: Hosts to score two or more in victory
Key stats
- Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid betting tips take into account that the visitors have lost 91% of their away fixtures in the league.
- 70% of Rayo home games and 82% of Real Valladolid away games have served up over 2.5 goals in La Liga this term.
- It’s 10 points from four matches so far for Rayo in 2025.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Real Valladolid
It’s looking pretty hopeless for Real Valladolid, with a third straight defeat last time out, leaving them eight points from safety, with only 16 to play.
With Rayo Vallecano in good form, a home win looks very likely here, although Inigo Perez’s side struggle to kill teams off, so it may not be by more than a single goal.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Rayo the clear favourites
- HOME: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
- AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid odds, with an implied probability of 66.7% that they win this match.
They head into the game following a 1-0 derby win at Leganes, with Pathe Ciss scoring the only goal at Butarque last Friday.
As for Real Valladolid, they were hammered 5-1 at Villarreal last Saturday, with Selim Amallah scoring a late consolation for Diego Cocca’s side.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Rayo dominant this decade
Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid prediction suggests the home team can make it four wins from four competitive meetings in the 2020s.
Their three previous victories all came via a single goal margin.
Spain La Liga 05/10/24
Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano
Europe Friendlies 02/08/23
Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 04/05/23
Rayo Vallecano
Valladolid
Spain La Liga 14/01/23
Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano
Elite Club Friendlies 05/08/22
Rayo Vallecano
Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano preview: Nteka serves ban
The hosts are missing Randy Nteka to suspension. Jonathan Montiel also misses out through injury.
Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, Mumin, Lejeune, Ratiu, U. Lopez, Ciss, I. Palazon, A. Garcia, Camello & De Frutos
Spain La Liga 09/05/25 W Las Palmas 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 02/05/25 W Getafe 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25 L Atletico Madrid 3 Rayo Vallecano 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 D Valencia 1 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Athletic Bilbao 3 Rayo Vallecano 1
Real Valladolid preview: New signings to feature
It was a busy end to the transfer window in Valladolid, with new signings such as Tamas Nikitscher and Joseph Aidoo are expected to be involved here. Raul Moro and Cenk Ozkacar are out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Hein (GK), Aznou, J. Sanchez, Aidoo, L. Perez, Martin, Nikitscher, Juric, Amallah, Andre & Anuar
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 L Mallorca 2 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 L Barcelona 2 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25 L Real Betis 5 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25 L Osasuna 3 Valladolid 2 Spain La Liga 14/04/25 L Atletico Madrid 4 Valladolid 2
Player to watch – Jorge de Frutos
Rayo’s success this season has come despite the absence of a top forward player. Their top scorer is winger Jorge de Frutos with four goals in 22 appearances in La Liga.
Winger firing after the break
All of the 27-year-old’s league goals this term have come in the second half. His latest goal was in the 80th minute, in the reverse fixture against Real Valladolid.