Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/03/2024

Atletico Madrid
03/03/24 - 15:15

Finished

2

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1

Real Betis

Atletico Madrid - Real Betis

Spain Primera Liga - Civitas Metropolitano

atletico madrid vs real betis prediction
The sides drew 0-0 back in August – Photo by Icon Sport

Atletico Madrid and Real Betis meet in La Liga this Sunday. Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis prediction looks at whether Diego Simeone’s side can maintain their outstanding home record this term.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis prediction: Hosts to edge tight game

Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Under 2.5 Goals

⚽ Correct score prediction

Atletico Madrid 1-0 Real Betis

💎 Win to nil prediction

Atletico Madrid to win to nil

Key Stats

  • Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis betting tips take into account Atleti’s stunning home league record with dropped points only once in more than a year at the Civitas Metropolitano.
  • They’ve won 31% of their league fixtures this season to nil.
  • Betis average just 1.25 points per game on their travels.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti favourites to chalk up three more home points

  • HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
  • AWAY: 24/5 (5.80) – 17.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Diego Simeone’s men are the favourites according to the Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis odds with an implied probability of 63.6% that they win this game.

If you’re after a La Liga first goalscorer prediction, Alvaro Morata is perhaps the main danger man in this game and he’s 7/2 (4.50) to score first, a probability of 22.2%.

Our betting tips take into account the weird season Atleti are having with great home form but poor away results and they were beaten 3-0 in Bilbao on Thursday in the 2nd Leg of their Copa del Rey Semi-Final. Betis also played Athletic in their last game, winning 3-1 at home last weekend.

Last five H2Hs: Atleti on top in recent clashes

Spain Primera Liga 20/08/23

Real Betis

Real Betis

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain Primera Liga 02/04/23

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1
Real Betis

Real Betis

0

Spain Primera Liga 23/10/22

Real Betis

Real Betis

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 06/03/22

Real Betis

Real Betis

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain Primera Liga 31/10/21

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3
Real Betis

Real Betis

0

Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis prediction backs up the recent history of this fixture. Atleti have won four of the last five meetings overall and they’ve won all of their last five home games against Betis to nil which strongly supports our betting tips for this game.

Atletico Madrid Preview: Griezmann still a major doubt

Antoine Griezmann missed the cup game on Thursday and is a major doubt here while Jose Maria Gimenez is missing again due to injury. There may be some rotation given the quick turnaround.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Reinildo, Witsel, Savic, Riquelme, Saul, Koke, Da Paul, Molina, Morata, Depay

Spain Primera Liga 31/08/24

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 28/08/24

D

Espanyol

Espanyol

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain Primera Liga 25/08/24

W

Girona

Girona

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain Primera Liga 19/08/24

D

Villarreal

Villarreal

2

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Elite Club Friendlies 11/08/24

W

Juventus

Juventus

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Real Betis Preview: Injury crisis for the visitors

Betis are missing a host of players right now with Isco, Cedric Bakambu, Marc Bartra, Abner, Aitor Ruibal and Sergi Altimira injured. Nabil Fekir is a major doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Rui Silva, Miranda, Riad, Pezzella, Sabaly, Roca, Cardoso, Avila, Rodri, Fornals, Willian Jose

Spain Primera Liga 01/09/24

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Real Betis

Real Betis

0

UEFA Conference League Qualifying 29/08/24

W

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

0

Real Betis

Real Betis

3

Spain Primera Liga 25/08/24

D

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Real Betis

Real Betis

0

UEFA Conference League Qualifying 22/08/24

W

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

0

Real Betis

Real Betis

2

Spain Primera Liga 15/08/24

D

Girona

Girona

1

Real Betis

Real Betis

1

Player to watch – Alvaro Morata

With Griezmann likely to be missing again, the onus will be on Alvaro Morata to spearhead the attack. The Spain international has scored 19 in all competitions this term.

atletico madrid vs real betis predictions
Alvaro Morata is on 19 goals for the season – Photo by Icon Sport

Morata striking early in the Second Half

The goals have slightly dried up of late for Morata with a recent injury preventing him from passing the 20 goal mark for the season. He has tended to score plenty of goals earlier in the Second Half with 32% of his strikes in all competitions coming between the 46th and 60th minutes.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.