Reading vs Millwall prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/03/2023

Reading
11/03/23 - 15:00

Finished

0

-

1

Millwall

Reading - Millwall

England Championship - Select Car Leasing Stadium

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you Championship predictions for Reading vs Millwall with the game due to take place on Saturday March 11th.

Reading vs Millwall prediction and top betting tips

Reading suffered their first home defeat of 2023 last time out as they came up short against Sheffield United. Will they bounce back here? Find out with our Reading vs Millwall match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Reading vs Millwall Prediction 1: Draw

We begin our predictions for this game by predicting a draw. There has been a lot of focus on perceived poor Reading form of late but, actually, their home record is strong with their last five games on their own patch seeing them take eight points – that's one defeat, two draws and two wins. That form is closely mirrored by Millwall's away record across their past five but with the Lions having three wins and just the one draw. Another reason that this game could easily see the spoils being shared can be found in the head to head record; only one of the last five meetings have ended level, however, none of those games have seen a winning margin greater than one goal. That together with the respective form means this will likely be a tight game and, with that in mind, the draw bet is definitely the best value.

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Reading vs Millwall Prediction 2: Over 2.5 goals

The second of our football betting tips for this game comes from the total goals market and we're betting on this game featuring a few goals as we back over 2.5. Reading have seen over 2.5 goals in four of their last five home games racking up a total of 16 goals, which is an average of 3.2 per game. Millwall meanwhile have seen three of their last five games go over the 2.5 threshold with a total of 17 goals scored; that is a game average of 3.4 goals. Three of the last four head to head matches played at Reading's stadium have gone over 2.5 goals too.

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Reading vs Millwall

Head to Head

27/08/22

England Championship CHA

Millwall

Millwall

Reading

Reading

0

1

05/03/22

England Championship CHA

Reading

Reading

Millwall

Millwall

0

1

02/11/21

England Championship CHA

Millwall

Millwall

Reading

Reading

1

0

13/02/21

England Championship CHA

Reading

Reading

Millwall

Millwall

1

2

25/11/20

England Championship CHA

Millwall

Millwall

Reading

Reading

1

1

Last Five - Reading

27/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Blackpool

Blackpool

Reading

Reading

2

3

W

20/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Burton Albion

Burton Albion

Reading

Reading

3

2

L

13/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Barnsley

Barnsley

Reading

Reading

2

2

D

09/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers

Reading

Reading

0

2

W

06/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Lincoln City

Lincoln City

Reading

Reading

1

1

D

Last Five - Millwall

04/05/24

England Championship CHA

Swansea

Swansea

Millwall

Millwall

0

1

W

27/04/24

England Championship CHA

Plymouth

Plymouth

Millwall

Millwall

0

1

W

20/04/24

England Championship CHA

Sunderland

Sunderland

Millwall

Millwall

0

1

W

13/04/24

England Championship CHA

Cardiff

Cardiff

Millwall

Millwall

1

3

W

09/04/24

England Championship CHA

Leicester

Leicester

Millwall

Millwall

0

1

W

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the Reading vs Millwall odds translate into probability ahead of this game? Let's find out.

Reading odds: 7/3 (3.3) – 30%

Draw odds: 12/5 (3.40) – 29%

Millwall odds: 6/5 (2.20) – 46%

Millwall might be favourites to win this game but with both sides being priced up north of the evens (2/00)

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Reading vs Millwall

Reading

Reading might have lost their last couple of games but they were much improved last time out against Sheffield United compared to the prior match versus Middlesbrough. We're expecting Paul Ince to name a very similar lineup to that clash with the Blades here but with a tweak or two in the more offensive areas of his side as he looks to find more of a goal threat.

Predicted lineup – Lumley, Dann, Sarr, Holmes, Yiadom, Ince, Hendrick, McIntyre, Azeez, Carroll, Joao

Millwall

Millwall lost their last game, against Norwich, but performance wise they were outstanding dominating the Canaries in all key areas bar one – goals. With that in mind, we're not expecting a host of changes to the XI that take to the grass in this game. Mason Bennett is nearing in on a return to fitness but won't be in contention for this game.

Predicted lineup – Long, McNamara, Cresswell, Cooper, Wallace, Leonard, Saville, Burke, Flemming, Honeyman, Bradshaw

Reading vs Millwall Line ups

Reading

Reading
7
Shane Long
ie
5
Tom McIntyre
gb
24
Naby Sarr
fr
3
Tom Holmes
gb
17
Andy Yiadom
gh
18
Nesta Guinness-Walker
gb
10
Tom Ince
gb
8
Jeff Hendrick
ie
1
Joe Lumley
gb
2
Andy Carroll
gb
6
Scott Dann
gb
Substitutes
27
Amadou Mbengue
sn
9
Lucas Joao
pt
19
Tyrese Fornah
gb
15
Femi Azeez
gb
26
Liam Moor
jm
20
Cesare Casadei
it
21
Dean Bouzanis
au

Millwall

Millwall
10
Zian Flemming
nl
15
Charlie Cresswell
gb
39
George Honeyman
gb
2
Danny McNamara
ie
21
Andreas Voglsammer
de
18
Ryan Leonard
gb
1
George Long
gb
3
Murray Wallace
gb
23
George Saville
gb
5
Jake Cooper
gb
9
Tom Bradshaw
gb
Substitutes
33
Bartosz Bialkowski
pl
4
Shaun Hutchinson
gb
11
Scott Malone
gb
7
Oliver Burke
gb
16
Jamie Shackleton
gb
19
Duncan Watmore
gb
50
Romain Esse
gb

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

Picking a standout player for this game was pretty easy to be honest. Millwall's Tom Bradshaw is not only Millwall's most in form player but he's up there with the most on song players in the league over recent weeks. He's scored in each of his last two games and boasts a total of seven goal contributions – six goals and an assist – in his last five games. Given some of the results Reading have suffered lately, they might just fear Bradshaw!

Take a look at the latest standings

Championship
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Leicester

Leicester

46 31 4 11 48 97
2 Ipswich

Ipswich

46 28 12 6 35 96
3 Leeds

Leeds

46 27 9 10 38 90
4 Southampton

Southampton

46 26 9 11 24 87
5 West Brom

West Brom

46 21 12 13 23 75
6 Norwich

Norwich

46 21 10 15 15 73
7 Hull

Hull

46 19 13 14 8 70
8 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

46 20 9 17 9 69
9 Coventry

Coventry

46 17 13 16 11 64
10 Preston

Preston

46 18 9 19 -11 63
11 Bristol City

Bristol City

46 17 11 18 2 62
12 Cardiff

Cardiff

46 19 5 22 -17 62
13 Millwall

Millwall

46 16 11 19 -10 59
14 Swansea

Swansea

46 15 12 19 -6 57
15 Watford

Watford

46 13 17 16 0 56
16 Sunderland

Sunderland

46 16 8 22 -2 56
17 Stoke

Stoke

46 15 11 20 -11 56
18 QPR

QPR

46 15 11 20 -11 56
19 Blackburn

Blackburn

46 14 11 21 -14 53
20 Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

46 15 8 23 -24 53
21 Plymouth

Plymouth

46 13 12 21 -11 51
22 Birmingham

Birmingham

46 13 11 22 -15 50
23 Huddersfield

Huddersfield

46 9 18 19 -29 45
24 Rotherham

Rotherham

46 5 12 29 -52 27

A quickfire FAQ on Reading – Millwall

Reading vs Millwall prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – xxx
  • What time does the match kick off?  3 PM GMT

Ash is an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!