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Reading - Millwall
England Championship - Select Car Leasing Stadium
Prediction 1
Draw
12/5 (3.40)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Over 2.5 goals
6/5 (2.20)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Here we bring you Championship predictions for Reading vs Millwall with the game due to take place on Saturday March 11th.
Reading vs Millwall prediction and top betting tips
Reading suffered their first home defeat of 2023 last time out as they came up short against Sheffield United. Will they bounce back here? Find out with our Reading vs Millwall match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.
Contents
Reading vs Millwall Prediction 1: Draw
We begin our predictions for this game by predicting a draw. There has been a lot of focus on perceived poor Reading form of late but, actually, their home record is strong with their last five games on their own patch seeing them take eight points – that's one defeat, two draws and two wins. That form is closely mirrored by Millwall's away record across their past five but with the Lions having three wins and just the one draw. Another reason that this game could easily see the spoils being shared can be found in the head to head record; only one of the last five meetings have ended level, however, none of those games have seen a winning margin greater than one goal. That together with the respective form means this will likely be a tight game and, with that in mind, the draw bet is definitely the best value.
Reading vs Millwall Prediction 2: Over 2.5 goals
The second of our football betting tips for this game comes from the total goals market and we're betting on this game featuring a few goals as we back over 2.5. Reading have seen over 2.5 goals in four of their last five home games racking up a total of 16 goals, which is an average of 3.2 per game. Millwall meanwhile have seen three of their last five games go over the 2.5 threshold with a total of 17 goals scored; that is a game average of 3.4 goals. Three of the last four head to head matches played at Reading's stadium have gone over 2.5 goals too.
Here are the key stats & form guide for Reading vs Millwall
Head to Head
19/07/24
World Club Friendlies World
Reading
Millwall
1
2
08/08/23
England EFL Cup EFL Cup
Millwall
Reading
0
4
27/08/22
England Championship CHA
Millwall
Reading
0
1
05/03/22
England Championship CHA
Reading
Millwall
0
1
02/11/21
England Championship CHA
Millwall
Reading
1
0
Last Five - Reading
18/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Lincoln City
Reading
1
0
L
12/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Northampton
Reading
0
0
D
08/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Shrewsbury
Reading
1
3
W
05/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Wycombe
Reading
0
1
W
01/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Blackpool
Reading
3
0
L
Last Five - Millwall
18/04/25
England Championship CHA
Blackburn
Millwall
4
1
L
12/04/25
England Championship CHA
Middlesbrough
Millwall
0
1
W
08/04/25
England Championship CHA
Sheff Utd
Millwall
0
1
W
05/04/25
England Championship CHA
Portsmouth
Millwall
1
2
W
29/03/25
England Championship CHA
Sunderland
Millwall
1
0
L
So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the Reading vs Millwall odds translate into probability ahead of this game? Let's find out.
Reading odds: 7/3 (3.3) – 30%
Draw odds: 12/5 (3.40) – 29%
Millwall odds: 6/5 (2.20) – 46%
Millwall might be favourites to win this game but with both sides being priced up north of the evens (2/00)
Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Reading vs Millwall
Reading
Reading might have lost their last couple of games but they were much improved last time out against Sheffield United compared to the prior match versus Middlesbrough. We're expecting Paul Ince to name a very similar lineup to that clash with the Blades here but with a tweak or two in the more offensive areas of his side as he looks to find more of a goal threat.
Predicted lineup – Lumley, Dann, Sarr, Holmes, Yiadom, Ince, Hendrick, McIntyre, Azeez, Carroll, Joao
Millwall
Millwall lost their last game, against Norwich, but performance wise they were outstanding dominating the Canaries in all key areas bar one – goals. With that in mind, we're not expecting a host of changes to the XI that take to the grass in this game. Mason Bennett is nearing in on a return to fitness but won't be in contention for this game.
Predicted lineup – Long, McNamara, Cresswell, Cooper, Wallace, Leonard, Saville, Burke, Flemming, Honeyman, Bradshaw
Reading vs Millwall Line ups
Reading
Millwall
*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.
Player to watch
Picking a standout player for this game was pretty easy to be honest. Millwall's Tom Bradshaw is not only Millwall's most in form player but he's up there with the most on song players in the league over recent weeks. He's scored in each of his last two games and boasts a total of seven goal contributions – six goals and an assist – in his last five games. Given some of the results Reading have suffered lately, they might just fear Bradshaw!
Take a look at the latest standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Burnley | 43 | 25 | 16 | 2 | 45 | 91 |
| 2 |  Leeds | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 53 | 88 |
| 3 |  Sheff Utd | 43 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 86 |
| 4 |  Sunderland | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 76 |
| 5 |  Bristol City | 43 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 67 |
| 6 |  Coventry | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 66 |
| 7 |  Middlesbrough | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 63 |
| 8 |  West Brom | 43 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 60 |
| 9 | Millwall | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 60 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 43 | 17 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 59 |
| 11 |  Swansea | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | -5 | 57 |
| 12 |  Watford | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | -6 | 56 |
| 13 |  Norwich | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 53 |
| 14 |  QPR | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | -5 | 53 |
| 15 |  Sheff Wed | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | -10 | 53 |
| 16 |  Stoke | 43 | 12 | 14 | 17 | -9 | 50 |
| 17 |  Preston | 43 | 10 | 19 | 14 | -9 | 49 |
| 18 |  Portsmouth | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | -14 | 49 |
| 19 |  Oxford Utd | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | -17 | 48 |
| 20 |  Hull | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | -10 | 45 |
| 21 |  Derby | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | -11 | 43 |
| 22 |  Luton | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | -25 | 43 |
| 23 |  Cardiff | 43 | 9 | 15 | 19 | -23 | 42 |
| 24 |  Plymouth | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -39 | 40 |
A quickfire FAQ on Reading – Millwall
- Where is the match being played? – Select Car Leasing Stadium
- Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – xxx
- What time does the match kick off? 3 PM GMT
