Burnley vs Nottingham Forest prediction, odds & betting tips – 19/05/2024

19/05/24 - 16:00

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Burnley - Nottm Forest

England Premier League - Turf Moor

Here are our Premier League predictions for Nottingham Forest's trip to relegated Burnley on Sunday.

Whilst it is yet to be officially confirmed, Nottingham Forest will retain their Premier League status as long as they avoid a heavy defeat at Turf Moor and Luton fail to convincingly win their game against Fulham.

Burnley vs Nottingham Forest predictions: Goals expected at Turf Moor

Key Stats

• Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of Burnley's last four outings in the Premier League, while four of Nottingham Forest's last six fixtures have also produced at least three goals.
• Neither of these teams have kept a single clean sheet in any of their last six matches and Burnley have drawn two of their last three home games. Forest have conceded at least two goals in five of their last six outings and we're backing Sunday's game to end in a 2-2 draw.
• Both teams have scored in each of Burnley's last five matches, while four of Forest's last six outings have also produced goals at both ends of the pitch.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Forest the favourite

• HOME: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
• DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
• AWAY: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Nottingham Forest are the expected winner of this game with a win probability of 42.1%, but we're expecting this game to be closely fought.

Burnley lost 2-1 at Tottenham last weekend, while Nottingham Forest went down 3-2 in their own backyard to Chelsea.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Nottingham Forest's Taiwo Awoniyi is the favourite to score in this game at 16/13 (2.23) which has a probability of 44.8%, while a bet on Burnley's David Datro Fofana to score is priced at 15/8 (2.88) with a probability of 34.8%.

Last five H2Hs: Burnley in front

England Premier League 18/09/23

Nottm Forest

1

Burnley

1

England EFL Cup 30/08/23

Nottm Forest

0

Burnley

1

Elite Club Friendlies 29/07/17

Nottm Forest

1

Burnley

1

England Championship 23/02/16

Burnley

1

Nottm Forest

0

England Championship 20/10/15

Nottm Forest

1

Burnley

1

Forest have lost three and drawn two of their last five games against Burnley with the pair playing out a 1-1 draw in September's reverse league fixture.

Team news and form guide

Burnley: Drawn three of last seven

Aaron Ramsey, Jordan Beyer, Nathan Redmond and Ameen Al-Dakhil look sst to miss the final game of the season due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Murić (GK), Taylor, O'Shea, Vitinho, Esteve, Assignon, Berge, Cullen, Bruun Larsen, Foster & Odobert

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Millwall

1

Burnley

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

QPR

0

Burnley

5

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Watford

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 11/04/25

W

Norwich

1

Burnley

2

Nottm Forest: Won one of last six

Neco Williams is the main injury concern for the away side ahead of Sunday's trip to Turf Moor.

Predicted lineup: Sels (GK), Boly, Aina, Niakhaté, Montiel, Murillo, Gibbs-White, Yates, Danilo, Wood & Hudson-Odoi 

England Premier League 11/05/25

D

Leicester

2

Nottm Forest

2

England Premier League 05/05/25

D

Crystal Palace

1

Nottm Forest

1

England Premier League 01/05/25

L

Brentford

2

Nottm Forest

0

England FA Cup 27/04/25

L

Man City

2

Nottm Forest

0

England Premier League 21/04/25

W

Tottenham

1

Nottm Forest

2

Player to watch – Morgan Gibbs-White

Morgan Gibbs-White has proven once again that he is a Premier League player despite Nottingham Forest being involved in a relegation battle.

The former Wolves man has 10 assists to his name this season, as well as five goals, making him a key player in the team. Without his playmaking, Nottingham forest surely would have been relegated by now but instead they simply have to avoid a heavy defeat on Sunday to confirm their place in England's top flight.

Morgan Gibbs-White has been one of Forest's best players this season

In what should prove to be an end-to-end, exciting match at Turf Moor, we're backing Gibbs-White to impress and wouldn't be shocked to see the English midfielder add to his assists or goals tally.