Birmingham vs Norwich prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/05/2024

04/05/24 - 12:30

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Birmingham - Norwich

England Championship - St Andrew's Trillion Trophy Stadium

Birmingham will host Norwich on the final day of the Championship on Saturday, 4 May.

Will Birmingham get the win that might save them or will Norwich send them to packing to League One? Read our Birmingham vs Norwich prediction to find out, but remember to look at our other Championship predictions as well.

Birmingham vs Norwich prediction: A close duel with goals on both sides

Key Stats

• Both teams have scored in four of the last five duels between Birmingham and Norwich.
• We saw both teams score in 51% of Birmingham's matches in the league this season, as well as 64% of Norwich's games.
• Both teams have scored in three of the last four games played by Norwich in the Championship.
• Joshua Sargent is Norwich's top scorer this season with 16 goals in the league.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies expect a close match 

• HOME: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.10%
• DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.00%
• AWAY: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.00%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Looking at these Birmingham vs Norwich odds, we can see that the hosts are the expected winners by the thinnest of margins, so the bookmakers clearly expect an unpredictable game.

After all, Birmingham desperately need a win and they enter the match after staying undefeated for three games in a row. However, Norwich still need at least a point to be 100% sure of making the playoffs, so they won't give in easily in this game.

In any case, if you're interested in more betting predictions, take a peek at our favourite betting tips for today.

Last five H2Hs: Complete domination by Norwich

England Championship 30/09/23

Norwich

2

Birmingham

0

England Championship 21/02/23

Norwich

3

Birmingham

1

England Championship 28/01/23

Norwich

0

Birmingham

0

England Championship 30/08/22

Birmingham

1

Norwich

2

England EFL Cup 09/08/22

Norwich

2 (4)

Birmingham

2 (2)

Norwich have beaten Birmingham four times in their last five duels, while the fifth game has ended in a draw. When it comes to the overall H2H record between these two teams, Norwich also have the advantage: 29-24-21.

Birmingham preview: Can they survive on the final matchday?

Thanks to a win and two draws in the last three rounds, Birmingham still have a chance to stay up. However, for that to happen, they require a win in the last game of the season and at least one other result to go their way. Theoretically, they could survive with a draw too if Plymouth lose their match by more than four goals, but realistically, a win is necessary for any hope.

When it comes to team news, Oliver Burke will miss the game with an injury, while Tyler Roberts is questionable.

Predicted Lineup: Ruddy – Laird, Sanderson, Roberts, Buchanan – Sunjic, Bielik – Miyoshi, Pritchard, Anderson – Stansfield

England League 1 11/02/25

W

Cambridge Utd

0

Birmingham

4

England FA Cup 08/02/25

L

Newcastle

3

Birmingham

2

England EFL Trophy 04/02/25

W

Stevenage

0

Birmingham

1

England League 1 01/02/25

W

Rotherham

1

Birmingham

2

England League 1 28/01/25

W

Huddersfield

0

Birmingham

1

Norwich preview: Already in the playoffs?

While Norwich technically haven't yet secure their place in the playoffs, for them to miss the post-season, things would have to go very wrong. First of all, they would have to lose to Birmingham while both West Brom and Hull win. Secondly, Hull would have to overcome a seven-goal deficit in goal difference as well.

That's unlikely to happen clearly, plus Norwich enter this match in great form, with just one loss in their last nine games in the league.

Meanwhile, Liam Gibbs, Onel Hernandez, and Ashley Barnes are out with injuries, while Dimitris Giannoulis is questionable for this match.

Predicted Lineup – Gunn – Stacey, Duffy, Gibson, McCallum – Nunez, McClean, Fassnacht, Sara, Sainz – Sargent

England Championship 11/02/25

L

Preston

1

Norwich

0

England Championship 08/02/25

D

Derby

1

Norwich

1

England Championship 01/02/25

W

Watford

0

Norwich

1

England Championship 25/01/25

W

Swansea

1

Norwich

5

England Championship 22/01/25

L

Leeds

2

Norwich

0

Player to watch: Jay Stansfield

The young English forward is one of a few bright stars in this Birmingham's season. Stansfield has scored 12 goals in the Championship so far, adding a couple of assists to his tally.

Can Stansfield be the first goalscorer?

As we mentioned above, Stansfield has 12 goals in the league this season. However, he managed to score the first goal of the game on five occasions, so we might see him do it against Norwich as well.