Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea prediction, odds & betting tips 14/01/2024

Nigeria
14/01/24 - 14:00

Finished

1

-

1

Equatorial Guinea

Nigeria - Equatorial Guinea

Africa Cup of Nations - Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara

1st Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Here are our AFCON predictions for Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea on Sunday. Nigeria are one of the favourites to win the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations and with the talent they have within their squad, you can see why it would be a big shock if Equatorial Guinea picked up as little as a point from this game.

Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Nigeria to Win-to-Nil

  • Nigeria have won their last three encounters with Equatorial Guinea, keeping two clean sheets in the process.
  • Equatorial Guinea failed to score in a Friendly against Burkina Faso back in October.

Another reason why we're backing Nigeria to win to nil in this game is that the Super Eagles kept a clean sheet in their final AFCON 2023 qualifier against Sao Tome E Principe, winning the game 6-0.

Latest odds

Head to Head

23/01/18

African Nations Championship ACN

Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea

Nigeria

Nigeria

1

3

Last Five - Nigeria

11/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

Nigeria

Nigeria

2

1

L

07/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

South Africa

South Africa

Nigeria

Nigeria

1 (2)

1 (4)

W

02/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Angola

Angola

Nigeria

Nigeria

0

1

W

27/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Cameroon

Cameroon

Nigeria

Nigeria

0

2

W

22/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

gw

Guinea-Bissau

Nigeria

Nigeria

0

1

W

Last Five - Equatorial Guinea

28/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Guinea

Guinea

Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea

1

0

L

22/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea

0

4

W

18/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

gw

Guinea-Bissau

Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea

2

4

W

14/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Nigeria

Nigeria

Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea

1

1

D

20/11/23

Africa - World Cup Qualifying Africa

Liberia

Liberia

Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea

0

1

W

Win probability

  • HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
  • AWAY: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%

Nigeria are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 69.2%, and we totally agree with the bookmakers. For more football betting tips on this match, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Victor Osimhen is the favourite to score in this game at 5/4 (2.25) which has a probability of 44.4%, while Terem Moffi is priced at 11/5 (3.20) with a probability of 31.3%, and Sadiq Umar has odds of 9/4 (3.25) which works out as a probability of 30.8% to score in this game.

Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 1-0

  • Equatorial Guinea haven't conceded more than one goal in any of their last six matches.
  • Nigeria haven't scored more than one goal in any of their last three outings.

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Each of Equatorial Guinea's last six matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Nigeria's last three fixtures have all ended with fewer than three goals.

nigeria vs equatorial guinea

Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea team news

Nigeria

Nigeria's final warm-up game ahead of AFCON 2023 ended in a 2-0 defeat to Guinea. The result didn't really matter as these games are all about fitness and bringing the players together ahead of what could be a long tournament for the Super Eagles who are one of the top six favourites to go all the way in the Ivory Coast.

Jamilu Collins, Wilfred Ndidi, Peter Etebo, Victor Boniface and Emmanuel Dennis are amongst the names that have missed out on a call-up to the Nigeria squad for AFCON 2023.

Predicted Lineup: Uzoho (GK), Ajayi, Aina, Bassey, Onyemaechi, Aribo, Chukwueze, Onyeka, Iwobi, Simon & Moffi 

Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea played out a 1-1 draw with Djibouti on Tuesday and now preparing to take on the might of Nigeria at Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara. Nobody is expecting much from the team ranked 88th by FIFA in a group that includes Nigeria and the hosts Ivory Coast.

Many of the Equatorial Guinea players are based in Spain including their most recognisable name, Emilio Nsue, who captains the side.

Predicted Lineup: Owono (GK), Nsue, Akapo, Anieboh, Ndong, Coco, Ganet, Machín, Bikoro, Salvador & Miranda 

Nigeria

Nigeria
5-4-1
15
Moses Simon
ng
4
Alhassan Yusuf
ng
17
Alex Iwobi
ng
5
William Troost-Ekong
ng
6
Semi Ajayi
ng
3
Zaidu Sanusi
ng
2
Ola Aina
ng
23
Stanley Nwabali
ng
9
Victor Osimhen
ng
18
Ademola Lookman
ng
8
Frank Onyeka
ng
Substitutes
12
Bright Osayi-Samuel
ng
21
Calvin Bassey
ng
10
Joe Aribo
ng
20
Chidozie Awaziem
ng
11
Samuel Chukwueze
ng
25
Raphael Onyedika
ng
1
Francis Uzoho
ng
14
Kelechi Iheanacho
ng
7
Ahmed Musa
ng
19
Paul Onuachu
ng
22
Kenneth Omeruo
ng
13
Onyemaechi Bruno
ng

Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea
4-2-3-1
1
Jesus Owono
gq
11
Basilio Ndong
gq
21
Esteban Orozco Fernandez
gq
4
Federico Bikoro
gq
8
Jannick Buyla
gq
22
Pablo Ganet
gq
15
Carlos Akapo
gq
10
Emilio Nsue
gq
7
Jose Machin
gq
6
Iban Salvador
gq
16
Saul Coco
gq
Substitutes
13
Aitor Embela
gq
5
Jose Elo
gq
12
Charles Ondo
gq
19
Luis Miguel Nlavo Asue
gq
2
Nestor Senra
gq
14
Alejandro Bandeira
gq
23
Manuel Sapunga Mbara
gq
20
Santiago Eneme
gq
3
Marvin Anieboh
gq
18
Noe Ela
gq
27
Oscar Siafa
gq
26
Jose Nabil Ondo
gq

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Alex Iwobi

The Africa Cup of Nations often starts slowly with many tight and tense games before the teams relax and get into their flow. We're expecting Nigeria to control the game on Sunday but see Equatorial Guinea sitting back and playing on the counterattack.

This is an Equatorial Guinea side that haven't conceded many goals of late so there is going to be pressure on Nigeria's creative players this weekend. Alex Iwobi certainly fits into the creative category and we're excited to see how the Fulham man performs at AFCON 2023 as he has the ability to unlock defences.


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.