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Man City - Burnley
England Premier League - Etihad Stadium
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change
It's time for our Premier League predictions ahead of Wednesday's clash between Manchester City and Burnley. City head into this game as the overwhelming favourite to win and it's going to take something special from the division's second-from-bottom club to avoid defeat at the Etihad Stadium. You can find our handicap betting tips for all of our midweek Premier League games right here.
Contents
Man City vs Burnley prediction – Betting tips & odds
Hot Tip – Man City to Win-to-Nil
- Man City have won each of their last twelve games against Burnley.
- Man City have kept clean sheets in each of their last eight games against Burnley.
Another reason that we have Man City to win to nil as our main prediction is that Man City have kept clean sheets in four of their last six matches across all competitions.
Latest odds
Head to Head
31/01/24
England Premier League EPL

Man City

Burnley
0
0
11/08/23
England Premier League EPL

Burnley

Man City
0
3
18/03/23
England FA Cup FA Cup

Man City

Burnley
6
0
02/04/22
England Premier League EPL

Burnley

Man City
0
2
16/10/21
England Premier League EPL

Man City

Burnley
2
0
Last Five - Man City
11/02/25
UEFA Champions League UCL

Real Madrid

Man City
3
2
L
08/02/25
England FA Cup FA Cup

Leyton Orient

Man City
1
2
W
02/02/25
England Premier League EPL

Arsenal

Man City
5
1
L
29/01/25
UEFA Champions League UCL

Club Brugge

Man City
1
3
W
29/01/25
TEST Fixtures TEST

Liverpool

Man City
1
0
L
Last Five - Burnley
12/02/25
England Championship CHA

Hull

Burnley
0
2
W
08/02/25
England FA Cup FA Cup

Southampton

Burnley
0
1
W
04/02/25
England Championship CHA

Oxford Utd

Burnley
0
1
W
01/02/25
England Championship CHA

Portsmouth

Burnley
0
0
D
27/01/25
England Championship CHA

Leeds

Burnley
0
0
D
Win probability
- HOME: 1/9 (1.11) – 90%
- DRAW: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
- AWAY: 33/1 (34.00) – 2.9%
Man City are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 90%, and we can't see this game ending in anything but a home win on Wednesday. If you want more football betting tips on this Premier League encounter, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market.
If you want to back under 2.5 goals to be scored in Wednesday's match the odds stand at 12/5 (3.40) with a probability of 29.4%, while a bet on over 2.5 goals is priced at 4/11 (1.36) which has a probability of 73.3%.
Man City vs Burnley prediction – Other tips
Correct Score: 3-0
- Man City have scored at least three goals in four of their last seven wins against Burnley.
- Burnley have failed to score in each of their last eight games against the Premier League giants.
Bernardo Silva to Score Anytime
- Silva is Man City's joint-second top goalscorer in the league this season with six goals.
- The Portuguese midfielder is in great form right now with four goals in his last nine appearances in league and cup.
Man City vs Burnley team news
Man City
Manchester City's trip to St James' Park proved fruitful in more than one way. Pep Guardiola's side secured all three points and Kevin De Bruyne showed he is still at the top of his game despite a long injury layoff. Bernardo Silva opened the scoring for City who lost Ederson early on to injury. Newcastle scored twice to lead at the interval but substitute Kevin De Bruyne equalised and then set up Oscar Bobb to score a dramatic late winner.
Manuel Akanji and Erling Haaland are both doubts for Wednesday's match but are very close to making their comebacks from injury.
Predicted Lineup: Ederson (GK), Walker, Aké, Dias, Gvardiol, Kovačić, Silva, Rodri, Foden, Doku & Álvarez
Burnley
Burnley took the lead at home to Luton in the first half through Zeki Amdouni but failed to make the most of the rest of their chances and ended up having to settle for a point when the Hatters equalised with virtually the last kick of the game.
Nathan Redmond, Luca Koleosho, Charlie Taylor, and Jordan Beyer have been ruled out of the trip to the Etihad due to injury, while Sander Berge, Aaron Ramsey and Hannes Delcroix are also doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Trafford (GK), O'Shea, Ekdal, Vitinho, Al Dakhil, Guðmundsson, Brownhill, Cullen, Foster, Amdouni & Odobert
Man City

Burnley

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: Julian Alvarez
Julian Alvarez probably hasn't scored as many Premier League goals as he would like but the Man City forward is a real team player and someone Pep Guardiola has come to rely upon week in, week out.
We're expecting Alvarez to start against Burnley, though Erling Haaland is close to making his return from injury. The Argentine World Cup winner has netted six goals in the Premier League this season and is only three off equaling his tally from the 2022/23 campaign.