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Mali - Burkina Faso
Africa Cup of Nations - Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium
4th Round
Prediction 1
Mali to Win
5/4 (2.25)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Mali 2-1 Burkina Faso
17/2 (9.50)
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Odds from
Mali and Burkina Faso meet at the Stade Amadou Gon Coulibaly in the Last 16 of on Tuesday, January 30th. Unbeaten Mali will expect to push Burkina Faso aside in this week’s potentially captivating knockout tie. Read our AFCON predictions and betting tips along with the latest odds for the fixture below in our detailed match preview.
Mali vs Burkina Faso – Betting tips & odds
Hot Tip – Mali to Win (5/4)
- Mali have yet to lose at AFCON and they are unbeaten in ten previous fixtures in all competitions overall.
- Burkina Faso were beaten by Angola last time out and managed to win only once in three attempts in the group stage in total.
Burkina Faso have been competing well at AFCON so far, though a test against a strong Mali outfit in the Last 16 could be too great a challenge to conquer. Burkina Faso were unable to in any of their last eight meetings with the Malians and they are unlikely to halt their opponent’s current ten-match unbeaten streak. As a consequence, our top Mali vs Burkina Faso prediction points to a win for the favourites.
Latest odds
Head to Head
16/01/21
African Nations Championship ACN
Mali
Burkina Faso
1
0
07/01/17
International Match International
Mali
Burkina Faso
1
2
Last Five - Mali
24/03/25
Africa - World Cup Qualifying Africa
Central African Rep
Mali
0
0
D
20/03/25
Africa - World Cup Qualifying Africa
Comoros
Mali
0
3
W
19/11/24
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Africa
Eswatini
Mali
0
6
W
15/11/24
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Africa
Mozambique
Mali
0
1
W
15/10/24
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Africa
Guinea-Bissau
Mali
0
0
D
Last Five - Burkina Faso
24/03/25
Africa - World Cup Qualifying Africa
Guinea-Bissau
Burkina Faso
1
2
W
21/03/25
Africa - World Cup Qualifying Africa
Djibouti
Burkina Faso
1
4
W
22/12/24
African Nations C'ship Qualifying African
Ivory Coast
Burkina Faso
2
0
L
18/11/24
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Africa
Malawi
Burkina Faso
3
0
L
14/11/24
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Africa
Senegal
Burkina Faso
1
0
L
Win probability
- HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
- DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
- AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
Mali have been named as the expected winners ahead of Tuesday’s clash with their implied probability of success listed at 44.4%. Elsewhere, under 2.5 goals has been the more favoured option in that direction at 2/5 (1.40). That outcome has an implied probability of 71.4%. View more of our Mali vs Burkina Faso predictions below.
Mali vs Burkina Faso prediction – Other tips
Mali 2-1 Burkina Faso: Correct score (17/2)
- Burkina Faso conceded two goals in each of their last two matches at AFCON.
- Burkina Faso only failed to score in one of their three group games, however.
Both Teams to Score (6/5)
- Both teams managed to notch goals in two of their three group stage skirmishes.
- Mali scored at least once in 11 of their last 12 fixtures overall.
Mali vs Burkina Faso Team News
Mali
Mali have been one of the more robust teams from a defensive standpoint at AFCON so far, conceding just once in three games and their solid 4-4-2 formation has contributed to their success at the back. With few injury issues to contend with ahead of Tuesday, a settled XI is expected against Burkina Faso.
Predicted Lineup for Mali: D. Diarra – Traore, Kouyate, S. Niakate, M. Diarra – Diabate, Dieng, Bissouma, Dorgeles – Y. Niakate, Sinayoko
Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso were beaten 2-0 by Angola last time out despite racking up 20 shots to their opponent's six. While that defeat was a bitter pill to swallow, there was promise in the overall performance and Head Coach Hubert Velud is unlikely to make many changes to his team for Tuesday's crucial clash.
Predicted Lineup for Burkina Faso: Koffi – Kabore, Dayo, Tapsoba, Guibre – Sangare, Ouedraogo – Traore, Ki, Badolo, Outarra
Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.
Mali
Burkina Faso
Check out our football betting tips page to find more top picks and predictions.
Player to Watch – Yves Bissouma
Tottenham’s Yves Bissouma has been marshalling the Mali midfield with typical authority at AFCON and the 27-year-old shone again in his team’s last group game against Namibia. Bissouma has the quality to dominate central areas again on Tuesday and his impact both on and off the ball should help to drive Mali’s chances of success.
