Mali vs Burkina Faso prediction, odds & betting tips 30/01/2024

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30/01/24 - 17:00

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Mali - Burkina Faso

Africa Cup of Nations - Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium

4th Round

Mali and Burkina Faso meet at the Stade Amadou Gon Coulibaly in the Last 16 of on Tuesday, January 30th. Unbeaten Mali will expect to push Burkina Faso aside in this week’s potentially captivating knockout tie. Read our AFCON predictions and betting tips along with the latest odds for the fixture below in our detailed match preview.

Mali vs Burkina Faso – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Mali to Win (5/4)

  • Mali have yet to lose at AFCON and they are unbeaten in ten previous fixtures in all competitions overall.
  • Burkina Faso were beaten by Angola last time out and managed to win only once in three attempts in the group stage in total.

Burkina Faso have been competing well at AFCON so far, though a test against a strong Mali outfit in the Last 16 could be too great a challenge to conquer. Burkina Faso were unable to in any of their last eight meetings with the Malians and they are unlikely to halt their opponent’s current ten-match unbeaten streak. As a consequence, our top Mali vs Burkina Faso prediction points to a win for the favourites.

Latest odds

Head to Head

16/01/21

African Nations Championship ACN

ml

Mali

bf

Burkina Faso

1

0

07/01/17

International Match International

ml

Mali

bf

Burkina Faso

1

2

Last Five - Mali

03/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

ml

Mali

2

1

L

30/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

bf

Burkina Faso

ml

Mali

1

2

W

24/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Namibia

Namibia

ml

Mali

0

0

D

20/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Tunisia

Tunisia

ml

Mali

1

1

D

16/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

South Africa

South Africa

ml

Mali

0

2

W

Last Five - Burkina Faso

30/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

ml

Mali

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Burkina Faso

2

1

L

23/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Angola

Angola

bf

Burkina Faso

2

0

L

20/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Algeria

Algeria

bf

Burkina Faso

2

2

D

16/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Mauritania

Mauritania

bf

Burkina Faso

0

1

W

10/01/24

International Match International

Congo DR

Congo DR

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Burkina Faso

1

2

W

Win probability

  • HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
  • DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
  • AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%

Mali have been named as the expected winners ahead of Tuesday’s clash with their implied probability of success listed at 44.4%. Elsewhere, under 2.5 goals has been the more favoured option in that direction at 2/5 (1.40). That outcome has an implied probability of 71.4%. View more of our Mali vs Burkina Faso predictions below.

Mali vs Burkina Faso prediction – Other tips

Mali 2-1 Burkina Faso: Correct score (17/2)

  • Burkina Faso conceded two goals in each of their last two matches at AFCON.
  • Burkina Faso only failed to score in one of their three group games, however.

Both Teams to Score (6/5)

  • Both teams managed to notch goals in two of their three group stage skirmishes.
  • Mali scored at least once in 11 of their last 12 fixtures overall.

Mali vs Burkina Faso prediction

Mali vs Burkina Faso Team News

Mali

Mali have been one of the more robust teams from a defensive standpoint at AFCON so far, conceding just once in three games and their solid 4-4-2 formation has contributed to their success at the back. With few injury issues to contend with ahead of Tuesday, a settled XI is expected against Burkina Faso.

Predicted Lineup for Mali: D. Diarra – Traore, Kouyate, S. Niakate, M. Diarra – Diabate, Dieng, Bissouma, Dorgeles – Y. Niakate, Sinayoko

Burkina Faso

Burkina Faso were beaten 2-0 by Angola last time out despite racking up 20 shots to their opponent's six. While that defeat was a bitter pill to swallow, there was promise in the overall performance and Head Coach Hubert Velud is unlikely to make many changes to his team for Tuesday's crucial clash.

Predicted Lineup for Burkina Faso: Koffi – Kabore, Dayo, Tapsoba, Guibre – Sangare, Ouedraogo – Traore, Ki, Badolo, Outarra

Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

Mali

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4-4-2
4
Amadou Haidara
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21
Adama Traore
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11
Lassana Coulibaly
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6
Sikou Niakate
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17
Falaye Sacko
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16
Djigui Diarra
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5
Kiki
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25
Lassine Sinayoko
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2
Hamari Traore
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12
Mohamed Camara
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26
Kamory Doumbia
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Substitutes
13
Moussa Diarra
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24
Boubacar Traore
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9
Ibrahim Sissoko
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19
Fousseni Diabate
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20
Sekou Koita
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15
Mamadou Fofana
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18
Youssoufou Niakate
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10
Yves Bissouma
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1
Ismael Diawara
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23
Aliou Dieng
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8
Diadie Samassekou
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27
Nene Dorgeles
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Burkina Faso

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4-3-3
9
Issa Kabore
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18
Ismahila Ouedraogo
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15
Abdoul Fessal Tapsoba
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20
Gustavo Sangare
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10
Bertrand Traore
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12
Edmond Tapsoba
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25
Steeve Yago
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16
Herve Koffi
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14
Issoufou Dayo
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13
Mohamed Konate
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22
Blati Toure
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Substitutes
26
Dramane Salou
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7
Dango Ouattara
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2
Djibril Ouattara
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23
Kilian Nikiema
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5
Nasser Djiga
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11
Mamady Bangre
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4
Adamo Nagalo
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1
Hillel Konate
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17
Stephane Aziz Ki
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8
Cedric Badolo
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3
Abdoul Guiebre
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6
Sacha Banse
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Check out our football betting tips page to find more top picks and predictions.

Player to Watch – Yves Bissouma

Tottenham’s Yves Bissouma has been marshalling the Mali midfield with typical authority at AFCON and the 27-year-old shone again in his team’s last group game against Namibia. Bissouma has the quality to dominate central areas again on Tuesday and his impact both on and off the ball should help to drive Mali’s chances of success.


Avatar of Simon Winter
Simon Winter

Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.