Iceland vs Luxembourg prediction, odds & betting tips 13/10/2023

13/10/23 - 19:45






Iceland - Luxembourg

Euro 2024 Qualifying - Laugardalsvollur

7th Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

All you need to know about Iceland vs Luxembourg

We're bringing you our Euro 2024 predictions for Friday's qualifier between Iceland and Luxembourg. Gylfi Sigurðsson is back in the Iceland squad following a 3-year absence so the hosts will be looking to exploit his dead-ball prowess against a Luxembourg side that have performed really well in Group J so far.

Iceland to Win

  • Iceland have won three of their last six meetings with Luxembourg.
  • The hosts won their last home game against Bosnia-Herzegovina in September.
  • Luxembourg have lost two of their last five international matches, 9-0 to Portugal and 1-0 to Malta.

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored in five of the last six head-to-heads between Iceland and Luxembourg.
  • Iceland have only failed to score in one of their last five matches and put seven goals past Liechtenstein in March.
  • Luxembourg conceded 9-0 goals in their last match against Portugal but have scored 7-goals in their last four matches.

Iceland vs Luxembourg Bookmakers, Markets & Odds

Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Iceland vs Luxembourg.

Iceland odds: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%%

Draw odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

Luxembourg odds: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

Iceland head into this game as the expected winners with a probability of 54.1%, and we can't argue with the bookmakers on this pick. If you want more of our football betting tips for this game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. If you think that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored in this game you can get odds of 23/20 (2.15) and a probability of 46.5%, while a bet on Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 8/11 (1.73) with a higher probability of 57.9%.

Iceland vs Luxembourg Lineups and Last Match


Iceland's last game at home to Bosnia-Herzegovina looked like it was going to end goalless until Finnbogason scored a dramatic winning goal in stoppage-time to hand Iceland all 3pts. We mentioned in our intro about the return of Gylfi Sigurðsson to the Iceland squad, but Hörður Björgvin Magnússon, Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson, Birkir Bjarnason, and Albert Guðmundsson have not made the latest squad due to injury or poor form.

Predicted Lineup – Rúnarsson (GK), Pálsson, Hermannsson, Finnsson, Sampsted, Gunnarsson, Traustason, Anderson, Haraldsson, Willumsson & Óskarsson


The less said about Luxembourg's last performance the better. Portugal ran out 9-0 winners in their own backyard against a dreadful Luxembourg side in which Ramos, Inacio and Jota all scored braces. Despite that result, qualifying has been going well for Luxembourg who has secured 10pts in Group J which puts them above Bosnia, Iceland and Liechtenstein. Florian Bohnert is the major name missing from the latest Luxembourg squad, one that needs to put in a much-improved performance on Friday.

Predicted Lineup – Moris (GK), Chanot, Jans, Pinto, Chanot, Mahmutović, Thill, Barreiro, Rupil, Rodrigues & Borges Sanches

Player to Watch: Gylfi Sigurðsson

Gylfi Sigurðsson is back playing professional football with Danish side Lyngby and has worked his way back into the Iceland squad as well.

The 34-year-old former Everton player will be hoping to add to his 78 caps and 25-goals for Iceland this week. The attacking midfielder hasn't played much football for his new club Lyngby but clearly, Iceland are desperate for the veteran's creativity in what has been a disappointing qualifying campaign so far.

We're interested to see how Sigurðsson performs back on the big stage but we're not convinced he will start the game. His ability to pick out a pass, shoot from range and his deliveries from corners and free-kicks make him a very useful addition to the squad.

iceland vs luxembourg

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.