Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 13/05/2023

Leeds
13/05/23 - 12:30

Finished

2

-

2

Newcastle

Leeds - Newcastle

England Premier League - Elland Road

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Our Predictions & Betting Tips for Leeds vs Newcastle

Here are our Premier League predictions for Saturday's early kick-off which has implications at both ends of the table. Sam Allardyce takes charge of his first home game as Leeds manager and goes up against one of his former employers. Leeds really need to win this game but Newcastle have plenty of motivation for the points as well with a Champions League spot within touching distance.

Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score

Our Leeds vs Newcastle prediction is all about goals. Four of the last six league meetings between these two clubs have ended with both teams getting on the scoreboard and with both teams needing a positive result, we're expecting both teams to score on Saturday. Both teams have scored and over 2.5 goals have been produced in five of Leeds' and four of Newcastle's last six outings in the Premier League, adding further weight to our prediction.

Callum Wilson to Score

Our second Leeds vs Newcastle prediction delves into the Anytime Goalscorer market. Callum Wilson top scores for Newcastle this season with 15-goals in the Premier League alone, and we're backing the former Bournemouth and Coventry striker to find the back of the net against Leeds on Saturday. With 8-goals in his last eight outings for Newcastle, Wilson is in great form right now and goes up against a leaky Leeds defence this weekend.

Leeds vs Newcastle Odds

Head to Head

31/12/22

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Leeds

Leeds

0

0

22/01/22

England Premier League EPL

Leeds

Leeds

Newcastle

Newcastle

0

1

17/09/21

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Leeds

Leeds

1

1

26/01/21

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Leeds

Leeds

1

2

16/12/20

England Premier League EPL

Leeds

Leeds

Newcastle

Newcastle

5

2

Last Five - Leeds

02/03/24

England Championship CHA

Huddersfield

Huddersfield

Leeds

Leeds

1

1

D

28/02/24

England FA Cup FA Cup

Chelsea

Chelsea

Leeds

Leeds

3

2

L

23/02/24

England Championship CHA

Leicester

Leicester

Leeds

Leeds

1

3

W

17/02/24

England Championship CHA

gb

Plymouth

Leeds

Leeds

0

2

W

13/02/24

England Championship CHA

Swansea

Swansea

Leeds

Leeds

0

4

W

Last Five - Newcastle

02/03/24

England Premier League EPL

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

Newcastle

Newcastle

0

3

W

27/02/24

England FA Cup FA Cup

Blackburn

Blackburn

Newcastle

Newcastle

1 (3)

1 (4)

W

24/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Arsenal

Arsenal

Newcastle

Newcastle

4

1

L

17/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

2

D

10/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

3

W

Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Leeds vs Newcastle.

Leeds odds: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%

Draw odds: 33/10 (4.30) – 23.3%

Newcastle odds: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

Newcastle are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 57.1%, but we're expecting a close and competitive match as Sam Allardyce goes up against one of his former clubs for his first home game in charge of struggling Leeds. For more football betting tips on this game we suggest checking out the Correct Score market. If you fancy Leeds to secure a 2-1 win the odds are 16/1 (17.00) right now which has a probability of 5.9%. You could back this game to end in a 2-2 draw at 15/2 (8.50) with a probability of 11.8%, while a 2-1 Newcastle win is priced at 8/1 (9.00) and has a probability of 11.1%.

Leeds vs Newcastle Lineups

Leeds

Sam Allardyce faced the toughest of tough games on his Leeds United debut, going down 2-1 in the end but it could have been a lot worse. Two goals from Gundogan in the opening 27-minutes put Man City 2-0 up at the break. Haaland was off form in this game, missing some easy chances by his standard and Gundogan had the chance to complete his hat trick from the penalty spot but fluffed his lines and Leeds went up the other end of the pitch and pulled a goal back through Rodrigo to setup a nervy final few moments to the game. Cooper, Sinisterra, Dallas and Adams are the main injury concerns for the home side this weekend.

Predicted Lineup – Robles (GK), Ayling, Firpo, Wöber, Kristensen, Forshaw, Roca, Harrison, McKennie, Bamford & Gnonto

Newcastle

Newcastle would have been expecting a tough game at home to title-chasing Arsenal, and that's just what they got. Both teams gave it their all during the 90-minutes but only the Gunners converted a couple of their chances. A goal from Odegaard and and own goal from Schar handed Arteta's men a 2-0 victory in the end. Lascelles, Krafth, Longstaff, Saint-Maximin and Fraser could all miss the trip to Yorkshire due to injury.

Predicted Lineup – Pope (GK), Trippier, Schär, Burn, Botman, Murphy, Willock, Guimarães, Wilson, Joelinton & Isak

Starting Lineups

Leeds

Leeds
3-4-2-1
25
Rasmus Kristensen
dk
39
Maximilian Wober
at
19
Rodrigo Moreno
es
28
Weston McKennie
us
42
Sam Greenwood
gb
11
Jack Harrison
gb
Substitutes
10
Crysencio Summerville
nl
21
Pascal Struijk
nl
7
Brenden Aaronson
us
4
Adam Forshaw
gb
29
Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
it

Newcastle

Newcastle
4-3-3
22
Nick Pope
gb
2
Kieran Trippier
gb
5
Fabian Schar
ch
4
Sven Botman
nl
39
Bruno Guimaraes
br
9
Callum Wilson
gb
14
Alexander Isak
se
Substitutes
12
Jamal Lewis
gb
10
Allan Saint-Maximin
fr
1
Martin Dubravka
sk

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Joelinton

Newcastle's 26-year-old forward-turned-midfielder has made himself irreplaceable in the Magpies' starting eleven this season and we're backing him to put in another top performance against Leeds on Saturday.

The Brazilian will need to be at his best in what should be a tough game. Sam Allardyce takes charge of his first home game as Leeds manager and will be desperate to secure all 3pts so we're expecting Leeds to take the game to their guests.

Joelinton has often controlled the midfield for Newcastle this season, winning the ball back, starting attacks and getting in the box to score a few goals as well. Can Leeds handle the big Brazilian or will Joelinton dominate once again?

Leeds vs Newcastle – Q&A

leeds vs newcastle

  • Who is the favourite to win? – Newcastle are the favourite to win at Elland Road.
  • What was the score when these two teams last met? – Newcastle 0-0 Leeds.
  • What time is kick-off? – 12:30 GMT, 13:30 CET.

Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.