La Liga handicap betting tips: Big guns won’t have it all their own way

It’s matchday 26 in La Liga and we’ll be over two thirds of the way through the season after this. The title race looks like it’s heading in Real Madrid’s direction but it’s not over yet. Our La Liga handicap betting tips suggest the three teams that have ruled Spain over the past decade won’t find life easy over the next few days.

Barcelona vs Getafe
Barcelona drew 0-0 at Getafe in August – Photo by Icon Sport

La Liga handicap betting tips – Our picks

Barcelona vs Getafe – Getafe (+2)

Barcelona are at home to Getafe on Saturday and this has been a really tight, competitive fixture over the past couple of years. Three of the last four meetings have ended 0-0 with Barca winning the other by a narrow 1-0 margin.

The side from the south of Madrid have certainly managed to ruffle a few Barca feathers. Xavi was furious after the goalless encounter between the sides on the opening day of this season for what he perceived to be an overly physical approach from Getafe and overly lenient refereeing. There were still two red cards in that game and a host of bookings so there may just be a bit of bad blood that rolls over into this one.

Much has changed at both clubs since then though. While Barcelona have been scoring more freely, they’ve been much worse defensively and even second bottom Granada went to the Estadi Olimpic and left with a 3-3 draw earlier this month in a particularly bad showing from the Barca defence.

The reverse fixture also came before Getafe added Mason Greenwood and the Englishman has made a big impact on the right flank and could be a threat on the break here. With this game less than 72 hours after Barca’s Champions League game in Naples, Getafe should be competitive and the visitors are unbeaten in three themselves.

Almeria handicap picks
Almeria were narrowly beaten 2-1 in the reverse fixture – Photo by Icon Sport

Almeria vs Atletico Madrid – Almeria (+1)

Almeria and Atletico Madrid face off at the Power Horse Stadium and any game that’s away from home is bad news for Diego Simeone and his team right now.

The difference between the home and away results of Atleti this term has been extraordinary. They’ve dropped just two points in La Liga at the Estadio Metropolitano, collecting five more home points than any other side. However they’ve lost 50% of their away games, averaging just 1.17 points per game on the road, a record that has all but ended their hopes of competing for the title.

There was another away defeat in midweek as Atleti lost 1-0 at Inter in the Champions League and with another massive cup game next week in Bilbao in the Copa del Rey, Simeone is expected to rotate in some areas here. There’ll be at least a couple of enforced changes in any case with Jose Maria Gimenez and Antoine Griezmann picking up injuries in Italy.

All that offers hope to Almeria who are La Liga’s bottom team and firmly on course for relegation. While they’re clearly not a great side, they’re not quite as bad as their winless record suggests. They’ve got the seventh best xG tally in the Spanish top flight and have competed well against the better sides of late, playing second placed Girona off the park in a recent 0-0 draw on this ground. Our La Liga correct score predictions have them down for a draw again here.

La Liga handicap betting tips
Sergio Ramos and Vinicius face off in the reverse fixture – Photo by Icon Sport

Real Madrid vs Sevilla – Sevilla (+2)

All eyes will be on Sergio Ramos as he makes his return to the Santiago Bernabeu on Sunday evening. He does so as a Sevilla player and as part of an improving team that has shown much more in recent weeks after a dreadful start to the campaign.

With Quique Sanchez Flores now at the helm, Sevilla appear to have turned a corner with a four game unbeaten streak including victories over Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid that has given them a much bigger cushion on the relegation zone. There’s not much chance of them competing a hat-trick of wins against sides from the capital here, but if you’re after a La Liga handicap bet, they might just be worth considering.

Real Madrid are missing some important players and they’ve not been that convincing in their two games since Jude Bellingham got injured, winning 1-0 in Leipzig in somewhat fortunate fashion before a 1-1 draw at Rayo Vallecano. 

Bellingham is still out this weekend and with Dani Carvajal and Eduardo Camavinga suspended, Sevilla have a decent shot at being competitive in this game.


Avatar of Mark Sochon
Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.