Finished
1
-2
Nigeria - Ivory Coast
Africa Cup of Nations - Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara
1st Round
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change
We're bringing you our AFCON predictions for Sunday's Final which will be played between Nigeria and Ivory Coast. It's the final that many before the tournament hoped it would be, two of West Africa's finest footballing nations going head-to-head in what could be the best AFCON final of all time.
Nigeria were the pre-tournament favourite and have the best squad in Africa on paper but they go up against a rejuvenated host nation in the form of the Ivory Coast who started the tournament poorly, sacked their manager, and have gone on to improve and got their fans back on side.
Contents
Nigeria vs Ivory Coast prediction – Betting tips & odds
Hot Tip – Under 1.5 Goals
- Four of the last seven meetings between these two countries have produced under 1.5 goals.
- Four of Nigeria's last six matches have witnessed fewer than 1.5 goals.
Another reason why we're backing under 1.5 goals in this game is that Ivory Coast's semi-final against Congo DR and their group game against Nigeria also featured under 1.5 goals.
Latest odds
Head to Head
18/01/24
Africa Cup of Nations ACN
Ivory Coast
Nigeria
0
1
11/01/15
International Match International
Nigeria
Ivory Coast
0
1
Last Five - Nigeria
10/06/24
Africa - World Cup Qualifying Africa
Benin
Nigeria
2
1
L
07/06/24
Africa - World Cup Qualifying Africa
South Africa
Nigeria
1
1
D
26/03/24
International Match International
Mali
Nigeria
2
0
L
22/03/24
International Match International
Ghana
Nigeria
1
2
W
11/02/24
Africa Cup of Nations ACN
Ivory Coast
Nigeria
2
1
L
Last Five - Ivory Coast
11/06/24
Africa - World Cup Qualifying Africa
Kenya
Ivory Coast
0
0
D
07/06/24
Africa - World Cup Qualifying Africa
Gabon
Ivory Coast
0
1
W
26/03/24
International Match International
Uruguay
Ivory Coast
1
2
W
23/03/24
International Match International
Benin
Ivory Coast
2
2
D
11/02/24
Africa Cup of Nations ACN
Nigeria
Ivory Coast
1
2
W
Win probability
- HOME: 16/9 (2.78) – 36%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 83/41 (3.02) – 33.1%
Nigeria are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 36%, but Ivory Coast will have the majority of the support and that could give them a big lift. For more football betting tips on the AFCON 2023 Final, check out the Method of Victory market.
We have backed this game to reach extra time at least and you can back either team to win on penalties at 4/1 (5.00) which has a probability of 20%, or you could go with either team to win in extra time at 5/1 (6.00) with a probability of 16.7%.
Nigeria vs Ivory Coast prediction – Other tips
Correct Score: 0-0
- Nigeria have kept four clean sheets at AFCON 2023.
- Three of the last six AFCON finals have ended goalless.
BTTS – No
- Both teams have scored in just two of the last seven encounters between these two nations.
- Both teams have scored in just one of Nigeria's six AFCON 2023 games.
Nigeria vs Ivory Coast team news
Nigeria
Nigeria weren't as convincing in their semi-final game against South Africa as a lot of people expected but still did enough to reach the final. The game was tight and tense throughout with both teams looking dangerous going forward but it wasn't until the sixty-seventh minute that Nigeria took the lead via a William Troost-Ekong penalty that went under the body of Rowen Williams in the South Africa goal.
Nigeria thought they had made sure of their place in the final when Victor Osimhen scored from close range late on, only for the goal to be ruled out due to a foul on a South African player in the Nigeria penalty area which allowed Teboho Mokoena to level the scores and take the match into extra time. No goals were scored in the extra thirty minutes of football but South Africa did have a player sent-off. The game was settled by a penalty shoot-out in which Stanley Nwabali made himself a hero, saving two of the South African spot-kicks allowing Kelechi Iheanacho to score and put Nigeria into the final.
Predicted Lineup: Nwabali (GK), Troost-Ekong, Ajayi, Aina, Osayi-Samuel, Bassey, Onyeka, Iwobi, Simon, Osimhen & Lookman
Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast's semi-final against Congo DR proved a little more simple than Nigeria's but it was still a closely fought game. Congo DR started the better of the two clubs but by the end of the first half Ivory Coast would have missed a clear header and hit the post.
Sebastien Haller who wasn't at his sharpest managed to score the only goal of the game in the sixty-fifth minute, when his mishit shot bounced over the Congo DR goalkeeper and into the top corner, it was the least the hosts deserved as they were the better side during the ninety minutes.
Predicted Lineup: Fofana (GK), Boly, Konan, Ndicka, Singo, Gradel, Seri, Fofana, Kessié, Haller & Adingra
Nigeria
Ivory Coast
*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: William Troost-Ekong
Nigeria's captain William Troost-Ekong was been one of the players of the tournament at AFCON 2023, scoring two penalties and one in the shoot-out, leading his teammates by example.
We're backing Troost-Ekong to put in another solid defensive display in the final and if the opportunity to take a penalty arises then we know he will step up and take on the responsibility.
The latest Tweets from each camp
Nigeria
M A T C H D A Y!
⚽️ Nigeria 🇳🇬 🆚 Cote D’Ivoire 🇨🇮
🗓 Sunday , 11 February 2024
⏱ 9pm 🇳🇬(WAT)
🏟 Olympic Stadium of Ebimpe
🧿 Afcon Final
📱 #SoarSuperEagles #LetsDoItAgain #Afcon2023 #NGARSA #OurAfcon pic.twitter.com/XAHo3Y3YLX
— 🇳🇬 Super Eagles (@NGSuperEagles) February 11, 2024
Ivory Coast
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗠𝗢𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗜𝗡𝗔𝗟𝗘. 😮💨
🇳🇬 Nigeria 🆚 Côte d’Ivoire 🇨🇮
We’re finally at the #TotalEnergiesAFCON2023 final stop! 🔥 pic.twitter.com/dk3AtUoXh2
— CAF (@CAF_Online) February 7, 2024