Nigeria vs Ivory Coast prediction, odds & betting tips 11/02/2024

Nigeria
11/02/24 - 20:00

Finished

1

-

2

Ivory Coast

Nigeria - Ivory Coast

Africa Cup of Nations - Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara

1st Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

We're bringing you our AFCON predictions for Sunday's Final which will be played between Nigeria and Ivory Coast. It's the final that many before the tournament hoped it would be, two of West Africa's finest footballing nations going head-to-head in what could be the best AFCON final of all time.

Nigeria were the pre-tournament favourite and have the best squad in Africa on paper but they go up against a rejuvenated host nation in the form of the Ivory Coast who started the tournament poorly, sacked their manager, and have gone on to improve and got their fans back on side.

Nigeria vs Ivory Coast prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Under 1.5 Goals

  • Four of the last seven meetings between these two countries have produced under 1.5 goals.
  • Four of Nigeria's last six matches have witnessed fewer than 1.5 goals.

Another reason why we're backing under 1.5 goals in this game is that Ivory Coast's semi-final against Congo DR and their group game against Nigeria also featured under 1.5 goals.

Latest odds

Head to Head

18/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

Nigeria

Nigeria

0

1

11/01/15

International Match International

Nigeria

Nigeria

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

0

1

Last Five - Nigeria

11/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

Nigeria

Nigeria

2

1

L

07/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

South Africa

South Africa

Nigeria

Nigeria

1 (2)

1 (4)

W

02/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Angola

Angola

Nigeria

Nigeria

0

1

W

27/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Cameroon

Cameroon

Nigeria

Nigeria

0

2

W

22/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

gw

Guinea-Bissau

Nigeria

Nigeria

0

1

W

Last Five - Ivory Coast

11/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Nigeria

Nigeria

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

1

2

W

07/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Congo DR

Congo DR

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

0

1

W

03/02/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

ml

Mali

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

1

2

W

29/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Senegal

Senegal

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

1 (4)

1 (5)

W

22/01/24

Africa Cup of Nations ACN

Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

4

0

L

Win probability

  • HOME: 16/9 (2.78) – 36%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 83/41 (3.02) – 33.1%

Nigeria are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 36%, but Ivory Coast will have the majority of the support and that could give them a big lift. For more football betting tips on the AFCON 2023 Final, check out the Method of Victory market.

We have backed this game to reach extra time at least and you can back either team to win on penalties at 4/1 (5.00) which has a probability of 20%, or you could go with either team to win in extra time at 5/1 (6.00) with a probability of 16.7%.

Nigeria vs Ivory Coast prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 0-0

  • Nigeria have kept four clean sheets at AFCON 2023.
  • Three of the last six AFCON finals have ended goalless.

BTTS – No

  • Both teams have scored in just two of the last seven encounters between these two nations.
  • Both teams have scored in just one of Nigeria's six AFCON 2023 games.

nigeria vs ivory coast

Nigeria vs Ivory Coast team news

Nigeria

Nigeria weren't as convincing in their semi-final game against South Africa as a lot of people expected but still did enough to reach the final. The game was tight and tense throughout with both teams looking dangerous going forward but it wasn't until the sixty-seventh minute that Nigeria took the lead via a William Troost-Ekong penalty that went under the body of Rowen Williams in the South Africa goal.

Nigeria thought they had made sure of their place in the final when Victor Osimhen scored from close range late on, only for the goal to be ruled out due to a foul on a South African player in the Nigeria penalty area which allowed Teboho Mokoena to level the scores and take the match into extra time. No goals were scored in the extra thirty minutes of football but South Africa did have a player sent-off. The game was settled by a penalty shoot-out in which Stanley Nwabali made himself a hero, saving two of the South African spot-kicks allowing Kelechi Iheanacho to score and put Nigeria into the final.

Predicted Lineup: Nwabali (GK), Troost-Ekong, Ajayi, Aina, Osayi-Samuel, Bassey, Onyeka, Iwobi, Simon, Osimhen & Lookman

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast's semi-final against Congo DR proved a little more simple than Nigeria's but it was still a closely fought game. Congo DR started the better of the two clubs but by the end of the first half Ivory Coast would have missed a clear header and hit the post.

Sebastien Haller who wasn't at his sharpest managed to score the only goal of the game in the sixty-fifth minute, when his mishit shot bounced over the Congo DR goalkeeper and into the top corner, it was the least the hosts deserved as they were the better side during the ninety minutes.

Predicted Lineup: Fofana (GK), Boly, Konan, Ndicka, Singo, Gradel, Seri, Fofana, Kessié, Haller & Adingra

Nigeria

Nigeria
3-4-2-1
23
Stanley Nwabali
ng
6
Semi Ajayi
ng
5
William Troost-Ekong
ng
21
Calvin Bassey
ng
2
Ola Aina
ng
8
Frank Onyeka
ng
17
Alex Iwobi
ng
3
Zaidu Sanusi
ng
11
Samuel Chukwueze
ng
18
Ademola Lookman
ng
9
Victor Osimhen
ng
Substitutes
12
Bright Osayi-Samuel
ng
25
Raphael Onyedika
ng
4
Alhassan Yusuf
ng
10
Joe Aribo
ng
24
Terem Moffi
ng
20
Chidozie Awaziem
ng
1
Francis Uzoho
ng
15
Moses Simon
ng
14
Kelechi Iheanacho
ng
22
Kenneth Omeruo
ng
7
Ahmed Musa
ng
19
Paul Onuachu
ng

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast
4-3-3
1
Yahia Fofana
ci
17
Serge Aurier
ci
7
Odilon Kossounou
ci
21
Evan N Dicka
ci
3
Ghislain Konan
ci
8
Franck Kessie
ci
4
Jean Seri
ci
6
Seko Fofana
ci
15
Max Gradel
ci
22
Sebastian Haller
ci
24
Simon Adingra
ci
Substitutes
18
Ibrahim Sangare
ci
14
Oumar Diakite
ci
23
Badra Ali Sangare
ci
11
Jean-Philippe Krasso
ci
20
Christian Kouame
ci
5
Wilfried Stephane Singo
ci
19
Nicolas Pepe
ci
9
Jonathan Bamba
ci
26
Ismael Diallo
ci
13
Jeremie Boga
ci
27
Jean Thierry Lazare Amani
ci
2
Ousmane Diomande
ci

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: William Troost-Ekong

Nigeria's captain William Troost-Ekong was been one of the players of the tournament at AFCON 2023, scoring two penalties and one in the shoot-out, leading his teammates by example.

We're backing Troost-Ekong to put in another solid defensive display in the final and if the opportunity to take a penalty arises then we know he will step up and take on the responsibility.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Nigeria

Ivory Coast


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.