Germany vs Turkey prediction, odds & betting tips 18/11/2023

Germany
18/11/23 - 19:45

Finished

2

-

3

Turkey

Germany - Turkey

International Match

 

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Germany face Turkey on Saturday 18th November in an international friendly match that will help Julian Nagelsmann get a better look at his squad ahead of next summer's European Championships.

Turkey have also booked their place at Euro 2024 and the game against Germany will allow them to see how they match up against the tournament hosts. Ahead of the match, check out our top football betting tips relating to the fixture.

Germany vs Turkey prediction & free betting tips

After enduring a five-match winless run between March and September, Hansi Flick was sacked as Germany manager and replaced with Nagelsmann. The ex-Bayern Munich boss has started his tenure well, picking up two wins and a draw in his first three games in charge which makes them the favourites for the game against Turkey.

Germany to win

  • Germany are unbeaten in three matches under Nagelsmann.
  • Germany won their last home match against France.
  • Germany have won three of their last four matches against Turkey.

Over 3.5 goals

  • Germany's last two matches have seen over 3.5 goals.
  • Turkey have scored seven goals in their last three matches.
  • The last time Germany played Turkey the match finished 3-3.

Germany vs Turkey odds, H2H stats, and recent form

Head to Head

07/10/20

International Match International

Germany

Germany

Turkey

Turkey

3

3

Last Five - Germany

10/09/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Netherlands

Netherlands

Germany

Germany

2

2

D

07/09/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Hungary

Hungary

Germany

Germany

0

5

W

05/07/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Spain

Spain

Germany

Germany

2

1

L

29/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Denmark

Denmark

Germany

Germany

0

2

W

23/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Switzerland

Switzerland

Germany

Germany

1

1

D

Last Five - Turkey

09/09/24

UEFA Nations League B UEFA

Iceland

Iceland

Turkey

Turkey

1

3

W

06/09/24

UEFA Nations League B UEFA

Wales

Wales

Turkey

Turkey

0

0

D

06/07/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Netherlands

Netherlands

Turkey

Turkey

2

1

L

02/07/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Austria

Austria

Turkey

Turkey

1

2

W

26/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Czech Republic

Czech Republic

Turkey

Turkey

1

2

W

Germany odds: 1/3 (1.33) – 75%

Draw odds: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%

Turkey odds: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%

The bookmakers are leaning heavily towards a Germany win here which is understandable considering their upturn in form under Nagelsmann. The probability of a Germany win stands at 75% while a draw is considered more likely than a Turkey win at 20%.

Germany vs Turkey lineups and latest team news

Germany

Nagelsmann is potentially using the match against Turkey for experimentation with the young manager calling up five uncapped players to his squad.

They include two goalkeepers who will offer competition for Marc-André ter Stegen and three outfield players (Marvin Ducksch, Robert Andrich and Grischa Promel) all of whom will be looking to muscle their way into Nagelsmann's plans.

As far as the usual suspects go, Jamal Musiala is a major loss for the Germans with the young Bayern Munich forward out with a hamstring problem.

Julian Brandt is likely to come in and replace him in the starting eleven while Leroy Sane and Florian Witz are shoe-ins to start the game. Niclas Füllkrug is Nagelsmann's preferred striker and the 30-year-old is expected to start again against Turkey.

Predicted lineup

Ter Stegen – Tah, Rudiger, Hummels Henrichs – Kimmich, Gundogan – Brandt,Wirtz, Sane – Fullkrug

Turkey

At the last European Championships, Turkey were dubbed the dark horses by many but failed to live up to expectations. Ahead of the next edition of the tournament next summer, they will be more determined than ever to ensure they give a better account of themselves and what better way to prepare for that than to play Germany away from home.

Head coach Vincenzo Montella looks set to field his strongest possible side on Saturday which means the Germans will have to contend with the likes of Baris Yilmaz and Hakan Calhanoglu. Ex-Everton forward Cenk Tosun will provide a threat off the bench as he looks to add to the 20 goals he has netted for his country so far.

Predicted lineup

Cakir – Kadioglu, Bardakci, Akaydin, Ozkacar – Akgun, Calhanoglu, Yuksek, Ozcan, Akturkoglu –  Yilmaz

Starting lineups

The official lineups will be released an hour before kick off via official channels.

Germany

Germany
3-3-1-3
12
Kevin Trapp
de
4
Jonathan Tah
de
2
Antonio Rudiger
de
16
Benjamin Henrichs
de
6
Joshua Kimmich
de
21
Ilkay Gundogan
de
11
Julian Brandt
de
17
Florian Wirtz
de
7
Kai Havertz
de
9
Niclas Fullkrug
de
19
Leroy Sane
de
Substitutes
10
Serge Gnabry
de
20
Marvin Ducksch
de
5
Mats Hummels
de
8
Leon Goretzka
de
22
David Raum
de
13
Thomas Muller
de
26
Oliver Baumann
de
14
Pascal Gross
de
24
Janis Blaswich
de
18
Jonas Hofmann
de
23
Robert Andrich
de
15
Niklas Sule
de
3
Grischa Promel
de

Turkey

Turkey
4-3-3
12
Altay Bayindir
tr
2
Zeki Celik
tr
15
Ozan Kabak
tr
14
Abdulkerim Bardakci
tr
20
Ferdi Kadioglu
tr
21
Emre Akbaba
tr
16
Ismail Yuksek
tr
22
Kaan Ayhan
tr
11
Yusuf Yazici
tr
19
Kenan Yildiz
tr
8
Irfan Kahveci
tr
Substitutes
21
Cenk Ozkacar
tr
5
Salih Ozcan
tr
13
Evren Eren Elmali
tr
26
Bertug Ozgur Yildirim
tr
1
Mert Gunok
tr
18
Berkan Kutlu
tr
9
Baris Yilmaz
tr
25
Ridvan Yilmaz
tr
17
Yusuf Sari
tr
6
Berat Ayberk Ozdemir
tr
10
Abdulkadir Omur
tr
23
Ugurcan Cakir
tr
3
Samet Akaydin
tr
4
Caglar Soyuncu
tr
7
Kerem Akturkoglu
tr

Germany vs Turkey prediction